Watford
Championship
NS
--.--.---- --:--
Vicarage Road
Referee: J. Busby
Sheffield Utd
League: Championship
Venue: Vicarage Road
Referee: J. Busby
Main Prediction

No Draw

Confidence 86.6%
1X2
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 39.4%
X 13.4%
Away 47.2%
1X 52.8%
X2 60.6%
12 86.6%

Tactical Setup

Watford formation 4-4-2
Sheffield Utd formation 4-2-3-1
Watford missing 5
Sheffield Utd missing 5

Key Squad Notes

Watford scorers L. Kjerrumgaard (9 goals), I. Louza (7 goals), Mamadou Doumbia (5 goals)
Watford creators I. Louza (9 assists), N. Irankunda (4 assists), Jeremy Ngakia (4 assists)
Watford key absences H. Kyprianou, J. Ngakia, R. Vata
Sheffield Utd scorers C. O'Hare (9 goals), P. Bamford (9 goals), Andre Brooks (6 goals)
Sheffield Utd creators Gustavo Hamer (11 assists), C. O'Hare (6 assists), Harrison Burrows (4 assists)
Sheffield Utd key absences M. Cooper, S. McCallum, J. Shackleton

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Watford and Sheffield Utd have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Watford 4-4-2 / Sheffield Utd 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Watford 5, Sheffield Utd 5
H2H summary: Watford wins 1, draws 0, Sheffield Utd wins 4

Match Analysis

So far, Watford have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 57 points from 42 matches. The record of 14 wins, 15 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 52:51 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Kjerrumgaard (9 goals), I. Louza (7 goals), Mamadou Doumbia (5 goals), with creative support from I. Louza (9 assists), N. Irankunda (4 assists), Jeremy Ngakia (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with H. Kyprianou, J. Ngakia, R. Vata unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Sheffield Utd approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 54 points from 42 matches. Their record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 59:59, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. O'Hare (9 goals), P. Bamford (9 goals), Andre Brooks (6 goals), with creative support from Gustavo Hamer (11 assists), C. O'Hare (6 assists), Harrison Burrows (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Cooper, S. McCallum, J. Shackleton unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
This match looks like a contest between Watford's more proactive style and Sheffield Utd's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sheffield Utd. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Watford expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sheffield Utd in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sheffield Utd having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Last matches: Watford
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
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Last matches: Sheffield Utd
11.04.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
Hull City
2
1
W
06.04.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
Bristol City
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
Swansea
3
3
D
21.03.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
Wrexham
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
Birmingham
1
1
D
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Last matches: Watford
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
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Last matches: Sheffield Utd
06.04.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
Bristol City
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
Norwich
1
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
QPR
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Sheffield Utd
Portsmouth
1
0
W
Show more matches

Missing Players

Watford 5 missing
-
H. Kyprianou
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Ngakia
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
R. Vata
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Bola
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
J. Grieves
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Sheffield Utd 5 missing
-
M. Cooper
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. McCallum
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Shackleton
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
K. Phillips
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
T. Campbell
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT

Head to Head

Watford vs Sheffield Utd 5 matches
18.10.2025
Sheffield Utd 1 - 0 Watford
Championship
FT
04.01.2025
Watford 1 - 2 Sheffield Utd
Championship
FT
01.09.2024
Sheffield Utd 1 - 0 Watford
Championship
FT
25.02.2023
Sheffield Utd 1 - 0 Watford
Championship
FT
01.08.2022
Watford 1 - 0 Sheffield Utd
Championship
FT