Stevenage
League One
FT
2 - 2
Lamex Stadium
Referee: N. Hair
Lincoln
League: League One
Venue: Lamex Stadium
Referee: N. Hair
Stevenage
Match Timeline
Lincoln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
โšฝ
3'
L. Thompson ยท Assist: C. Piergianni
Stevenage
โšฝ
17'
T. Darikwa
Lincoln
โšฝ
27'
J. Reid ยท Assist: D. Kemp
Stevenage
๐ŸŸจ
44'
Sonny Bradley
Lincoln
๐ŸŸจ
45+2'
Matt Phillips
Stevenage
๐ŸŸจ
51'
Ivan Varfolomeev
Lincoln
๐Ÿ”„
56'
L. Thompson โ†” J. Houghton
Stevenage
๐Ÿ”„
62'
I. Varfolomeev โ†” T. Bayliss
Lincoln
๐Ÿ”„
62'
B. House โ†” A. Lloyd
Lincoln
๐Ÿ”„
63'
R. One โ†” R. Street
Lincoln
๐Ÿ”„
77'
T. Darikwa โ†” D. Elerewe
Lincoln
๐Ÿ”„
78'
R. Towler โ†” D. Jefferies
Lincoln
๐Ÿ”„
87'
J. Reid โ†” D. Sweeney
Stevenage
๐Ÿ”„
87'
M. Phillips โ†” B. Lubala
Stevenage
๐ŸŸจ
90+5'
Robert Street
Lincoln
๐Ÿ”„
90+6'
S. Earley โ†” D. Butler
Stevenage
โšฝ
90'
R. Street
Lincoln
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 89.9%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5

Probability Model

Home 30.9%
X 10.1%
Away 59%
1X 41%
X2 69.1%
12 89.9%

Tactical Setup

Stevenage formation 4-2-3-1
Lincoln formation 4-2-3-1
Stevenage missing 0
Lincoln missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Stevenage scorers J. Reid (13 goals), Daniel Kemp (6 goals), C. Campbell (4 goals)
Stevenage creators H. White (7 assists), J. Reid (3 assists), Daniel Kemp (3 assists)
Lincoln scorers Jack Moylan (10 goals), R. Hackett-Fairchild (9 goals), Robert Street (8 goals)
Lincoln creators R. Hackett-Fairchild (7 assists), Jack Moylan (4 assists), A. Reach (4 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Stevenage and Lincoln have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Stevenage 4-2-3-1 / Lincoln 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 0, draws 3, Lincoln wins 2

Match Analysis

Stevenage sit 6 with 67 points after 42 league matches. The record of 19 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 43:38 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Reid (13 goals), Daniel Kemp (6 goals), C. Campbell (4 goals), with creative support from H. White (7 assists), J. Reid (3 assists), Daniel Kemp (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Lincoln approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 93 points after 42 outings. The return of 28 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 79:36, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Jack Moylan (10 goals), R. Hackett-Fairchild (9 goals), Robert Street (8 goals), with creative support from R. Hackett-Fairchild (7 assists), Jack Moylan (4 assists), A. Reach (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Lincoln carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 93 points while Stevenage sit 6 on 67, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lincoln. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Lincoln having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lincoln look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Statistics

Stevenage Stat Lincoln
3 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 1
6 Total Shots 7
1 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 4
1 Shots outsidebox 3
11 Fouls 17
2 Corner Kicks 8
0 Offsides 3
40% Ball Possession 60%
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
258 Total passes 390
163 Passes accurate 257
63% Passes % 66%
0.89 expected_goals 0.81
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Stevenage
21.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Barnsley
1
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Bolton
1
5
L
11.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Bradford
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Blackpool
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Rotherham
0
0
D
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Lincoln
21.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Doncaster
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Leyton Orient
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Reading
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Rotherham
3
0
W
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Stevenage
21.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Barnsley
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Blackpool
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Reading
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Lincoln
21.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Doncaster
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Lincoln
Reading
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Huddersfield
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Exeter City
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Lincoln
Cardiff
2
0
W
Show more matches โŒ„

Lineups

Lincoln
Formation
Stevenage
6.0
G. Wickens
1
G. Wickens
7.3
T. Darikwa
2
โšฝ โ†“
T. Darikwa
5.9
T. Hamer
22
T. Hamer
6.9
S. Bradley
15
S. Bradley
6.3
R. Towler
6
โ†“
R. Towler
6.3
I. Varfolomeev
24
โ†“
I. Varfolomeev
7.0
C. McGrandles
14
C. McGrandles
5.9
R. Hackett-Fairchild
7
R. Hackett-Fairchild
6.5
J. Moylan
10
J. Moylan
6.2
B. House
18
โ†“
B. House
6.3
R. One
20
โ†“
R. One
6.2
F. Marschall
1
F. Marschall
6.6
J. Pattenden
17
J. Pattenden
6.9
C. Piergianni
5
๐ŸŽฏ
C. Piergianni
6.7
C. Goode
15
C. Goode
6.7
S. Earley
14
โ†“
S. Earley
6.9
D. Kemp
10
๐ŸŽฏ
D. Kemp
7.9
L. Thompson
23
โšฝ โ†“
L. Thompson
7.5
H. White
18
H. White
6.6
J. Roberts
11
J. Roberts
5.9
M. Phillips
25
โ†“
M. Phillips
7.2
J. Reid
19
โšฝ โ†“
J. Reid
Lincoln 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
G. Wickens
G
2
T. Darikwa
โšฝ 17' โ†“ 77'
D
22
T. Hamer
D
15
S. Bradley
๐ŸŸจ 44'
D
6
R. Towler
โ†“ 78'
D
24
I. Varfolomeev
โ†“ 62' ๐ŸŸจ 51'
M
14
C. McGrandles
M
7
R. Hackett-Fairchild
M
10
J. Moylan
M
18
B. House
โ†“ 62'
M
20
R. One
โ†“ 63'
F
Substitutes
13
Z. Jeacock
G
8
T. Bayliss
โ†‘ 62'
M
17
R. Street
โšฝ 90' โ†‘ 63' ๐ŸŸจ 90+5'
F
16
D. Jefferies
โ†‘ 78'
M
12
E. Ring
M
19
A. Lloyd
โ†‘ 62'
F
25
D. Elerewe
โ†‘ 77'
D
Stevenage 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Marschall
G
17
J. Pattenden
D
5
C. Piergianni
๐ŸŽฏ 3'
D
15
C. Goode
D
14
S. Earley
โ†“ 90+6'
D
10
D. Kemp
๐ŸŽฏ 27'
M
23
L. Thompson
โšฝ 3' โ†“ 56'
M
18
H. White
M
11
J. Roberts
M
25
M. Phillips
โ†“ 87' ๐ŸŸจ 45+2'
F
19
J. Reid
โšฝ 27' โ†“ 87'
F
Substitutes
13
T. Ashby-Hammond
G
4
J. Houghton
โ†‘ 56'
M
6
D. Sweeney
โ†‘ 87'
D
44
P. Patterson
F
30
B. Lubala
โ†‘ 87'
F
3
D. Butler
โ†‘ 90+6'
D
20
C. Campbell
M

Head to Head

Stevenage vs Lincoln 5 matches
18.04.2026
Stevenage 2 - 2 Lincoln
League One
FT
18.10.2025
Lincoln 1 - 0 Stevenage
League One
FT
04.01.2025
Lincoln 0 - 0 Stevenage
League One
FT
31.08.2024
Stevenage 0 - 1 Lincoln
League One
FT
02.03.2024
Lincoln 0 - 0 Stevenage
League One
FT