Club Nacional vs Cerro

Primera División - Apertura prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

15 Jun 2026
10 May 2026 22:30
URUGUAY › PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA • APERTURA - 15
Club Nacional
W D W L W
FT
4 - 0
Cerro
L D L W W
🏟️ Gran Parque Central
Montevideo
Referee: J. Feres

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
1X2

Home Win

AI Confidence 100% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 100%
View Full Analysis →
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 17.4%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 24.1%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 92%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-0
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights 1X2 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Home Win" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 38.9% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

32 matches analysed
Club Nacional
Club Nacional Home
VS
Cerro Away
Cerro
🎟️ 18 Matches Played
🏆 7 Wins
🎯 1.56 Avg Goals
🎟️ 14 Matches Played
🏆 2 Wins
🎯 0.57 Avg Goals
18
Matches Played
14
7
Wins
2
2
Draws
4
9
Losses
8
28
Goals For
8
30
Goals Against
20
1.56
Avg Goals Scored
0.57
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
6
12
Over 2.5
4
3
Clean Sheets
2
3
Failed To Score
6

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.56
Average Goals Scored
0.57
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
6
12
Over 2.5
4
4.25
Shots on Goal
0

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Club Nacional
Defensive Edge Cerro
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 39%
Away Win Rate 14%

Club Nacional show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Last matches: Club Nacional
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
24.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
1
3
L
Last matches: Cerro
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
16.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
0
3
L
09.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
0
D
H2H: Club Nacional vs Cerro
10.05.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
01.11.25
H2H
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
0
D
03.05.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
02.11.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
2
0
W
09.06.24
H2H
Cerro
Club Nacional
3
0
L
28.04.24
H2H
Cerro
Club Nacional
1
2
W
15.10.23
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
2
1
W
03.06.23
H2H
Cerro
Club Nacional
1
1
D
04.03.23
H2H
Cerro
Club Nacional
2
2
D
27.02.21
H2H
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
1
W
06.09.20
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
5
1
W
19.10.19
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
2
0
W
30.03.19
H2H
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
2
W
11.08.18
H2H
Cerro
Club Nacional
1
2
W
25.02.18
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
Last matches: Club Nacional
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
0
1
L
24.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
13.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Miramar
3
1
W
04.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
07.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
3
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
3
1
W
02.08.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
5
2
W
H2H at home: Club Nacional
10.05.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
02.11.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
2
0
W
15.10.23
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
2
1
W
06.09.20
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
5
1
W
19.10.19
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
2
0
W
25.02.18
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
Last matches: Cerro
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
0
3
L
18.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
2
L
26.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
1
0
W
14.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
1
5
L
31.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
0
1
L
17.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
02.08.25
Pri
Cerro
CA River Plate
0
0
D
H2H away: Cerro
10.05.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
L
02.11.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
2
0
L
15.10.23
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
2
1
L
06.09.20
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
5
1
L
19.10.19
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
2
0
L
25.02.18
H2H
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
L
Club Nacional
Club Nacional 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 5-3-2
Cerro 5-3-2
Cerro
1
L. Mejia
13
E. Ancheta
4
S. Coates
🟨
32
T. Viera
21
C. Candido
10
A. dos Santos
23
L. Rodriguez
↓
30
B. Barcia
↓
11
M. Silvera
↓
19
J. De Los Santos
↓
9
M. Gomez
⚽ 3↓
25
F. N. Correa Gonzalez
22
D. Suarez
↓
5
A. Macelli
🟨
3
A. Lima
17
G. Rodriguez
6
F. Bregante
8
A. Miranda
10
B. Aleman
↓🟨
31
J. Amaro
↓
11
N. Soria
↓
77
M. Ocampo
↓🟨
Club Nacional Cerro ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Club Nacional 4 - 0 Cerro
Club Nacional Timeline Cerro
1st Half 2 - 0
19'
Matías Ocampo yellow card
20'
⚽
M. Gomez normal goal
1 - 0
28'
⚽
M. Gomez penalty
2 - 0
2nd Half 2 - 0
46'
N. Soria ↔ C. Barros Substitution
↔
53'
Brahian Alemán yellow card
54'
J. Amaro ↔ S. Cristoforo Substitution
↔
61'
⚽
M. Gomez penalty
3 - 0
62'
D. Suarez ↔ M. Arguello Substitution
↔
62'
B. Aleman ↔ A. Cambon Substitution
↔
67'
Sebastián Coates yellow card
71'
↔
M. Silvera ↔ G. Carneiro Substitution
76'
Alejo Macelli yellow card
78'
↔
J. De Los Santos ↔ T. Veron Substitution
78'
↔
B. Barcia ↔ R. Martinez Substitution
80'
M. Ocampo ↔ S. Paiva Substitution
↔
87'
↔
L. Rodriguez ↔ J. I. Garcia Lantean Substitution
87'
↔
M. Gomez ↔ P. Nunez Substitution
87'
⚽
P. Nunez normal goal
4 - 0