Real Madrid vs Alaves

La Liga prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

17 Jun 2026
21 Apr 2026 19:30
SPAIN LA LIGA REGULAR SEASON - 33
Real Madrid
W D W L W
FT
2 - 1
Alaves
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Madrid
Referee: J. Martinez

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves
Real Madrid Timeline Alaves
1st Half 1 - 0
30'
K. Mbappe Assist: A. Guler
1 - 0
35'
Aurélien Tchouaméni yellow card
45+2'
Eder Militao ↔ A. Rudiger Substitution
2nd Half 1 - 1
50'
Vinicius Junior Assist: F. Valverde
2 - 0
58'
A. Guler ↔ F. Mastantuono Substitution
58'
J. Bellingham ↔ B. Diaz Substitution
58'
J. Guridi ↔ C. Alena Substitution
58'
D. Suarez ↔ P. Ibanez Substitution
63'
T. Alexander-Arnold ↔ D. Carvajal Substitution
63'
A. Tchouameni ↔ E. Camavinga Substitution
66'
L. Boye ↔ I. Diabate Substitution
66'
Yusi ↔ Calebe Substitution
75'
A. Blanco ↔ A. Guevara Substitution
90'
Ángel Pérez yellow card
90'
2 - 1
T. Martinez Assist: A. Guevara

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
BTTS

BTTS Yes

AI Confidence 93.5% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 93.5%
View Full Analysis
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 81.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 86.7%
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights BTTS as the strongest available market, with the pick "BTTS Yes" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 87.3% High
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

83 matches analysed
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Home
VS
Alaves Away
Alaves
🎟️ 47 Matches Played
🏆 32 Wins
🎯 2.19 Avg Goals
🎟️ 36 Matches Played
🏆 12 Wins
🎯 1.39 Avg Goals
47
Matches Played
36
32
Wins
12
4
Draws
9
11
Losses
15
103
Goals For
50
54
Goals Against
49
2.19
Avg Goals Scored
1.39
1.15
Avg Goals Conceded
1.36
29
BTTS Yes
20
32
Over 2.5
18
15
Clean Sheets
7
4
Failed To Score
10

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

2.19
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
29
BTTS Yes
20
32
Over 2.5
18
6.94
Shots on Goal
3.97

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Real Madrid
Defensive Edge Real Madrid
BTTS Signal Strong BTTS profile
Goals Trend Good Over 2.5 trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 68%
Away Win Rate 33%

Real Madrid show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Real Madrid Real Madrid

Match Statistics

Alaves Alaves
8
🎯 Shots on Goal
5
9
Shots off Goal
7
7
🛡️ Blocked Shots
7
9
🚩 Corner Kicks
6
14
🦶 Fouls
12
61%
Ball Possession
39%
24
Total Shots
19
631
Total passes
399
569
Passes accurate
331
1
🟨 Yellow Cards
1
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Real Madrid
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
06.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
21.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Osasuna
1
2
L
17.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
1
0
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
Last matches: Alaves
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
17.05.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
0
W
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Alaves
Elche
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
11.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.03.26
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Alaves
Valencia
2
3
L
27.02.26
La
Alaves
Levante
0
2
L
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
14.02.26
La
Alaves
Sevilla
1
1
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
30.01.26
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
18.01.26
La
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
14.01.26
Cop
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
H2H: Real Madrid vs Alaves
21.04.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
14.12.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
W
13.04.25
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
W
24.09.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
2
W
14.05.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
5
0
W
21.12.23
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
0
1
W
19.02.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
W
14.08.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
W
23.01.21
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
4
W
28.11.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
2
L
10.07.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
0
W
30.11.19
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
W
03.02.19
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
W
06.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
0
L
24.02.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
4
0
W
Last matches: Real Madrid
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Monaco
6
1
W
17.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Levante
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
5
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
01.11.25
La
Real Madrid
Valencia
4
0
W
26.10.25
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
2
1
W
22.10.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Juventus
1
0
W
H2H at home: Real Madrid
21.04.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
24.09.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
2
W
14.05.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
5
0
W
19.02.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
W
28.11.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
2
L
10.07.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
0
W
03.02.19
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
W
24.02.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
4
0
W
Last matches: Alaves
17.05.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Alaves
Elche
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
22.03.26
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
08.03.26
La
Alaves
Valencia
2
3
L
27.02.26
La
Alaves
Levante
0
2
L
14.02.26
La
Alaves
Sevilla
1
1
D
30.01.26
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
18.01.26
La
Alaves
Atletico Madrid
0
1
L
10.01.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
3
L
20.12.25
La
Alaves
Osasuna
0
3
L
02.12.25
Cop
Alaves
Portugalete
3
0
W
29.11.25
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
3
L
08.11.25
La
Alaves
Girona
0
1
L
30.10.25
Cop
Alaves
Deportivo Getxo
7
0
W
26.10.25
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
27.09.25
La
Alaves
Mallorca
0
1
L
24.09.25
La
Alaves
Getafe
1
1
D
13.09.25
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
1
0
W
22.08.25
La
Alaves
Real Betis
0
1
L
H2H away: Alaves
21.04.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
L
24.09.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
2
L
14.05.24
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
5
0
L
19.02.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
L
28.11.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
2
W
10.07.20
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
0
L
03.02.19
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
3
0
L
24.02.18
H2H
Real Madrid
Alaves
4
0
L
Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4-4-2
Lineups 4-4-2 vs 5-3-2
Alaves 5-3-2
Alaves
13
A. Lunin
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
3
Eder Militao
24
D. Huijsen
18
A. Carreras
8
F. Valverde
🎯
5
J. Bellingham
14
A. Tchouameni
🟨
15
A. Guler
🎯
10
K. Mbappe
7
Vinicius Junior
1
A. Sivera
7
A. Perez
🟨
17
Jonny Otto
14
N. Tenaglia
24
V. Parada
3
Yusi
18
J. Guridi
8
A. Blanco
4
D. Suarez
11
T. Martinez
15
L. Boye
Real Madrid Alaves ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Primera División Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Barcelona
38 59 94
L W L W W
2
Real Madrid
38 42 86
W W W L W
3
Villarreal
38 26 72
W L L D W
4
Atletico Madrid
38 18 69
L W W L W
5
Real Betis
38 11 60
W L W D W
6
Celta Vigo
38 5 54
W D L W W
7
Getafe
38 -6 51
W L W D L
8
Rayo Vallecano
38 -3 50
W W D D W
9
Valencia
38 -9 49
W W D W L
10
Real Sociedad
38 -2 46
D L D D L
11
Espanyol
38 -12 46
D W W L L
12
Athletic Club
38 -15 45
L D L L W
13
Sevilla
38 -14 43
L L W W W
14
Alaves
38 -12 43
L W W D L
15
Elche
38 -8 43
D W L D L
16
Levante
38 -14 42
L W W W L
17
Osasuna
38 -6 42
L L L L L
18
Mallorca
38 -10 42
W L L D W
19
Girona
38 -16 41
D L D D L
20
Oviedo
38 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves
Real Madrid Timeline Alaves
1st Half 1 - 0
30'
K. Mbappe Assist: A. Guler
1 - 0
35'
Aurélien Tchouaméni yellow card
45+2'
Eder Militao ↔ A. Rudiger Substitution
2nd Half 1 - 1
50'
Vinicius Junior Assist: F. Valverde
2 - 0
58'
A. Guler ↔ F. Mastantuono Substitution
58'
J. Bellingham ↔ B. Diaz Substitution
58'
J. Guridi ↔ C. Alena Substitution
58'
D. Suarez ↔ P. Ibanez Substitution
63'
T. Alexander-Arnold ↔ D. Carvajal Substitution
63'
A. Tchouameni ↔ E. Camavinga Substitution
66'
L. Boye ↔ I. Diabate Substitution
66'
Yusi ↔ Calebe Substitution
75'
A. Blanco ↔ A. Guevara Substitution
90'
Ángel Pérez yellow card
90'
2 - 1
T. Martinez Assist: A. Guevara

Missing Players

Real Madrid 3 missing
-
T. Courtois
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Rodrygo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
R. Asencio
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT
Alaves 3 missing
-
F. Garces
Missing Fixture Suspended
OUT
-
C. Protesoni
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
A. Rebbach
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT