Wrexham
Championship
FT
2 - 0
Racecourse Ground
Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
Stoke City
League: Championship
Venue: Racecourse Ground
Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
Wrexham
Match Timeline
Stoke City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
โšฝ
31'
J. Windass ยท Assist: G. Thomason
Wrexham
โšฝ
33'
J. Windass
Wrexham
๐Ÿ”„
46'
A. Cresswell โ†” J. Rak-Sakyi
Stoke City
๐ŸŸจ
47'
Million Manhoef
Stoke City
๐Ÿ”„
52'
S. Gallagher โ†” R. Bozenik
Stoke City
๐Ÿ”„
68'
L. Baker โ†” T. Seko
Stoke City
๐Ÿ”„
73'
O. Rathbone โ†” L. O'Brien
Wrexham
๐Ÿ”„
78'
J. Windass โ†” N. Broadhead
Wrexham
๐Ÿ”„
79'
S. Smith โ†” K. Moore
Wrexham
๐Ÿ”„
86'
B. Lawal โ†” R. Otegbayo
Stoke City
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 100%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 79.9%
X 0%
Away 20.1%
1X 79.9%
X2 20.1%
12 100%

Tactical Setup

Wrexham formation 3-4-2-1
Stoke City formation 4-2-3-1
Wrexham missing 4
Stoke City missing 9

Key Squad Notes

Wrexham scorers J. Windass (12 goals), K. Moore (11 goals), N. Broadhead (7 goals)
Wrexham creators L. O'Brien (6 assists), J. Windass (5 assists), I. Kabore (5 assists)
Wrexham key absences L. Cacace, A. James, T. O'Connor
Stoke City scorers S. Thomas (10 goals), M. Manhoef (7 goals), D. Mubama (5 goals)
Stoke City creators S. Thomas (10 assists), M. Manhoef (3 assists), J. Bae (3 assists)
Stoke City key absences A. Ampah, R. Bozenik, V. Johansson
Stoke City suspended A. Phillips

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Wrexham and Stoke City have faced each other 3 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Wrexham 3-4-2-1 / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Wrexham 4, Stoke City 9
H2H summary: Wrexham wins 1, draws 0, Stoke City wins 2

Match Analysis

Wrexham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 64 points from 42 matches. Across the season they have posted 17 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 63:60 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Windass (12 goals), K. Moore (11 goals), N. Broadhead (7 goals), with creative support from L. O'Brien (6 assists), J. Windass (5 assists), I. Kabore (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Cacace, A. James, T. O'Connor unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Stoke City sit 16 with 55 points after 42 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 17 defeats with a 49:46 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Thomas (10 goals), M. Manhoef (7 goals), D. Mubama (5 goals), with creative support from S. Thomas (10 assists), M. Manhoef (3 assists), J. Bae (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Ampah, R. Bozenik, V. Johansson, A. Phillips unavailable.
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Stoke City seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Stoke City. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wrexham expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Stoke City in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stoke City having the stronger overall control. Wrexham arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 64 points compared to Stoke City in 16 on 55, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Wrexham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Statistics

Wrexham Stat Stoke City
4 Shots on Goal 0
3 Shots off Goal 4
9 Total Shots 6
2 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 1
8 Fouls 8
2 Corner Kicks 6
5 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
446 Total passes 374
364 Passes accurate 291
82% Passes % 78%
1.25 expected_goals 0.35
-1 goals_prevented -1
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Lineups

Wrexham
Formation
Stoke City
7.2
D. Ward
21
D. Ward
6.6
I. Kabore
12
I. Kabore
6.9
D. Hyam
5
D. Hyam
7.3
D. Scarr
24
D. Scarr
7.5
C. Doyle
2
C. Doyle
8.3
G. Thomason
14
๐ŸŽฏ
G. Thomason
6.9
G. Dobson
15
G. Dobson
7.0
M. James
37
M. James
7.0
O. Rathbone
20
โ†“
O. Rathbone
6.5
S. Smith
28
โ†“
S. Smith
7.3
J. Windass
10
โšฝ 2 โ†“
J. Windass
6.3
G. Bazunu
31
G. Bazunu
6.2
S. Thomas
7
S. Thomas
B. Lawal
18
โ†“
B. Lawal
5.7
A. Cresswell
3
โ†“
A. Cresswell
5.9
E. Bocat
17
E. Bocat
7.7
B. Pearson
4
B. Pearson
6.5
L. Baker
8
โ†“
L. Baker
5.7
M. Manhoef
42
M. Manhoef
6.7
J. Bae
10
J. Bae
6.3
L. Cisse
29
L. Cisse
6.6
S. Gallagher
20
โ†“
S. Gallagher
Wrexham 5-3-2
Starting XI
21
D. Ward
G
12
I. Kabore
D
5
D. Hyam
D
24
D. Scarr
D
2
C. Doyle
D
14
G. Thomason
๐ŸŽฏ 31'
D
15
G. Dobson
M
37
M. James
M
20
O. Rathbone
โ†“ 73'
M
28
S. Smith
โ†“ 79'
F
10
J. Windass
โšฝ 31' โšฝ 33' โ†“ 78'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Okonkwo
G
33
N. Broadhead
โ†‘ 78'
F
27
L. O'Brien
โ†‘ 73'
M
47
R. Longman
M
3
L. Brunt
D
11
B. Cadamarteri
F
19
K. Moore
โ†‘ 79'
F
7
D. Keillor-Dunn
M
4
M. Cleworth
D
Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
G. Bazunu
G
7
S. Thomas
D
18
B. Lawal
โ†“ 86'
3
A. Cresswell
โ†“ 46'
D
17
E. Bocat
D
4
B. Pearson
M
8
L. Baker
โ†“ 68'
M
42
M. Manhoef
๐ŸŸจ 47'
M
10
J. Bae
M
29
L. Cisse
M
20
S. Gallagher
โ†“ 52'
F
Substitutes
25
T. Simkin
G
11
R. Bozenik
โ†‘ 52'
F
12
T. Seko
โ†‘ 68'
M
49
M. Smit
F
21
J. Rak-Sakyi
โ†‘ 46'
F
9
D. Mubama
F
50
S. Agina
M
59
G. Kelly
M
54
R. Otegbayo
โ†‘ 86'
M

Missing Players

Wrexham 4 missing
-
L. Cacace
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. James
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
T. O'Connor
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
B. Sheaf
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
Stoke City 9 missing
-
A. Ampah
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
R. Bozenik
Questionable Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
V. Johansson
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
B. Wilmot
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
M. Talovierov
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Tchamadeu
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
T. Rigo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Phillips
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
B. Gibson
Questionable Injury
OUT

Head to Head

Wrexham vs Stoke City 3 matches
18.04.2026
Wrexham 2 - 0 Stoke City
Championship
FT
18.10.2025
Stoke City 1 - 0 Wrexham
Championship
FT
04.01.2015
Stoke City 3 - 1 Wrexham
FA Cup
FT