AS Roma
Serie A
FT
1
-
1
Atalanta
League: Serie A
Venue: Stadio Olimpico
Referee: M. Marcenaro
AS Roma
Match Timeline
Atalanta
Main Prediction
Home Win
Confidence 100%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability Model
Home
54%
X
0%
Away
46%
1X
54%
X2
46%
12
100%
Tactical Setup
AS Roma formation
3-4-2-1
Atalanta formation
3-4-2-1
AS Roma missing
6
Atalanta missing
2
Key Squad Notes
AS Roma scorers
D. Malen (10 goals), M. Soule (6 goals), L. Pellegrini (4 goals)
AS Roma creators
M. Soule (5 assists), D. Rensch (3 assists), L. Pellegrini (2 assists)
AS Roma key absences
Wesley Franca, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini
Atalanta scorers
N. Krstovic (9 goals), G. Scamacca (8 goals), C. De Ketelaere (3 goals)
Atalanta creators
C. De Ketelaere (5 assists), N. Zalewski (5 assists), N. Krstovic (4 assists)
Atalanta key absences
K. Sulemana, I. Hien
Head-to-Head Snapshot
AS Roma and Atalanta have faced each other 5 times recently.
Quick Insight
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: AS Roma 3-4-2-1 / Atalanta 3-4-2-1
Missing players: AS Roma 6, Atalanta 2
H2H summary: AS Roma wins 0, draws 1, Atalanta wins 4
Match Analysis
AS Roma sit 6 with 57 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 18 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats with a 45:28 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Malen (10 goals), M. Soule (6 goals), L. Pellegrini (4 goals), with creative support from M. Soule (5 assists), D. Rensch (3 assists), L. Pellegrini (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without Wesley Franca, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Atalanta sit 7 with 53 points after 32 league matches. The record of 14 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 44:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Krstovic (9 goals), G. Scamacca (8 goals), C. De Ketelaere (3 goals), with creative support from C. De Ketelaere (5 assists), N. Zalewski (5 assists), N. Krstovic (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with K. Sulemana, I. Hien unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. AS Roma appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Atalanta. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atalanta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. AS Roma have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Statistics
AS Roma
Stat
Atalanta
9
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
3
19
Total Shots
8
6
Blocked Shots
3
15
Shots insidebox
2
4
Shots outsidebox
6
4
Fouls
14
7
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
3
53%
Ball Possession
47%
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
8
538
Total passes
488
462
Passes accurate
394
86%
Passes %
81%
1.07
expected_goals
0.68
0
goals_prevented
0
Last matches: AS Roma
10.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Pisa
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Inter
2
5
L
22.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lecce
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
3
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Como
1
2
L
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Last matches: Atalanta
22.04.26
Cop
Atalanta
Lazio
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Atalanta
Juventus
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Atalanta
Lecce
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Atalanta
Bayern Mรผnchen
1
4
L
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Last matches: AS Roma
10.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Pisa
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lecce
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
3
4
L
01.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Juventus
3
3
D
22.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Cremonese
3
0
W
Show more matches โ
Last matches: Atalanta
06.04.26
Ser
Atalanta
Lecce
3
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Atalanta
Bayern Mรผnchen
1
4
L
14.03.26
Ser
Atalanta
Inter
1
1
D
04.03.26
Cop
Atalanta
Lazio
2
2
D
01.03.26
Ser
Atalanta
Sassuolo
1
2
L
Show more matches โ
Lineups
AS Roma
Formation
Atalanta
99
M. Svilar
23
G. Mancini
5
E. Ndicka
22
M. Hermoso
19
Z. Celik
8
N. El Aynaoui
4
B. Cristante
2
D. Rensch
18
M. Soule
92
S. El Shaarawy
14
D. Malen
29
M. Carnesecchi
42
G. Scalvini
19
B. Djimsiti
23
S. Kolasinac
16
R. Bellanova
15
M. De Roon
13
Ederson
77
D. Zappacosta
17
C. De Ketelaere
18
G. Raspadori
90
N. Krstovic
AS Roma
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
99
M. Svilar
G
23
G. Mancini
D
โ 60'
5
E. Ndicka
D
22
M. Hermoso
D
โฝ 45'
19
Z. Celik
M
8
N. El Aynaoui
M
โ 60'
4
B. Cristante
M
2
D. Rensch
M
๐ฏ 45'
โ 78'
18
M. Soule
F
โ 71'
92
S. El Shaarawy
F
โ 60'
14
D. Malen
F
Substitutes
70
G. De Marzi
G
95
P. Gollini
G
12
K. Tsimikas
D
โ 78'
97
B. Zaragoza
F
61
N. Pisilli
M
โ 60'
๐จ 75'
24
J. Ziolkowski
D
78
R. Vaz
F
โ 71'
3
Angelino
D
87
D. Ghilardi
D
โ 60'
20
L. Venturino
F
โ 60'
Atalanta
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
29
M. Carnesecchi
G
42
G. Scalvini
D
โ 46'
19
B. Djimsiti
D
๐จ 90+1'
23
S. Kolasinac
D
โ 46'
16
R. Bellanova
M
โ 54'
15
M. De Roon
M
๐ฏ 12'
13
Ederson
M
โ 80'
๐จ 65'
77
D. Zappacosta
M
17
C. De Ketelaere
F
โ 46'
18
G. Raspadori
F
90
N. Krstovic
F
โฝ 12'
Substitutes
57
M. Sportiello
G
50
P. Pardel
G
6
Y. Musah
M
47
L. Bernasconi
D
โ 54'
40
R. Obric
D
69
H. Ahanor
D
โ 46'
8
M. Pasalic
M
โ 80'
9
G. Scamacca
F
5
M. Bakker
D
3
O. Kossounou
D
โ 46'
59
N. Zalewski
M
โ 46'
10
L. Samardzic
M
Missing Players
AS Roma
6 missing
-
Wesley Franca
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
-
M. Kone
OUT
Missing Fixture
Muscle Injury
-
L. Pellegrini
OUT
Missing Fixture
Thigh Injury
-
A. Dovbyk
OUT
Missing Fixture
Groin Injury
-
P. Dybala
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
E. Ferguson
OUT
Missing Fixture
Ankle Injury
Atalanta
2 missing
-
K. Sulemana
OUT
Missing Fixture
Foot Injury
-
I. Hien
OUT
Missing Fixture
Thigh Injury
Head to Head
AS Roma vs Atalanta
5 matches
18.04.2026
AS Roma 1 - 1 Atalanta
FT
Serie A
03.01.2026
Atalanta 1 - 0 AS Roma
FT
Serie A
12.05.2025
Atalanta 2 - 1 AS Roma
FT
Serie A
02.12.2024
AS Roma 0 - 2 Atalanta
FT
Serie A
12.05.2024
Atalanta 2 - 1 AS Roma
FT
Serie A