Guimaraes vs Casa Pia

Primeira Liga prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

16 Jun 2026
11 May 2026 19:15
PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA • REGULAR SEASON - 33
Guimaraes
W D W L W
FT
0 - 1
Casa Pia
L D L W W
🏟️ Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimarães
Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Corners O/U

Over 7.5 Corners

AI Confidence 88.6% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 88.6%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 87.5%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 39.1%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 59.1%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-0
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Corners O/U as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 7.5 Corners" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 45.7% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

64 matches analysed
Guimaraes
Guimaraes Home
VS
Casa Pia Away
Casa Pia
🎟️ 32 Matches Played
🏆 12 Wins
🎯 1.22 Avg Goals
🎟️ 32 Matches Played
🏆 5 Wins
🎯 0.91 Avg Goals
32
Matches Played
32
12
Wins
5
6
Draws
11
14
Losses
16
39
Goals For
29
48
Goals Against
56
1.22
Avg Goals Scored
0.91
1.5
Avg Goals Conceded
1.75
14
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
15
10
Clean Sheets
6
10
Failed To Score
15

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
14
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
15
4
Shots on Goal
2.75

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Guimaraes
Defensive Edge Guimaraes
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 38%
Away Win Rate 16%

Guimaraes show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Guimaraes Guimaraes

Match Statistics

Casa Pia Casa Pia
2
🎯 Shots on Goal
5
8
✕ Shots off Goal
4
5
🛡️ Blocked Shots
2
6
🚩 Corner Kicks
4
11
🦶 Fouls
16
71%
◐ Ball Possession
29%
15
⚽ Total Shots
11
499
↔ Total passes
207
418
✓ Passes accurate
127
2
🟨 Yellow Cards
1
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Guimaraes
16.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
0
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
5
L
25.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
5
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
2
3
L
30.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estoril
2
4
L
18.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
1
L
02.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
W
28.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
0
D
23.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
4
L
13.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
1
0
W
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
16.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
28.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0
0
D
H2H: Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
11.05.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
28.12.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0
0
D
01.03.25
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
1
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
2
L
23.09.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0
0
D
19.02.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0
0
D
29.08.22
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
01.08.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0
1
W
Last matches: Guimaraes
25.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Tondela
5
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Famalicao
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Alverca
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Estrela
2
1
W
30.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
0
W
18.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
1
L
02.01.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Nacional
2
1
W
23.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
4
L
08.12.25
Pri
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
28.11.25
Pri
Guimaraes
AVS
4
0
W
01.11.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Benfica
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Guimaraes
SC Braga
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
1
1
D
16.08.25
Pri
Guimaraes
Estoril
3
2
W
H2H at home: Guimaraes
11.05.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
1
0
W
24.02.24
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
2
L
29.08.22
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
4
L
27.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
2
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
4
L
15.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
2
0
W
H2H away: Casa Pia
11.05.26
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
1
0
L
24.02.24
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
2
W
29.08.22
H2H
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0
1
W
Guimaraes
Guimaraes 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
Casa Pia 3-4-3
Casa Pia
27
Charles Silva
66
T. Strata
4
O. Rivas Viondi
26
R. Abascal
🟨
82
F. Dias
30
G. Nogueira
↓
16
Beni
🟨
88
M. Nogueira
↓
20
Samu
↓
48
N. Saviolo
11
Gustavo
↓
1
P. Sequeira
4
J. Goulart
3
Kaly
43
D. Sousa
19
K. Prieto
↓
80
L. Ofori
↓
42
S. Perez
75
P. Rosas
🟨
72
G. Larrazabal
⚽↓
10
D. Livramento
↓
11
J. Marques
🎯
Guimaraes Casa Pia ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
FC Porto
34 48 88
W L W W W
2
Sporting CP
34 65 82
W W W D D
3
Benfica
34 49 80
W D D W W
4
SC Braga
34 28 59
D D D L W
5
Famalicao
34 13 56
W D D W D
6
GIL Vicente
34 9 50
L L D W L
7
Moreirense
34 -12 43
D L W L W
8
Arouca
34 -17 42
W W D L W
9
Guimaraes
34 -12 42
L L L W W
10
Estoril
34 -3 39
L D D L L
11
Alverca
34 -17 39
L D L W L
12
Rio Ave
34 -22 36
D L D L D
13
Santa Clara
34 -9 36
L W D W D
14
Nacional
34 -8 34
W L L W W
15
Estrela
34 -18 30
D D L L L
16
Casa Pia
34 -26 30
D W L L L
17
Tondela
34 -28 28
L W W D L
18
AVS
34 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Guimaraes 0 - 1 Casa Pia
Guimaraes Timeline Casa Pia
1st Half 0 - 0
22'
Pedro Rosas yellow card
2nd Half 0 - 1
46'
L. Ofori ↔ K. Osundina Substitution
↔
60'
↔
M. Nogueira ↔ T. Arcanjo Substitution
60'
↔
Gustavo ↔ O. Camara Substitution
60'
↔
G. Nogueira ↔ Zeega Substitution
69'
D. Livramento ↔ C. Mendes Substitution
↔
74'
K. Prieto ↔ A. Conte Substitution
↔
76'
Rodrigo Abascal yellow card
78'
Beni Mukendi yellow card
81'
↔
Samu ↔ A. Ndoye Substitution
86'
0 - 1
G. Larrazabal Assist: J. Marques
⚽
90+5'
A. Dafe Substitution
↔
90+6'
G. Larrazabal ↔ J. Fonte Substitution
↔