Casa Pia vs Rio Ave

Primeira Liga prediction, odds, stats and match analysis.

16 Jun 2026
16 May 2026 17:00
PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA • REGULAR SEASON - 34
Casa Pia
W D W L W
FT
1 - 1
Rio Ave
L D L W W
🏟️ Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Rio Maior
Referee: H. Malheiro

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Corners O/U

Over 7.5 Corners

AI Confidence 90.2% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 90.2%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Away Win
Confidence 80.1%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 50.9%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 51.3%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Draw / Away
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 0-1
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Corners O/U as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 7.5 Corners" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 45.4% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

66 matches analysed
Casa Pia
Casa Pia Home
VS
Rio Ave Away
Rio Ave
🎟️ 33 Matches Played
🏆 6 Wins
🎯 0.91 Avg Goals
🎟️ 33 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 1.03 Avg Goals
33
Matches Played
33
6
Wins
8
11
Draws
11
16
Losses
14
30
Goals For
34
56
Goals Against
56
0.91
Avg Goals Scored
1.03
1.7
Avg Goals Conceded
1.7
15
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
20
7
Clean Sheets
6
15
Failed To Score
13

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
15
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
20
2.82
Shots on Goal
3.88

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Rio Ave
Defensive Edge Balanced
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 18%
Away Win Rate 24%

Rio Ave show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Casa Pia Casa Pia

Match Statistics

Rio Ave Rio Ave
5
🎯 Shots on Goal
3
7
✕ Shots off Goal
2
8
🛡️ Blocked Shots
1
9
🚩 Corner Kicks
0
17
🦶 Fouls
14
41%
◐ Ball Possession
59%
20
⚽ Total Shots
6
278
↔ Total passes
432
204
✓ Passes accurate
349
1
🟨 Yellow Cards
0
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
16.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
28.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0
0
D
Last matches: Rio Ave
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
17.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
2
L
04.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
3
1
W
28.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
4
L
20.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
13.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
1
L
H2H: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
16.05.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
04.01.26
H2H
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
3
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
2
1
W
12.01.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
02.11.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
2
2
D
11.02.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
0
L
02.09.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
16.04.23
H2H
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
30.10.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
0
W
01.05.22
H2H
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
0
L
19.12.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
0
1
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
28.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
5
L
03.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
2
L
08.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
2
L
H2H at home: Casa Pia
16.05.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
2
1
W
12.01.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
02.09.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
30.10.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
0
W
19.12.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
0
1
L
Last matches: Rio Ave
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
28.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
4
L
20.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
3
L
23.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
3
3
D
H2H away: Rio Ave
16.05.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
2
1
L
12.01.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
W
02.09.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
30.10.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
0
L
19.12.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
0
1
W
Casa Pia
Casa Pia 3-4-3
Lineups 3-4-3 vs 4-2-3-1
Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
Rio Ave
1
P. Sequeira
4
J. Goulart
3
Kaly
43
D. Sousa
19
K. Prieto
↓
42
S. Perez
↓
80
L. Ofori
↓
75
P. Rosas
↓
72
G. Larrazabal
⚽
10
D. Livramento
🎯↓
11
J. Marques
🟨
99
E. van der Gouw
20
J. Tome
↓
32
J. Brabec
39
Gustavo Mancha
77
O. Richards
44
T. Nikitscher
5
A. Ntoi
7
Diogo Bezerra
↓
11
J. Blesa
⚽
18
D. Spikic
↓
9
T. Monteiro
↓
Casa Pia Rio Ave ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
FC Porto
34 48 88
W L W W W
2
Sporting CP
34 65 82
W W W D D
3
Benfica
34 49 80
W D D W W
4
SC Braga
34 28 59
D D D L W
5
Famalicao
34 13 56
W D D W D
6
GIL Vicente
34 9 50
L L D W L
7
Moreirense
34 -12 43
D L W L W
8
Arouca
34 -17 42
W W D L W
9
Guimaraes
34 -12 42
L L L W W
10
Estoril
34 -3 39
L D D L L
11
Alverca
34 -17 39
L D L W L
12
Rio Ave
34 -22 36
D L D L D
13
Santa Clara
34 -9 36
L W D W D
14
Nacional
34 -8 34
W L L W W
15
Estrela
34 -18 30
D D L L L
16
Casa Pia
34 -26 30
D W L L L
17
Tondela
34 -28 28
L W W D L
18
AVS
34 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Casa Pia 1 - 1 Rio Ave
Casa Pia Timeline Rio Ave
1st Half 1 - 0
35'
⚽
G. Larrazabal Assist: D. Livramento
1 - 0
2nd Half 0 - 1
52'
1 - 1
J. Blesa normal goal
⚽
59'
↔
D. Livramento ↔ J. Livolant Substitution
59'
↔
S. Perez ↔ R. Brito Substitution
63'
D. Spikic ↔ A. Papakanellos Substitution
↔
76'
↔
K. Prieto ↔ A. Conte Substitution
80'
Joao Marques yellow card
82'
Diogo Bezerra ↔ O. Pohlmann Substitution
↔
86'
↔
P. Rosas ↔ K. Osundina Substitution
86'
↔
L. Ofori ↔ I. Mohamed Substitution
88'
J. Tome ↔ L. Buta Substitution
↔
88'
T. Monteiro ↔ J. Lomboto Substitution
↔