Cerro vs Penarol

Primera División - Apertura prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

15 Jun 2026
07 Jun 2026 18:00
URUGUAY › PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA • TORNEO INTERMEDIO - 4
Cerro
W D W L W
FT
0 - 1
Penarol
L D L W W
Montevideo
Referee: M. De Armas

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Corners O/U

Over 7.5 Corners

AI Confidence 92% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 92%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Away Win
Confidence 54.3%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 37.3%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 41.5%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Draw / Away
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 0-1
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Corners O/U as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 7.5 Corners" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 37.5% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

42 matches analysed
Cerro
Cerro Home
VS
Penarol Away
Penarol
🎟️ 18 Matches Played
🏆 3 Wins
🎯 0.56 Avg Goals
🎟️ 24 Matches Played
🏆 10 Wins
🎯 1.29 Avg Goals
18
Matches Played
24
3
Wins
10
4
Draws
6
11
Losses
8
10
Goals For
31
30
Goals Against
26
0.56
Avg Goals Scored
1.29
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.08
7
BTTS Yes
14
6
Over 2.5
9
3
Clean Sheets
5
8
Failed To Score
5

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

0.56
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
7
BTTS Yes
14
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
4

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Penarol
Defensive Edge Penarol
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 17%
Away Win Rate 42%

Penarol show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Last matches: Cerro
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
4
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
16.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
0
3
L
09.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
0
D
Last matches: Penarol
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
1
1
D
H2H: Cerro vs Penarol
07.06.26
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
21.03.26
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
W
28.06.25
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
2
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
L
22.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
5
L
09.03.24
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
3
0
L
19.08.23
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
2
0
L
16.01.21
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
15.02.20
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
2
1
L
06.11.19
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
20.04.19
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
1
1
D
02.09.18
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
3
2
L
21.03.18
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
3
L
Last matches: Cerro
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Miramar
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
24.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
10.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cerro
07.06.26
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
5
L
19.08.23
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
16.01.21
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
06.11.19
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
21.03.18
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
3
L
Last matches: Penarol
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Atletico Torque
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
0
2
L
11.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Miramar
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
4
1
W
15.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
1
2
L
H2H away: Penarol
07.06.26
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
L
22.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
5
W
19.08.23
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
16.01.21
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
06.11.19
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
W
21.03.18
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
3
W
Cerro
Cerro 4-1-4-1
Lineups 4-1-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
Penarol 4-2-3-1
Penarol
12
Y. Irrazabal
24
I. Valenzuela
↓
5
A. Macelli
16
J. Guasone
6
F. Bregante
31
J. Amaro
🟨
33
T. Rijo
↓
27
C. Barros
10
B. Aleman
77
M. Ocampo
🟨
28
A. Cambon
↓
29
W. Aguerre
36
B. Barboza
3
M. Lemos
4
E. Gularte
↓
15
M. Olivera
21
Jesus Trindade
8
N. Fernandez
7
J. Cabrera
↓
13
E. Darias
32
L. Umpierrez
9
F. Batista
↓
Cerro Penarol ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Cerro 0 - 1 Penarol
Cerro Timeline Penarol
1st Half 0 - 0
31'
Matías Ocampo yellow card
2nd Half 0 - 1
46'
↔
A. Cambon ↔ N. Soria Substitution
56'
F. Batista ↔ A. Hernandez Substitution
↔
57'
0 - 1
A. Hernandez normal goal
⚽
65'
↔
T. Rijo ↔ R. Mederos Substitution
69'
J. Cabrera ↔ D. Laxalt Substitution
↔
78'
↔
I. Valenzuela ↔ S. Paiva Substitution
78'
E. Gularte ↔ Lucas Hernandez Substitution
↔
79'
Jairo Amaro yellow card