Udinese
Serie A
FT
0 - 1
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Referee: D. Di Marco
Parma
League: Serie A
Venue: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Referee: D. Di Marco
Udinese
Match Timeline
Parma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
๐Ÿ”„
46'
M. Pellegrino โ†” N. Elphege
Parma
โšฝ
51'
N. Elphege ยท Assist: G. Strefezza
Parma
๐Ÿ”„
64'
J. Piotrowski โ†” I. Gueye
Udinese
๐Ÿ”„
64'
H. Kamara โ†” J. Arizala
Udinese
๐Ÿ”„
66'
G. Strefezza โ†” J. Ondrejka
Parma
๐Ÿ”„
66'
A. Bernabe โ†” C. Ordonez
Parma
๐ŸŸจ
70'
Nicolรฒ Zaniolo
Udinese
๐Ÿ”„
72'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia โ†” N. Estevez
Parma
๐Ÿ”„
73'
J. Ekkelenkamp โ†” A. Buksa
Udinese
๐Ÿ”„
73'
K. Ehizibue โ†” O. Zarraga
Udinese
๐Ÿ”„
75'
A. Ndiaye โ†” S. Britschgi
Parma
๐Ÿ”„
81'
T. Kristensen โ†” B. Mlacic
Udinese
๐ŸŸจ
84'
Jesper Karlstrom
Udinese
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 86.4%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 57.1%
X 13.6%
Away 29.2%
1X 70.8%
X2 42.9%
12 86.4%

Tactical Setup

Udinese formation 3-1-4-2
Parma formation 3-5-2
Udinese missing 3
Parma missing 2

Key Squad Notes

Udinese scorers Keinan Davis (10 goals), J. Ekkelenkamp (5 goals), Nicolรฒ Zaniolo (5 goals)
Udinese creators Nicolรฒ Zaniolo (6 assists), Keinan Davis (3 assists), A. Atta (3 assists)
Udinese key absences K. Davis, A. Zanoli, J. Zemura
Parma scorers M. Pellegrino (8 goals), A. Bernabe (3 goals), Enrico Del Prato (2 goals)
Parma creators A. Benedyczak (2 assists), E. Valeri (2 assists), Sascha Britschgi (2 assists)
Parma key absences B. Cremaschi, M. Frigan

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Udinese and Parma have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Udinese 3-1-4-2 / Parma 3-5-2
Missing players: Udinese 3, Parma 2
H2H summary: Udinese wins 3, draws 1, Parma wins 1

Match Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Udinese have collected 43 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 38:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Keinan Davis (10 goals), J. Ekkelenkamp (5 goals), Nicolรฒ Zaniolo (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolรฒ Zaniolo (6 assists), Keinan Davis (3 assists), A. Atta (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with K. Davis, A. Zanoli, J. Zemura unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Parma sit 14 with 36 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 23:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Pellegrino (8 goals), A. Bernabe (3 goals), Enrico Del Prato (2 goals), with creative support from A. Benedyczak (2 assists), E. Valeri (2 assists), Sascha Britschgi (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with B. Cremaschi, M. Frigan unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Udinese expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Parma in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Parma having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Parma. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Statistics

Udinese Stat Parma
3 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 5
16 Total Shots 10
4 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 8
6 Shots outsidebox 2
11 Fouls 8
10 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
441 Total passes 349
386 Passes accurate 292
88% Passes % 84%
1.13 expected_goals 1.23
0 goals_prevented 0
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1
D
21.03.26
Ser
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Last matches: Parma
04.04.26
Ser
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Ser
Parma
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L
08.03.26
Ser
Parma
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Lineups

Udinese
Formation
Parma
6.3
M. Okoye
40
M. Okoye
6.5
T. Kristensen
31
โ†“
T. Kristensen
6.2
C. Kabasele
27
C. Kabasele
7.9
O. Solet
28
O. Solet
6.6
K. Ehizibue
19
โ†“
K. Ehizibue
6.9
J. Karlstrom
8
J. Karlstrom
6.6
J. Piotrowski
24
โ†“
J. Piotrowski
6.9
H. Kamara
11
โ†“
H. Kamara
6.5
N. Zaniolo
10
N. Zaniolo
6.9
J. Ekkelenkamp
32
โ†“
J. Ekkelenkamp
7.2
A. Atta
14
A. Atta
7.7
Z. Suzuki
31
Z. Suzuki
7.2
A. Circati
39
A. Circati
6.9
M. Troilo
37
M. Troilo
7.2
A. Ndiaye
3
โ†“
A. Ndiaye
6.7
E. Delprato
15
E. Delprato
7.0
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
41
โ†“
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
7.3
M. Keita
16
M. Keita
7.2
E. Valeri
14
E. Valeri
7.0
A. Bernabe
10
โ†“
A. Bernabe
8.0
G. Strefezza
7
๐ŸŽฏ โ†“
G. Strefezza
6.3
M. Pellegrino
9
โ†“
M. Pellegrino
Udinese 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
40
M. Okoye
G
31
T. Kristensen
โ†“ 81'
D
27
C. Kabasele
D
28
O. Solet
D
19
K. Ehizibue
โ†“ 73'
M
8
J. Karlstrom
๐ŸŸจ 84'
M
24
J. Piotrowski
โ†“ 64'
M
11
H. Kamara
โ†“ 64'
M
10
N. Zaniolo
๐ŸŸจ 70'
F
32
J. Ekkelenkamp
โ†“ 73'
F
14
A. Atta
F
Substitutes
93
D. Padelli
G
90
R. Sava
G
18
A. Buksa
โ†‘ 73'
F
15
V. Bayo
F
38
L. Miller
M
22
B. Mlacic
โ†‘ 81'
D
6
O. Zarraga
โ†‘ 73'
M
7
I. Gueye
โ†‘ 64'
F
20
J. Arizala
โ†‘ 64'
M
29
A. Camara
M
Parma 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
Z. Suzuki
G
39
A. Circati
D
37
M. Troilo
D
3
A. Ndiaye
โ†“ 75'
D
15
E. Delprato
M
41
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
โ†“ 72'
M
16
M. Keita
M
14
E. Valeri
M
10
A. Bernabe
โ†“ 66'
F
7
G. Strefezza
๐ŸŽฏ 51' โ†“ 66'
F
9
M. Pellegrino
โ†“ 46'
F
Substitutes
40
E. Corvi
G
66
F. Rinaldi
G
8
N. Estevez
โ†‘ 72'
M
11
P. Almqvist
F
21
G. Oristanio
M
17
J. Ondrejka
โ†‘ 66'
F
24
C. Ordonez
โ†‘ 66'
M
23
N. Elphege
โšฝ 51' โ†‘ 46'
F
5
L. Valenti
D
22
O. Sorensen
M
29
F. Carboni
D
27
S. Britschgi
โ†‘ 75'
D

Missing Players

Udinese 3 missing
-
K. Davis
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Zanoli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Zemura
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
Parma 2 missing
-
B. Cremaschi
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Frigan
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT

Head to Head

Udinese vs Parma 5 matches
18.04.2026
Udinese 0 - 1 Parma
Serie A
FT
29.11.2025
Parma 0 - 2 Udinese
Serie A
FT
01.03.2025
Udinese 1 - 0 Parma
Serie A
FT
16.09.2024
Parma 2 - 3 Udinese
Serie A
FT
21.02.2021
Parma 2 - 2 Udinese
Serie A
FT