Vitoria vs Corinthians

Vitoria

Serie A

0 - 0

Barradao

Referee: A. Gomes Stefano

Corinthians

League: Serie A

Venue: Barradao

Referee: A. Gomes Stefano

Vitoria

Match Timeline

Corinthians

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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🟨

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🟨

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Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 94.9%

1X2

Home Win

BTTS

BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability Model

Home 57.9%

X 5.1%

Away 37.1%

1X 63%

X2 42.1%

12 94.9%

Tactical Setup

Vitoria formation 4-2-3-1

Corinthians formation 4-4-2

Vitoria missing 14

Corinthians missing 9

Key Squad Notes

Vitoria scorers Gabriel Baralhas (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), Ramon (2 goals)

Vitoria creators Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Erick (2 assists), Fabricio (1 assists)

Vitoria key absences Claudinho, Dudu, Edu

Corinthians scorers Andre (1 goals), Breno Bidon (1 goals), Gabriel Paulista (1 goals)

Corinthians creators R. Garro (3 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), Kaio César (1 assists)

Corinthians key absences M. Depay, Kaio Cesar, Gui Negao

Corinthians suspended Andre, Matheuzinho

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Vitoria and Corinthians have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)

Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-2-3-1 / Corinthians 4-4-2

Missing players: Vitoria 14, Corinthians 9

H2H summary: Vitoria wins 0, draws 2, Corinthians wins 3

Match Analysis

Vitoria sit 10 with 14 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gabriel Baralhas (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), Ramon (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Erick (2 assists), Fabricio (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Claudinho, Dudu, Edu unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Corinthians approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 11 points from 11 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Andre (1 goals), Breno Bidon (1 goals), Gabriel Paulista (1 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (3 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), Kaio César (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Depay, Kaio Cesar, Gui Negao, Andre, Matheuzinho, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Vitoria appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Corinthians. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Corinthians. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitoria expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Corinthians in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Corinthians having the stronger overall control.

Statistics

Vitoria Stat Corinthians

1 Shots on Goal 0

7 Shots off Goal 4

13 Total Shots 7

5 Blocked Shots 3

7 Shots insidebox 3

6 Shots outsidebox 4

13 Fouls 14

4 Corner Kicks 2

3 Offsides 0

54% Ball Possession 46%

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 1

429 Total passes 357

373 Passes accurate 299

87% Passes % 84%

0.65 expected_goals 0.18

0 goals_prevented 0

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Lineups

Vitoria

Formation

Corinthians

6.6

Lucas Arcanjo

6.9

Nathan Mendes

6.6

Caca

6.9

Luan Candido

6.7

Ramon

6.9

↓

Baralhas

6.9

↓

Caique Goncalves

6.9

Emmanuel Martinez

7.0

↓

Erick

6.2

↓

Renato Kayzer

6.9

↓

Matheuzinho

6.6

Hugo Souza

6.7

↓

P. Milans

7.3

Gabriel Paulista

6.6

Gustavo Henrique

7.3

Matheus Bidu

6.6

↓

Breno Bidon

6.5

↓

Raniele

6.9

A. Carrillo

6.7

↓

R. Garro

6.9

↓

Kayke

6.7

Yuri Alberto

Vitoria 4-3-3

Starting XI

Lucas Arcanjo

Nathan Mendes

🟨 90'

Caca

Luan Candido

Ramon

Baralhas

↓ 90+1'

Caique Goncalves

↓ 76'

Emmanuel Martinez

Erick

↓ 90'

Renato Kayzer

↓ 10'

Matheuzinho

↓ 76'

Substitutes

Gabriel

Osvaldo

A. Cantalapiedra

↑ 90'

Ronald Lopes

↑ 90+1'

Lucas Silva

Ze Vitor

↑ 76'

Rene

↑ 10'

Kauan

R. Lopez

D. Tarzia

↑ 76'

Pablo

Edenilson

Corinthians 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Hugo Souza

P. Milans

↓ 64'

Gabriel Paulista

Gustavo Henrique

Matheus Bidu

🟨 88'

Breno Bidon

↓ 55'

Raniele

↓ 64'

A. Carrillo

R. Garro

↓ 77' 🟨 45+5'

Kayke

↓ 77'

Yuri Alberto

Substitutes

Kaue

Z. Labyad

↑ 77'

Andre Ramalho

F. Angileri

J. Lingard

↑ 77'

M. Pereira

↑ 55'

Kaio Cesar

↑ 64'

Vitinho

Allan

↑ 64'

Pedro Raul

Dieguinho

I. Machado

Missing Players

Vitoria 14 missing

Claudinho

Missing Fixture Muscle Injury

OUT

Dudu

Missing Fixture Back Injury

OUT

Edu

Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury

OUT

Fintelman

Missing Fixture Hip Injury

OUT

Marinho

Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury

OUT

R. Ramos

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

Jamerson

Missing Fixture Inactive

OUT

H. Pedro

Missing Fixture Hand Injury

OUT

Riccieli

Missing Fixture Inactive

OUT

Camutanga

Missing Fixture Broken Leg

OUT

Matheusinho

Missing Fixture Injury

OUT

Neris

Missing Fixture Inactive

OUT

Erick

Questionable Inactive

OUT

Fabricio

Missing Fixture Inactive

OUT

Corinthians 9 missing

M. Depay

Missing Fixture Thigh Injury

OUT

Kaio Cesar

Questionable Thigh Injury

OUT

Gui Negao

Missing Fixture Inactive

OUT

Joao Pedro

Missing Fixture Inactive

OUT

Charles Rigon

Missing Fixture Inactive

OUT

Andre

Missing Fixture Red Card

OUT

F. Angileri

Questionable Inactive

OUT

Matheuzinho

Missing Fixture Red Card

OUT

Hugo Souza

Missing Fixture Suspended

OUT

Head to Head

Vitoria vs Corinthians 5 matches

18.04.2026

Vitoria 0 - 0 Corinthians

Serie A

25.10.2025

Vitoria 0 - 1 Corinthians

Serie A

01.06.2025

Corinthians 0 - 0 Vitoria

Serie A

09.11.2024

Vitoria 1 - 2 Corinthians

Serie A

04.07.2024

Corinthians 3 - 2 Vitoria

Serie A