Nõmme United vs Paide

Meistriliiga prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

16 Jun 2026
10 May 2026 14:00
ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA • REGULAR SEASON - 11
Nõmme United
W D W L W
FT
2 - 3
Paide
L D L W W
Tallinn
Referee: K. Laane

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Nõmme United 2 - 3 Paide
Nõmme United Timeline Paide
1st Half 0 - 2
9'
0 - 1
Daniel Cabral penalty
⚽
14'
0 - 2
D. Luts Assist: M. Miller
⚽
29'
M. Miller yellow card
34'
Daniel Cabral yellow card
2nd Half 2 - 1
47'
G. Kabal yellow card
56'
↔
G. Kabal ↔ B. Chisala Substitution
59'
M. Jobarteh ↔ H. Anier Substitution
↔
59'
M. Miller ↔ R. Smirnov Substitution
↔
65'
↔
O. Dacosta ↔ B. Vain Substitution
65'
↔
K. Oostenbrink ↔ E. Ounapuu Substitution
65'
0 - 3
H. Anier Assist: Victor Hugo
⚽
66'
⚽
B. Chisala Assist: B. Vain
1 - 3
75'
Daniel Cabral ↔ P. A. Cham Substitution
↔
80'
⚽
A. Frolov penalty
2 - 3
81'
R. Nigula ↔ G. Juhkam Substitution
↔
86'
↔
K. Laanelaid ↔ A. Alteberg Substitution
89'
R. Smirnov yellow card

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
BTTS

BTTS Yes

AI Confidence 90.5% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 90.5%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 No Draw
Confidence 89.8%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 87.6%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 87.7%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights BTTS as the strongest available market, with the pick "BTTS Yes" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 59.3% Medium
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

35 matches analysed
Nõmme United
Nõmme United Home
VS
Paide Away
Paide
🎟️ 17 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 2.53 Avg Goals
🎟️ 18 Matches Played
🏆 9 Wins
🎯 1.78 Avg Goals
17
Matches Played
18
8
Wins
9
2
Draws
4
7
Losses
5
43
Goals For
32
43
Goals Against
24
2.53
Avg Goals Scored
1.78
2.53
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
14
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
12
1
Clean Sheets
4
2
Failed To Score
1

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

2.53
Average Goals Scored
1.78
2.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
14
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Nõmme United
Defensive Edge Paide
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 47%
Away Win Rate 50%

Paide show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Last matches: Nõmme United
13.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
20.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
2
L
15.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
3
L
02.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
3
2
W
25.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
7
L
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
1
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
07.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Viimsi
5
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
3
D
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
L
24.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
4
3
W
Last matches: Paide
14.06.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
31.05.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
0
1
L
17.05.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
01.05.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
0
1
L
26.04.26
Mei
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
2
2
D
19.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
4
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
1
0
W
07.03.26
Mei
Paide
Vaprus
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Paide
Super Nova
1
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Paide
Flora Tallinn
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Paide
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Paide
Trans Narva
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Paide
Metta / LU
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Paide
Rīgas FS
2
2
D
H2H: Nõmme United vs Paide
10.05.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
08.04.26
H2H
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
L
03.11.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
0
4
L
14.09.24
H2H
Paide
Nõmme United
7
2
L
12.05.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
0
1
L
10.03.24
H2H
Paide
Nõmme United
3
1
L
19.10.22
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
0
4
L
Last matches: Nõmme United
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
25.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
L
H2H at home: Nõmme United
10.05.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
03.11.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
0
4
L
12.05.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
0
1
L
19.10.22
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
0
4
L
Last matches: Paide
14.06.26
Mei
Paide
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Paide
Trans Narva
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Paide
Laagri
2
2
D
12.04.26
Mei
Paide
Tammeka
4
1
W
03.04.26
Mei
Paide
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
07.03.26
Mei
Paide
Vaprus
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
Paide
Trans Narva
1
1
D
19.01.26
Fri
Paide
FK Liepaja
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Paide
AIK Stockholm
0
6
L
10.07.25
UEF
Paide
Magpies
3
2
W
H2H away: Paide
10.05.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
W
03.11.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
0
4
W
12.05.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
0
1
W
19.10.22
H2H
Nõmme United
Paide
0
4
W
Nõmme United
Nõmme United 4-4-2 estimated
Lineups 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
Paide 4-4-2 estimated
Paide
1
G. Lagus
55
R. Chanda
26
K. Oostenbrink
↓
6
M. Palts
23
K. Laanelaid
↓
24
G. Kabal
↓🟨
10
A. Frolov
⚽
45
H. Jarvelaid
49
Z. Beglarishvili
16
O. Dacosta
↓
20
K. Matas
99
E. Jarju
2
M. Lilander
3
Victor Hugo
🎯
4
Andrade
24
R. Nigula
↓
6
Daniel Cabral
⚽↓🟨
28
O. Hoim
14
M. Jobarteh
↓
10
M. Miller
🎯↓🟨
77
D. Luts
⚽
30
A. Badamosi
Nõmme United Paide ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Meistriliiga Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
FC Levadia Tallinn
15 31 39
W W W W W
2
Kalju Nomme
15 16 29
D L W W L
3
Flora Tallinn
14 15 27
L W W W W
4
Paide
15 3 22
D D L L W
5
Vaprus
15 -10 20
D W L W W
6
Laagri
15 -6 19
L W L L L
7
Tammeka
14 -4 17
D L W W W
8
Nõmme United
15 -8 16
W L L L L
9
Kuressaare
15 -9 16
W D W L L
10
Trans Narva
15 -28 9
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Nõmme United 2 - 3 Paide
Nõmme United Timeline Paide
1st Half 0 - 2
9'
0 - 1
Daniel Cabral penalty
⚽
14'
0 - 2
D. Luts Assist: M. Miller
⚽
29'
M. Miller yellow card
34'
Daniel Cabral yellow card
2nd Half 2 - 1
47'
G. Kabal yellow card
56'
↔
G. Kabal ↔ B. Chisala Substitution
59'
M. Jobarteh ↔ H. Anier Substitution
↔
59'
M. Miller ↔ R. Smirnov Substitution
↔
65'
↔
O. Dacosta ↔ B. Vain Substitution
65'
↔
K. Oostenbrink ↔ E. Ounapuu Substitution
65'
0 - 3
H. Anier Assist: Victor Hugo
⚽
66'
⚽
B. Chisala Assist: B. Vain
1 - 3
75'
Daniel Cabral ↔ P. A. Cham Substitution
↔
80'
⚽
A. Frolov penalty
2 - 3
81'
R. Nigula ↔ G. Juhkam Substitution
↔
86'
↔
K. Laanelaid ↔ A. Alteberg Substitution
89'
R. Smirnov yellow card