Casa Pia vs Tondela

Primeira Liga prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

16 Jun 2026
03 May 2026 14:30
PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA • REGULAR SEASON - 32
Casa Pia
W D W L W
FT
0 - 1
Tondela
L D L W W
🏟️ Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Rio Maior
Referee: A. Narciso

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Corners O/U

Over 7.5 Corners

AI Confidence 83.6% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 83.6%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 No Draw
Confidence 76.6%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 40%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 30.4%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Draw / Away
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 0-1
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Corners O/U as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 7.5 Corners" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 38.4% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

62 matches analysed
Casa Pia
Casa Pia Home
VS
Tondela Away
Tondela
🎟️ 31 Matches Played
🏆 5 Wins
🎯 0.94 Avg Goals
🎟️ 31 Matches Played
🏆 4 Wins
🎯 0.74 Avg Goals
31
Matches Played
31
5
Wins
4
11
Draws
10
15
Losses
17
29
Goals For
23
55
Goals Against
52
0.94
Avg Goals Scored
0.74
1.77
Avg Goals Conceded
1.68
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
16
6
Clean Sheets
5
14
Failed To Score
18

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.74
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
16
2.74
Shots on Goal
3.39

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Casa Pia
Defensive Edge Tondela
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 16%
Away Win Rate 13%

Casa Pia show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Casa Pia Casa Pia

Match Statistics

Tondela Tondela
3
🎯 Shots on Goal
5
0
✕ Shots off Goal
4
1
🛡️ Blocked Shots
0
7
🚩 Corner Kicks
2
22
🦶 Fouls
19
48%
◐ Ball Possession
52%
4
⚽ Total Shots
9
353
↔ Total passes
404
263
✓ Passes accurate
329
8
🟨 Yellow Cards
3
2
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
16.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
28.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0
0
D
Last matches: Tondela
16.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Arouca
1
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Moreirense
2
0
W
29.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Nacional
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Tondela
FC Porto
0
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Tondela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Guimaraes
0
5
L
21.03.26
Pri
Tondela
AVS
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Tondela
Rio Ave
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Tondela
Santa Clara
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estrela
2
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Alverca
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estoril
2
2
D
01.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Benfica
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
3
L
18.01.26
Pri
Tondela
SC Braga
0
1
L
11.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Moreirense
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Arouca
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pri
Tondela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.12.25
Pri
Tondela
Nacional
1
3
L
H2H: Casa Pia vs Tondela
03.05.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
21.12.25
H2H
Tondela
Casa Pia
1
2
W
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
28.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
5
L
03.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
2
L
08.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
2
L
H2H at home: Casa Pia
03.05.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
Last matches: Tondela
16.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Arouca
1
3
L
29.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Tondela
FC Porto
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Guimaraes
0
5
L
20.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estrela
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estoril
2
2
D
25.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
3
L
11.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Moreirense
0
1
L
15.12.25
Pri
Tondela
Nacional
1
3
L
29.11.25
Pri
Tondela
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Tondela
AVS
2
2
D
05.10.25
Pri
Tondela
Rio Ave
0
3
L
27.09.25
Pri
Tondela
Santa Clara
2
1
W
12.09.25
Pri
Tondela
Alverca
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pri
Tondela
Benfica
0
3
L
10.08.25
Pri
Tondela
SC Braga
0
3
L
H2H away: Tondela
03.05.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
W
Casa Pia
Casa Pia 3-4-3
Lineups 3-4-3 vs 4-2-3-1
Tondela 4-2-3-1
Tondela
1
P. Sequeira
4
J. Goulart
🟨
18
A. Geraldes
↓🟨
43
D. Sousa
72
G. Larrazabal
↓
24
I. Mohamed
🟨
8
R. Brito
↓🟨
5
A. Conte
↓
29
J. Livolant
🟨🟥
90
Cassiano
🟥
11
J. Marques
↓
31
Bernardo
48
T. Manso
↓
44
J. Silva
4
C. Marques
🟨
27
R. Conceicao
97
Cicero
↓
32
J. Rodriguez
7
Pedro Maranhao
↓🟨
79
H. Felix
90
M. Aiko
↓
16
Rony Lopes
↓
Casa Pia Tondela ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
FC Porto
34 48 88
W L W W W
2
Sporting CP
34 65 82
W W W D D
3
Benfica
34 49 80
W D D W W
4
SC Braga
34 28 59
D D D L W
5
Famalicao
34 13 56
W D D W D
6
GIL Vicente
34 9 50
L L D W L
7
Moreirense
34 -12 43
D L W L W
8
Arouca
34 -17 42
W W D L W
9
Guimaraes
34 -12 42
L L L W W
10
Estoril
34 -3 39
L D D L L
11
Alverca
34 -17 39
L D L W L
12
Rio Ave
34 -22 36
D L D L D
13
Santa Clara
34 -9 36
L W D W D
14
Nacional
34 -8 34
W L L W W
15
Estrela
34 -18 30
D D L L L
16
Casa Pia
34 -26 30
D W L L L
17
Tondela
34 -28 28
L W W D L
18
AVS
34 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Tondela
Casa Pia Timeline Tondela
1st Half 0 - 0
No first half events.
2nd Half 0 - 1
49'
Jérémy Livolant yellow card
51'
Rafael Brito yellow card
53'
VAR
Cassiano card upgrade
55'
Cassiano red card
57'
↔
J. Marques ↔ D. Livramento Substitution
58'
↔
R. Brito ↔ L. Ofori Substitution
64'
Tiago Manso penalty confirmed
VAR
65'
André Geraldes yellow card
65'
Cicero ↔ Bebeto Substitution
↔
65'
T. Manso ↔ H. Tavares Substitution
↔
68'
0 - 1
Bebeto penalty
⚽
70'
Maranhão yellow card
72'
↔
A. Geraldes ↔ T. Morais Substitution
75'
Christian Marques yellow card
85'
Tiago Morais yellow card
86'
↔
A. Conte ↔ Kiki Substitution
86'
↔
G. Larrazabal ↔ K. Prieto Substitution
86'
Pedro Maranhao ↔ S. Sithole Substitution
↔
86'
Rony Lopes ↔ A. van der Heide Substitution
↔
90'
Iyad Mohamed yellow card
90+5'
M. Aiko ↔ B. Kimpioka Substitution
↔
90+8'
João Goulart yellow card
90+9'
Kevin Prieto yellow card
90+9'
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka yellow card
90+11'
Jérémy Livolant yellow card
90+11'
Jérémy Livolant red card