Italy vs Estonia
World Cup - Qualification Europe prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.
16 Jun 2026
05 Sep 2025
18:45
WORLD
›
WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION EUROPE
•
GROUP STAGE - 5
Match Events
Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.
Italy
5 - 0
Estonia
Italy
Timeline
Estonia
1st Half
0 - 0
31'
Patrik Kristal
yellow card
2nd Half
5 - 0
58'
M. Kean
Assist: M. Retegui
1 - 0
61'
P. Kristal ↔ M. Ainsalu
Substitution
64'
Alessandro Bastoni
yellow card
66'
F. Dimarco ↔ A. Cambiaso
Substitution
67'
M. Zaccagni ↔ G. Raspadori
Substitution
67'
V. Sinyavskiy ↔ R. Saarma
Substitution
69'
M. Retegui
Assist: G. Raspadori
2 - 0
71'
G. Raspadori
Assist: M. Politano
3 - 0
76'
S. Tonali ↔ M. Locatelli
Substitution
76'
M. Politano ↔ R. Orsolini
Substitution
77'
Maksim Paskotsi
yellow card
80'
R. Sappinen ↔ H. Anier
Substitution
80'
M. Paskotsi ↔ J. Tamm
Substitution
80'
R. R. Shein ↔ M. Soomets
Substitution
84'
M. Kean ↔ F. Esposito
Substitution
89'
M. Retegui
Assist: A. Cambiaso
4 - 0
90'
A. Bastoni
Assist: G. Raspadori
5 - 0
90+5'
Henri Anier
yellow card
All Predictions Markets
AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.
No predictions available for this match.
AI Insight Summary
No strong prediction signal is available for this match yet.
Confidence
0%
Low
Best Odds
-
Fair Odds
Value Edge
+0%
Expected Value
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Italy
Home
VS
Estonia
Away
🎟️
10
Matches Played
🏆
5
Wins
🎯
1.9
Avg Goals
🎟️
10
Matches Played
🏆
2
Wins
🎯
0.8
Avg Goals
10
Matches Played
10
5
Wins
2
2
Draws
1
3
Losses
7
19
Goals For
8
16
Goals Against
17
1.9
Avg Goals Scored
0.8
1.6
Avg Goals Conceded
1.7
7
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
6
2
Clean Sheets
1
1
Failed To Score
6
Key Stats
Quick comparison based on available match data
1.9
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
7
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
3.5
Trend Signals
Derived from season data
Attack Edge
Italy
Defensive Edge
Italy
BTTS Signal
Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend
Lower-scoring trend
Quick Verdict
Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate
50%
Away Win Rate
20%
Italy show the stronger season trend before kickoff.
Italy
Match Statistics
Estonia
13
🎯
Shots on Goal
2
14
✕
Shots off Goal
2
13
🛡️
Blocked Shots
0
12
🚩
Corner Kicks
3
9
🦶
Fouls
14
70%
◐
Ball Possession
30%
40
⚽
Total Shots
4
632
↔
Total passes
276
569
✓
Passes accurate
210
1
🟨
Yellow Cards
3
0
🟥
Red Cards
0
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
3
1
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
Last matches: Estonia
13.11.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D
11.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Italy
1
3
L
09.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
0
1
L
06.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
3
L
25.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
3
2
W
22.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
16.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
0
0
D
14.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
11.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
05.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
H2H: Italy vs Estonia
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
W
05.09.25
H2H
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
11.11.20
H2H
Italy
Estonia
4
0
W
Last matches: Italy
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
H2H at home: Italy
05.09.25
H2H
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
11.11.20
H2H
Italy
Estonia
4
0
W
Last matches: Estonia
13.11.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
1
4
L
25.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
3
2
W
22.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
16.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
0
0
D
08.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
H2H away: Estonia
05.09.25
H2H
Italy
Estonia
5
0
L
11.11.20
H2H
Italy
Estonia
4
0
L
Italy
4-4-2
Lineups
4-4-2 vs 4-5-1
Estonia
4-5-1
estimated
1
G. Donnarumma
22
G. Di Lorenzo
21
A. Bastoni
⚽🟨
13
R. Calafiori
3
F. Dimarco
↓
7
M. Politano
🎯↓
18
N. Barella
8
S. Tonali
↓
20
M. Zaccagni
↓
11
M. Kean
⚽↓
9
M. Retegui
⚽ 2🎯
1
K. Hein
18
M. Schjonning-Larsen
13
M. Paskotsi
↓🟨
2
M. Kuusk
3
J. Saliste
10
K. Palumets
5
R. R. Shein
↓
4
M. Kait
14
P. Kristal
↓🟨
23
V. Sinyavskiy
↓
15
R. Sappinen
↓
Italy
Estonia
⚽ Goal
🎯 Assist
🟨 Yellow
🟥 Red
↑ In
↓ Out
Group I Standings
| # | Team | MP | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norway
|
8 | 32 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Italy
|
8 | 9 | 18 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 |
Israel
|
8 | -1 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 4 |
Estonia
|
8 | -13 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 5 |
Moldova
|
8 | -27 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)
Match Events
Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.
Italy
5 - 0
Estonia
Italy
Timeline
Estonia
1st Half
0 - 0
31'
Patrik Kristal
yellow card
2nd Half
5 - 0
58'
M. Kean
Assist: M. Retegui
1 - 0
61'
P. Kristal ↔ M. Ainsalu
Substitution
64'
Alessandro Bastoni
yellow card
66'
F. Dimarco ↔ A. Cambiaso
Substitution
67'
M. Zaccagni ↔ G. Raspadori
Substitution
67'
V. Sinyavskiy ↔ R. Saarma
Substitution
69'
M. Retegui
Assist: G. Raspadori
2 - 0
71'
G. Raspadori
Assist: M. Politano
3 - 0
76'
S. Tonali ↔ M. Locatelli
Substitution
76'
M. Politano ↔ R. Orsolini
Substitution
77'
Maksim Paskotsi
yellow card
80'
R. Sappinen ↔ H. Anier
Substitution
80'
M. Paskotsi ↔ J. Tamm
Substitution
80'
R. R. Shein ↔ M. Soomets
Substitution
84'
M. Kean ↔ F. Esposito
Substitution
89'
M. Retegui
Assist: A. Cambiaso
4 - 0
90'
A. Bastoni
Assist: G. Raspadori
5 - 0
90+5'
Henri Anier
yellow card