Cruzeiro vs Gremio

Cruzeiro

Serie A

2 - 0

Governador Magalhães Pinto

Referee: R. Claus

Gremio

League: Serie A

Venue: Governador Magalhães Pinto

Referee: R. Claus

Cruzeiro

Match Timeline

Gremio

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

🟨

🔄

⚽

🔄

🟨

🔄

⚽

🔄

🟨

🔄

🟨

Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 92.5%

1X2

Home Win

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 71.8%

X 7.5%

Away 20.7%

1X 79.3%

X2 28.2%

12 92.5%

Tactical Setup

Cruzeiro formation 4-2-3-1

Gremio formation 4-1-4-1

Cruzeiro missing 3

Gremio missing 6

Key Squad Notes

Cruzeiro scorers Christian (4 goals), N. Villarreal (3 goals), Kaio Jorge (2 goals)

Cruzeiro creators Kaiki (2 assists), Keny Arroyo (2 assists), L. Romero (2 assists)

Cruzeiro key absences Cassio, Marquinhos, L. Sinisterra

Gremio scorers Carlos Vinicius (7 goals), Edenilson (2 goals), Camutanga (1 goals)

Gremio creators Edenilson (2 assists), F. Amuzu (2 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists)

Gremio key absences Marlon, M. Villasanti, Joao Pedro

Gremio suspended Viery

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Cruzeiro and Gremio have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)

Predicted formations: Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1

Missing players: Cruzeiro 3, Gremio 6

H2H summary: Cruzeiro wins 4, draws 1, Gremio wins 0

Match Analysis

Cruzeiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 10 points from 11 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 14:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Christian (4 goals), N. Villarreal (3 goals), Kaio Jorge (2 goals), with creative support from Kaiki (2 assists), Keny Arroyo (2 assists), L. Romero (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Cassio, Marquinhos, L. Sinisterra unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

From their first 11 matches, Gremio have collected 13 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Carlos Vinicius (7 goals), Edenilson (2 goals), Camutanga (1 goals), with creative support from Edenilson (2 assists), F. Amuzu (2 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Marlon, M. Villasanti, Joao Pedro, Viery unavailable.

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cruzeiro expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gremio in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gremio having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gremio. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Statistics

Cruzeiro Stat Gremio

6 Shots on Goal 1

11 Shots off Goal 6

18 Total Shots 9

1 Blocked Shots 2

13 Shots insidebox 4

5 Shots outsidebox 5

16 Fouls 13

4 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 2

41% Ball Possession 59%

4 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

312 Total passes 455

268 Passes accurate 410

86% Passes % 90%

1.85 expected_goals 0.48

0 goals_prevented 0

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Lineups

Cruzeiro

Formation

Gremio

7.2

Matheus Cunha

6.9

Fagner

6.9

Fabricio Bruno

7.2

Jonathan Jesus

7.3

Kaiki

7.9

🎯 ↓

Gerson

8.2

⚽ ↓

L. Romero

7.6

K. Arroyo

7.2

🎯 ↓

Matheus Pereira

7.2

⚽ ↓

Christian

6.9

↓

Kaio Jorge

6.7

Weverton

6.3

C. Pavon

5.9

Gustavo Martins

7.0

Wagner Leonardo

6.9

Pedro Gabriel

6.2

↓

J. Nardoni

6.9

↓

E. Noriega

7.5

Arthur Melo

6.3

↓

J. Enamorado

6.7

↓

Carlos Vinicius

6.3

↓

F. Amuzu

Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Matheus Cunha

Fagner

Fabricio Bruno

🟨 20'

Jonathan Jesus

Kaiki

Gerson

🎯 51' ↓ 61'

L. Romero

⚽ 66' ↓ 75'

K. Arroyo

Matheus Pereira

🎯 66' ↓ 68' 🟨 44'

Christian

⚽ 51' ↓ 75'

Kaio Jorge

↓ 46'

Substitutes

Otavio Costa

L. Villalba

🟨 -5'

Wanderson

↑ 75'

Chico

Bruno Rodrigues

↑ 68'

Kaua Moraes

Lucas Silva

↑ 75' 🟨 90+1'

L. Sinisterra

Matheus Henrique

↑ 61'

Joao Marcelo

N. Villarreal

↑ 46'

Kaua Prates

Gremio 4-3-3

Starting XI

Weverton

C. Pavon

Gustavo Martins

🟨 77'

Wagner Leonardo

Pedro Gabriel

J. Nardoni

↓ 57'

E. Noriega

↓ 71' 🟨 61'

Arthur Melo

J. Enamorado

↓ 71'

Carlos Vinicius

↓ 84'

F. Amuzu

↓ 71'

Substitutes

Gabriel Grando

M. Braithwaite

↑ 84'

Marcos Rocha

Fabian Balbuena

Dodi

Caio Paulista

Tete

↑ 71'

Luis Eduardo

M. Monsalve

↑ 57'

L. Perez

↑ 71' 🟨 85'

Gabriel Mec

↑ 71'

Tiago

Missing Players

Cruzeiro 3 missing

Cassio

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

Marquinhos

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

L. Sinisterra

Questionable Hamstring Injury

OUT

Gremio 6 missing

Marlon

Missing Fixture Broken ankle

OUT

M. Villasanti

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

Joao Pedro

Missing Fixture Muscle Injury

OUT

Willian

Missing Fixture Inactive

OUT

Viery

Missing Fixture Red Card

OUT

Walter Kannemann

Missing Fixture Inactive

OUT

Head to Head

Cruzeiro vs Gremio 5 matches

18.04.2026

Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Gremio

Serie A

05.11.2025

Gremio 0 - 1 Cruzeiro

Serie A

13.07.2025

Cruzeiro 4 - 1 Gremio

Serie A

28.11.2024

Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Gremio

Serie A

10.07.2024

Gremio 0 - 2 Cruzeiro

Serie A