Estonia vs Italy
World Cup - Qualification Europe prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.
16 Jun 2026
11 Oct 2025
18:45
WORLD
›
WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION EUROPE
•
GROUP STAGE - 7
Match Events
Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.
Estonia
1 - 3
Italy
Estonia
Timeline
Italy
1st Half
0 - 2
4'
0 - 1
M. Kean
Assist: F. Dimarco
12'
Nicolò Barella
yellow card
15'
M. Kean ↔ F. Esposito
Substitution
29'
Märten Kuusk
yellow card
38'
0 - 2
M. Retegui
Assist: R. Orsolini
41'
Kevor Palumets
yellow card
2nd Half
1 - 1
46'
K. Palumets ↔ M. Schjonning-Larsen
Substitution
46'
J. Saliste ↔ V. Sinyavskiy
Substitution
59'
Rasmus Peetson
yellow card
62'
A. Tamm ↔ R. Sappinen
Substitution
62'
M. Kuusk ↔ K. Mets
Substitution
62'
G. Raspadori ↔ L. Spinazzola
Substitution
62'
R. Orsolini ↔ A. Cambiaso
Substitution
72'
Alessandro Bastoni
yellow card
74'
0 - 3
F. Esposito
Assist: L. Spinazzola
76'
R. Sappinen
normal goal
1 - 3
78'
M. Retegui ↔ B. Cristante
Substitution
78'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Substitution
83'
R. R. Shein ↔ K. Mustmaa
Substitution
84'
Andrea Cambiaso
yellow card
87'
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
yellow card
All Predictions Markets
AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.
No predictions available for this match.
AI Insight Summary
No strong prediction signal is available for this match yet.
Confidence
0%
Low
Best Odds
-
Fair Odds
Value Edge
+0%
Expected Value
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estonia
Home
VS
Italy
Away
🎟️
11
Matches Played
🏆
2
Wins
🎯
0.73
Avg Goals
🎟️
12
Matches Played
🏆
7
Wins
🎯
2.42
Avg Goals
11
Matches Played
12
2
Wins
7
1
Draws
2
8
Losses
3
8
Goals For
29
22
Goals Against
20
0.73
Avg Goals Scored
2.42
2
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
1
Clean Sheets
3
7
Failed To Score
1
Key Stats
Quick comparison based on available match data
0.73
Average Goals Scored
2.42
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
3.2
Shots on Goal
7
Trend Signals
Derived from season data
Attack Edge
Italy
Defensive Edge
Italy
BTTS Signal
Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend
Lower-scoring trend
Quick Verdict
Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate
18%
Away Win Rate
58%
Italy show the stronger season trend before kickoff.
Estonia
Match Statistics
Italy
1
🎯
Shots on Goal
9
1
✕
Shots off Goal
8
0
🛡️
Blocked Shots
7
0
🚩
Corner Kicks
8
22
🦶
Fouls
9
36%
◐
Ball Possession
64%
2
⚽
Total Shots
24
325
↔
Total passes
579
247
✓
Passes accurate
507
4
🟨
Yellow Cards
3
0
🟥
Red Cards
0
Last matches: Estonia
13.11.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D
05.09.25
Wor
Estonia
Italy
0
5
L
09.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
0
1
L
06.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
3
L
25.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
3
2
W
22.03.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
16.11.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
0
0
D
14.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
11.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
05.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H: Estonia vs Italy
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
L
05.09.25
H2H
Italy
Estonia
5
0
L
11.11.20
H2H
Italy
Estonia
4
0
L
Last matches: Estonia
14.10.25
Wor
Estonia
Moldova
1
1
D
09.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Norway
0
1
L
06.06.25
Wor
Estonia
Israel
1
3
L
14.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Sweden
0
3
L
11.10.24
UEF
Estonia
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Estonia
Slovakia
0
1
L
H2H at home: Estonia
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
L
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H away: Italy
11.10.25
H2H
Estonia
Italy
1
3
W
Italy
3-4-2-1
Lineups
3-4-2-1 vs 4-5-1
Estonia
4-5-1
estimated
1
G. Donnarumma
22
G. Di Lorenzo
21
A. Bastoni
🟨
13
R. Calafiori
7
R. Orsolini
🎯↓
18
N. Barella
↓🟨
8
S. Tonali
3
F. Dimarco
🎯
11
M. Kean
⚽↓
10
G. Raspadori
↓
9
M. Retegui
⚽↓
1
K. Hein
6
R. Peetson
🟨
13
M. Paskotsi
2
M. Kuusk
↓🟨
3
J. Saliste
↓
10
K. Palumets
↓🟨
8
M. Soomets
4
M. Kait
5
R. R. Shein
↓
7
R. Saarma
21
A. Tamm
↓
Italy
Estonia
⚽ Goal
🎯 Assist
🟨 Yellow
🟥 Red
↑ In
↓ Out
Group I Standings
| # | Team | MP | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norway
|
8 | 32 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Italy
|
8 | 9 | 18 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 |
Israel
|
8 | -1 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 4 |
Estonia
|
8 | -13 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 5 |
Moldova
|
8 | -27 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)
Match Events
Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.
Estonia
1 - 3
Italy
Estonia
Timeline
Italy
1st Half
0 - 2
4'
0 - 1
M. Kean
Assist: F. Dimarco
12'
Nicolò Barella
yellow card
15'
M. Kean ↔ F. Esposito
Substitution
29'
Märten Kuusk
yellow card
38'
0 - 2
M. Retegui
Assist: R. Orsolini
41'
Kevor Palumets
yellow card
2nd Half
1 - 1
46'
K. Palumets ↔ M. Schjonning-Larsen
Substitution
46'
J. Saliste ↔ V. Sinyavskiy
Substitution
59'
Rasmus Peetson
yellow card
62'
A. Tamm ↔ R. Sappinen
Substitution
62'
M. Kuusk ↔ K. Mets
Substitution
62'
G. Raspadori ↔ L. Spinazzola
Substitution
62'
R. Orsolini ↔ A. Cambiaso
Substitution
72'
Alessandro Bastoni
yellow card
74'
0 - 3
F. Esposito
Assist: L. Spinazzola
76'
R. Sappinen
normal goal
1 - 3
78'
M. Retegui ↔ B. Cristante
Substitution
78'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Substitution
83'
R. R. Shein ↔ K. Mustmaa
Substitution
84'
Andrea Cambiaso
yellow card
87'
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
yellow card