Danubio vs Progreso

Primera División - Apertura prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

16 Jun 2026
30 May 2026 18:00
URUGUAY › PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA • TORNEO INTERMEDIO - 3
Danubio
W D W L W
FT
1 - 2
Progreso
L D L W W
Montevideo
Referee: J. Feres

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
1X2

Home Win

AI Confidence 96.2% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 96.2%
View Full Analysis →
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 40%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 32.7%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 87.7%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-0
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights 1X2 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Home Win" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 42.8% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

33 matches analysed
Danubio
Danubio Home
VS
Progreso Away
Progreso
🎟️ 16 Matches Played
🏆 4 Wins
🎯 1.13 Avg Goals
🎟️ 17 Matches Played
🏆 2 Wins
🎯 0.76 Avg Goals
16
Matches Played
17
4
Wins
2
6
Draws
4
6
Losses
11
18
Goals For
13
24
Goals Against
27
1.13
Avg Goals Scored
0.76
1.5
Avg Goals Conceded
1.59
9
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
3
Clean Sheets
1
5
Failed To Score
9

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.13
Average Goals Scored
0.76
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
9
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Danubio
Defensive Edge Danubio
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 25%
Away Win Rate 12%

Danubio show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Last matches: Danubio
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
4
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
0
4
L
15.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
2
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
2
1
W
26.10.25
Pri
Danubio
CA River Plate
0
1
L
Last matches: Progreso
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
3
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
0
5
L
H2H: Danubio vs Progreso
30.05.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
L
28.02.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
L
31.05.25
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
1
W
23.02.25
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
12.10.24
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
31.08.22
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
15.02.21
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
0
1
L
22.08.20
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
0
L
19.10.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
L
11.08.19
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
2
0
L
31.03.19
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
3
2
W
22.07.18
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
04.02.18
H2H
Progreso
Danubio
1
1
D
Last matches: Danubio
09.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
4
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
2
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Danubio
CA River Plate
0
1
L
12.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
5
1
W
31.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Miramar
2
3
L
10.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
2
1
W
H2H at home: Danubio
30.05.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
L
28.02.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
23.02.25
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
15.02.21
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
0
1
L
31.03.19
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
3
2
W
22.07.18
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
Last matches: Progreso
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
L
10.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Progreso
CA River Plate
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
3
L
01.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
1
2
L
H2H away: Progreso
30.05.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
W
28.02.26
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
23.02.25
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
06.04.24
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
1
1
D
15.02.21
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
0
1
W
31.03.19
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
3
2
L
22.07.18
H2H
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
Danubio
Danubio 4-3-3
Lineups 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
Progreso 4-2-3-1
Progreso
1
M. Goicoechea
40
F. Balatti
↓
3
J. Pereyra
⚽
4
M. Rinaldi
31
T. Cavanagh
18
C. Mayada
16
I. Rossi
10
M. Peralta
↓
7
E. Cabrera
21
N. Azambuja
↓🟨
20
M. Ferreira
↓
33
A. Requena
16
G. Trasante
🟨
27
G. Silva
13
H. Carroso
14
F. Kidd
↓🟨
8
A. Colombino
5
A. Pinheiro
↓
11
N. Lopez
18
G. Silva
↓
40
A. Cougo
↓
25
J. Dos Santos
↓
Danubio Progreso ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Primera: Tabla Anual Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Deportivo Maldonado
19 15 39
W W D W W
2
Racing Montevideo
19 10 37
D D D W L
3
Penarol
19 10 36
W L W W W
4
Albion FC
19 9 32
W L L D W
5
Club Nacional
19 5 31
W L W W W
6
Central Espanol
19 2 31
D W L W W
7
Atletico Torque
19 5 29
L W W L W
8
Wanderers
19 -2 26
D W D D W
9
Liverpool Montevideo
19 2 25
D W D L L
10
Cerro Largo
19 1 24
D W W L L
11
Defensor Sporting
19 -1 23
D D L L L
12
Boston River
19 -7 21
D L L W L
13
Danubio
18 -7 19
D L L L L
14
Juventud
18 -7 18
L L W W W
15
Progreso
19 -14 13
L W L L L
16
Cerro
19 -21 13
L L W L L

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Danubio 1 - 2 Progreso
Danubio Timeline Progreso
1st Half 1 - 0
26'
⚽
J. Pereyra normal goal
1 - 0
41'
Facundo Kidd yellow card
2nd Half 0 - 2
46'
Nicolas Azambuja yellow card
46'
F. Kidd ↔ F. De Leon Substitution
↔
54'
G. Silva ↔ M. Copelotti Substitution
↔
58'
Gianfranco Trasante yellow card
69'
↔
M. Ferreira ↔ D. Garcia Substitution
69'
↔
M. Peralta ↔ E. Femia Substitution
77'
↔
F. Balatti ↔ M. Jourdan Substitution
77'
↔
N. Azambuja ↔ S. Fernandez Substitution
77'
A. Cougo ↔ F. Andueza Substitution
↔
80'
A. Pinheiro ↔ I. Lemmo Substitution
↔
80'
J. Dos Santos ↔ G. Silva Substitution
↔
81'
1 - 1
G. Silva normal goal
⚽
90'
1 - 2
G. Silva normal goal
⚽
90+4'
Damina Garcia yellow card