Cerro Largo vs Penarol

Primera División - Apertura prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

15 Jun 2026
11 May 2026 23:30
URUGUAY › PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA • APERTURA - 15
Cerro Largo
W D W L W
FT
2 - 3
Penarol
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Melo
Referee: J. Burgos

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
1X2

No Draw

AI Confidence 83.1% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 83.1%
View Full Analysis →
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 37.2%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 66.6%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 74.1%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-0
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights 1X2 as the strongest available market, with the pick "No Draw" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 43.5% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

32 matches analysed
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo Home
VS
Penarol Away
Penarol
🎟️ 14 Matches Played
🏆 5 Wins
🎯 1 Avg Goals
🎟️ 18 Matches Played
🏆 7 Wins
🎯 1.28 Avg Goals
14
Matches Played
18
5
Wins
7
2
Draws
5
7
Losses
6
14
Goals For
23
16
Goals Against
20
1
Avg Goals Scored
1.28
1.14
Avg Goals Conceded
1.11
5
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
7
3
Clean Sheets
4
6
Failed To Score
3

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
5
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
4.25

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Penarol
Defensive Edge Penarol
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 36%
Away Win Rate 39%

Penarol show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Last matches: Cerro Largo
08.06.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Progreso
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
2
2
D
30.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Danubio
2
0
W
24.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
0
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
3
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Juventud
1
0
W
07.11.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
03.11.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
Last matches: Penarol
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Danubio
1
1
D
H2H: Cerro Largo vs Penarol
11.05.26
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
3
L
27.09.25
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
3
L
01.06.25
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
1
D
30.03.25
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
2
W
17.08.24
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
2
L
15.11.23
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
09.04.23
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
0
D
22.10.22
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
2
L
04.06.22
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
0
1
W
23.11.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
06.08.21
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
1
L
14.04.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
4
1
L
07.04.21
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
2
D
17.02.21
H2H
Penarol
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
Last matches: Cerro Largo
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
3
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Cerro
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Danubio
2
0
W
20.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
3
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
1
2
L
07.11.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
2
2
D
11.10.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Boston River
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
3
L
13.09.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
01.09.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
0
1
L
18.08.25
Pri
Cerro Largo
Danubio
1
0
W
H2H at home: Cerro Largo
11.05.26
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
3
L
27.09.25
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
3
L
01.06.25
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
1
D
18.02.24
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
2
L
09.04.23
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
0
D
22.10.22
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
2
L
06.08.21
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
1
L
07.04.21
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
2
D
Last matches: Penarol
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Atletico Torque
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
0
2
L
11.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Miramar
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
4
1
W
15.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
1
2
L
H2H away: Penarol
11.05.26
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
3
W
27.09.25
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
3
W
01.06.25
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
1
D
18.02.24
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
1
2
W
09.04.23
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
0
D
22.10.22
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
2
W
06.08.21
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
0
1
W
07.04.21
H2H
Cerro Largo
Penarol
2
2
D
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 4-4-2
Lineups 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
Penarol 4-2-3-1
Penarol
1
J. Moreno
17
A. Hernandez
🟨
14
L. Correa
16
M. Fracchia
20
S. Franca
10
A. Pandiani
↓
15
S. Assis
5
S. Marcel
↓
11
M. Anasco
↓
18
D. Daguerre
⚽↓
9
T. Correa
1
S. Britos
36
B. Barboza
↓
2
F. Escobar
↓
6
L. Ferreira
15
M. Olivera
🟨
8
N. Fernandez
21
Jesus Trindade
93
D. Laxalt
↓
32
L. Umpierrez
⚽
23
G. Togni
↓
9
F. Batista
⚽↓
Cerro Largo Penarol ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Cerro Largo 2 - 3 Penarol
Cerro Largo Timeline Penarol
1st Half 1 - 0
39'
F. Escobar ↔ F. Alvez Substitution
↔
45'
⚽
D. Daguerre normal goal
1 - 0
2nd Half 1 - 3
46'
B. Barboza ↔ A. Hernandez Substitution
↔
59'
1 - 1
F. Batista normal goal
⚽
62'
D. Laxalt ↔ K. Rodriguez Substitution
↔
62'
G. Togni ↔ S. Muhlethaler Substitution
↔
64'
↔
D. Daguerre ↔ M. Garcia Substitution
68'
Alexander Hernandez yellow card
69'
Kevin Rodríguez yellow card
74'
1 - 2
L. Umpierrez normal goal
⚽
78'
↔
M. Anasco ↔ G. Viera Substitution
81'
Maximiliano Olivera yellow card
83'
↔
S. Marcel ↔ E. Jourdan Substitution
83'
↔
A. Pandiani ↔ F. Sellecchia Substitution
84'
⚽
F. Sellecchia normal goal
2 - 2
87'
2 - 3
A. Hernandez normal goal
⚽
88'
Abel Hernández yellow card
89'
F. Batista ↔ T. Olase Substitution
↔