Millwall
Championship
NS
--.--.---- --:--
The Den
Referee: T. Nield
QPR
League: Championship
Venue: The Den
Referee: T. Nield
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 81.6%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 54.9%
X 18.4%
Away 26.7%
1X 73.3%
X2 45.1%
12 81.6%

Tactical Setup

Millwall formation 4-2-3-1
QPR formation 4-4-2
Millwall missing 5
QPR missing 5

Key Squad Notes

Millwall scorers M. Ivanovic (9 goals), F. Azeez (8 goals), Josh Coburn (8 goals)
Millwall creators F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), A. Doughty (5 assists)
Millwall key absences L. Jensen, D. Kelly, M. Luongo
QPR scorers R. Burrell (10 goals), R. Kone (9 goals), P. Smyth (6 goals)
QPR creators N. Madsen (6 assists), B. Whiteman (5 assists), H. Vale (4 assists)
QPR key absences I. Chair, K. Dembele, Z. Larkeche

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Millwall and QPR have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Millwall 4-2-3-1 / QPR 4-4-2
Missing players: Millwall 5, QPR 5
H2H summary: Millwall wins 3, draws 1, QPR wins 1

Match Analysis

Millwall arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 73 points after 42 matches. The record of 21 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 56:47 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Ivanovic (9 goals), F. Azeez (8 goals), Josh Coburn (8 goals), with creative support from F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), A. Doughty (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Jensen, D. Kelly, M. Luongo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
QPR sit 11 with 58 points after 42 league matches. Their overall return of 16 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 58:63 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Burrell (10 goals), R. Kone (9 goals), P. Smyth (6 goals), with creative support from N. Madsen (6 assists), B. Whiteman (5 assists), H. Vale (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with I. Chair, K. Dembele, Z. Larkeche unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Millwall's more proactive style and QPR's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Millwall arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 73 points compared to QPR in 11 on 58, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring QPR. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Millwall expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and QPR in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward QPR having the stronger overall control.
Last matches: Millwall
10.04.26
Cha
Millwall
West Brom
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Ipswich
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
Show more matches ⌄
Last matches: QPR
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
Show more matches ⌄
Last matches: Millwall
06.04.26
Cha
Millwall
Norwich
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Blackburn
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Millwall
Derby
1
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Birmingham
3
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
3
L
Show more matches ⌄
Last matches: QPR
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
Show more matches ⌄

Lineups

Millwall
Formation
QPR
Anthony Patterson
13
Anthony Patterson
Tristan Crama
4
Tristan Crama
Caleb Taylor
6
Caleb Taylor
Jake Cooper
5
Jake Cooper
Zak Sturge
3
Zak Sturge
Derek Mazou-Sacko
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
Casper De Norre
24
Casper De Norre
Femi Azeez
11
Femi Azeez
Camiel Neghli
10
Camiel Neghli
Thierno Ballo
7
Thierno Ballo
Josh Coburn
19
Josh Coburn
Joe Walsh
13
Joe Walsh
Amadou Salif Mbengue
27
Amadou Salif Mbengue
Ronnie Edwards
37
Ronnie Edwards
Jake Clarke-Salter
6
Jake Clarke-Salter
Rhys Norrington-Davies
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
Jonathan Varane
40
Jonathan Varane
Kieran Morgan
21
Kieran Morgan
Kwame Poku
17
Kwame Poku
Harvey Vale
20
Harvey Vale
Paul Smyth
11
Paul Smyth
Richard Kone
22
Richard Kone
Millwall 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
Anthony Patterson
G
4
Tristan Crama
D
6
Caleb Taylor
D
5
Jake Cooper
D
3
Zak Sturge
D
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
M
24
Casper De Norre
M
11
Femi Azeez
M
10
Camiel Neghli
M
7
Thierno Ballo
M
19
Josh Coburn
F
Substitutes
15
Max Crocombe
G
18
Ryan Leonard
M
2
Danny McNamara
D
25
Luke Cundle
M
22
Tom Watson
F
67
Barry Bannan
M
9
Mihailo Ivanović
F
17
Macaulay Langstaff
F
29
Zak Lovelace
F
QPR 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
Joe Walsh
G
27
Amadou Salif Mbengue
D
37
Ronnie Edwards
D
6
Jake Clarke-Salter
D
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
40
Jonathan Varane
M
21
Kieran Morgan
M
17
Kwame Poku
M
20
Harvey Vale
M
11
Paul Smyth
M
22
Richard Kone
F
Substitutes
29
Ben Hamer
G
2
Kealey Adamson
D
5
Steve Cook
D
15
Isaac Hayden
M
10
Ilias Chair
M
24
Nicolas Madsen
M
23
Daniel Bennie
F
16
Rumarn Burrell
F
26
Rayan Kolli
F

Missing Players

Millwall 5 missing
-
L. Jensen
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Kelly
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Luongo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Doughty
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
W. Smallbone
Questionable Inactive
OUT
QPR 5 missing
-
I. Chair
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
K. Dembele
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Z. Larkeche
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Madsen
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Obikwu
Questionable Knock
OUT

Head to Head

Millwall vs QPR 5 matches
18.10.2025
QPR 1 - 2 Millwall
Championship
FT
01.02.2025
Millwall 2 - 1 QPR
Championship
FT
21.09.2024
QPR 1 - 1 Millwall
Championship
FT
20.01.2024
QPR 2 - 0 Millwall
Championship
FT
26.12.2023
Millwall 2 - 0 QPR
Championship
FT