Hatayspor
1. Lig
HT
0
-
1
Sakaryaspor
League: 1. Lig
Venue: Mersin Stadyumu
Referee: Ilker Yasin Avci, Türkiye
Hatayspor
Live Timeline
Sakaryaspor
Main Prediction
No Draw
Confidence 83.6%
1X2
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability Model
Home
40.6%
X
16.4%
Away
43%
1X
57%
X2
59.5%
12
83.6%
Tactical Setup
Hatayspor formation
4-2-3-1
Sakaryaspor formation
4-1-3-2
Hatayspor missing
0
Sakaryaspor missing
0
Key Squad Notes
Hatayspor scorers
F. Bamgboye (3 goals), G. Saglam (3 goals), J. Okoronkwo (3 goals)
Hatayspor creators
F. Bamgboye (2 assists), J. Okoronkwo (2 assists), Oguzhan Matur (2 assists)
Sakaryaspor scorers
G. Kakuta (8 goals), W. Ben Yedder (5 goals), Łukasz Zwoliński (4 goals)
Sakaryaspor creators
S. Yavuz (4 assists), Caner Erkin (4 assists), G. Kakuta (3 assists)
Head-to-Head Snapshot
Hatayspor and Sakaryaspor have faced each other 3 times recently.
Quick Insight
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Hatayspor 4-2-3-1 / Sakaryaspor 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Hatayspor wins 2, draws 0, Sakaryaspor wins 1
Match Analysis
Hatayspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 10 points from 35 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 27 losses, together with goals at 27:96, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through F. Bamgboye (3 goals), G. Saglam (3 goals), J. Okoronkwo (3 goals), with creative support from F. Bamgboye (2 assists), J. Okoronkwo (2 assists), Oguzhan Matur (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sakaryaspor sit 18 with 33 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats with a 43:60 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Kakuta (8 goals), W. Ben Yedder (5 goals), Łukasz Zwoliński (4 goals), with creative support from S. Yavuz (4 assists), Caner Erkin (4 assists), G. Kakuta (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sakaryaspor. Sakaryaspor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 18 with 33 points while Hatayspor sit 19 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hatayspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sakaryaspor in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sakaryaspor having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Statistics
Hatayspor
Stat
Sakaryaspor
2
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
2
4
Total Shots
5
0
Blocked Shots
1
2
Shots insidebox
2
2
Shots outsidebox
3
5
Fouls
10
0
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
50%
Ball Possession
50%
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
168
Total passes
169
137
Passes accurate
144
82%
Passes %
85%
0
expected_goals
0
0
goals_prevented
0
Last matches: Hatayspor
11.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sarıyer
0
4
L
07.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor
4
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Pendikspor
1
4
L
22.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Amed
0
3
L
15.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
3
L
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Last matches: Sakaryaspor
13.04.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
Esenler Erokspor
1
2
L
08.04.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
Ümraniyespor
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
İstanbulspor
2
2
D
21.03.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
Serik Spor
0
2
L
15.03.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
Vanspor FK
2
1
W
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Last matches: Hatayspor
07.04.26
1.
Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor
4
0
W
22.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Amed
0
3
L
11.03.26
1.
Hatayspor
Sivasspor
1
2
L
28.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Bodrum FK
1
3
L
17.02.26
1.
Hatayspor
Iğdır FK
0
2
L
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Last matches: Sakaryaspor
08.04.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
Ümraniyespor
0
2
L
21.03.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
Serik Spor
0
2
L
11.03.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
Keçiörengücü
1
1
D
23.02.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
Sivasspor
1
4
L
15.02.26
1.
Sakaryaspor
Amed
1
1
D
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Lineups
Hatayspor
Formation
Sakaryaspor
78
Emir Dadük
21
Seyit Gazanfer
5
Hakan Cinemre
95
Yigit Ali Buz
23
Cenk Dogan
4
Muhammed Gönülaçar
48
Sharif Osman
85
Ensar Arslan
25
Yunus Azrak
18
Ünal-Emre Durmushan
90
Prince Ating
1
Ataberk Dadakdeniz
25
Alparslan Demir
86
Burak Bekaroğlu
43
Arif Kocaman
22
Alaaddin Okumuş
80
Selim Kütük
16
Kerem Şen
91
Melih Bostan
14
Emre Demir
99
Poyraz Efe Yıldırım
9
Lukasz Zwolinski
Hatayspor
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
78
Emir Dadük
G
21
Seyit Gazanfer
D
5
Hakan Cinemre
D
95
Yigit Ali Buz
D
23
Cenk Dogan
D
4
Muhammed Gönülaçar
M
48
Sharif Osman
M
85
Ensar Arslan
M
25
Yunus Azrak
M
18
Ünal-Emre Durmushan
M
90
Prince Ating
F
Substitutes
34
Demir Sarıcalı
G
33
Ersin Aydemir
F
47
Sinan Ozen
D
97
Melih Sen
D
20
Ali Yıldız
F
98
Mustafa Aydin
M
57
Musa Abdulahi
M
30
Eren Guler
F
9
Deniz Aksoy
F
17
Yilmaz Cin
M
Sakaryaspor
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Ataberk Dadakdeniz
G
25
Alparslan Demir
D
🟨 36'
86
Burak Bekaroğlu
D
43
Arif Kocaman
D
22
Alaaddin Okumuş
D
80
Selim Kütük
M
16
Kerem Şen
M
91
Melih Bostan
M
⚽ 11'
14
Emre Demir
M
99
Poyraz Efe Yıldırım
M
9
Lukasz Zwolinski
F
Substitutes
34
Göktuğ Baytekin
G
94
Doğukan Tuzcu
D
26
Ayberk Açikgöz
D
28
Özgür Çoban
D
85
Mohamed Fofana
M
7
Mete Kaan Demir
M
17
Haydar Karataş
M
18
Erdem Dağlı
F
77
Eren Erdoğan
F
30
Yunus Emre Tekerci
F
Head to Head
Hatayspor vs Sakaryaspor
3 matches
15.12.2025
Sakaryaspor 3 - 0 Hatayspor
FT
1. Lig
16.01.2024
Hatayspor 5 - 1 Sakaryaspor
FT
Türkiye Kupası
11.09.2023
Hatayspor 2 - 0 Sakaryaspor
FT
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