Cheltenham
League Two
FT
1 - 0
Whaddon Road
Referee: S. Mather
Newport County
League: League Two
Venue: Whaddon Road
Referee: S. Mather
Cheltenham
Match Timeline
Newport County
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
๐ŸŸจ
16'
Matthew Baker
Newport County
๐Ÿ”„
42'
R. Cundy โ†” A. Jude-Boyd
Cheltenham
๐Ÿ”„
46'
J. Davison โ†” M. Faal
Cheltenham
๐Ÿ”„
57'
J. Thomas โ†” G. Miller
Cheltenham
๐Ÿ”„
57'
H. Ashfield โ†” J. Bickerstaff
Cheltenham
๐ŸŸจ
62'
Harrison Biggins
Newport County
๐ŸŸจ
68'
Cameron Evans
Newport County
๐Ÿ”„
71'
N. Opoku โ†” M. Spellman
Newport County
๐Ÿ”„
81'
R. Broom โ†” C. Deeming
Cheltenham
โšฝ
82'
G. Miller ยท Assist: M. Faal
Cheltenham
๐ŸŸจ
84'
James Crole
Newport County
๐Ÿ”„
85'
C. Evans โ†” B. Kamwa
Newport County
๐Ÿ”„
85'
B. Lloyd โ†” C. Jarvis
Newport County
๐ŸŸจ
90+2'
Isaac Hutchinson
Cheltenham
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 90.6%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 64.2%
X 9.4%
Away 26.4%
1X 73.6%
X2 35.9%
12 90.6%

Tactical Setup

Cheltenham formation 4-1-4-1
Newport County formation 4-2-3-1
Cheltenham missing 0
Newport County missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Cheltenham scorers J. Thomas (6 goals), G. Miller (4 goals), J. Martin (4 goals)
Cheltenham creators J. Thomas (5 assists), Luke Young (4 assists), Jake Bickerstaff (3 assists)
Newport County scorers N. Opoku (6 goals), M. Spellman (5 goals), Cameron Antwi (3 goals)
Newport County creators Kai Whitmore (4 assists), Sammy Braybrooke (4 assists), B. Kamwa (3 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Cheltenham and Newport County have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Cheltenham 4-1-4-1 / Newport County 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cheltenham wins 5, draws 0, Newport County wins 0

Match Analysis

Cheltenham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 49 points from 42 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 48:67, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Thomas (6 goals), G. Miller (4 goals), J. Martin (4 goals), with creative support from J. Thomas (5 assists), Luke Young (4 assists), Jake Bickerstaff (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 37 points from 43 games and a place of 22, Newport County still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 26 losses, together with goals at 43:73, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Opoku (6 goals), M. Spellman (5 goals), Cameron Antwi (3 goals), with creative support from Kai Whitmore (4 assists), Sammy Braybrooke (4 assists), B. Kamwa (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Newport County. Newport County arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Newport County in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Newport County having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Statistics

Cheltenham Stat Newport County
4 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 9
8 Total Shots 17
1 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 11
1 Shots outsidebox 6
9 Fouls 13
2 Corner Kicks 8
2 Offsides 2
56% Ball Possession 44%
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
349 Total passes 265
246 Passes accurate 161
70% Passes % 61%
1.30 expected_goals 1.92
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Cheltenham
21.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Tranmere
1
3
L
14.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Gillingham
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Walsall
4
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Cambridge United
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Chesterfield
0
1
L
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Newport County
11.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Harrogate Town
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Notts County
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Crawley Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Walsall
1
2
L
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Cheltenham
21.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Tranmere
1
3
L
14.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Gillingham
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Cambridge United
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Crewe
1
1
D
06.03.26
Lea
Cheltenham
Barrow
2
2
D
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Newport County
06.04.26
Lea
Newport County
Notts County
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Walsall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Newport County
Barnet
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Newport County
Fleetwood Town
0
0
D
17.02.26
Lea
Newport County
Salford City
3
1
W
Show more matches โŒ„

Lineups

Cheltenham
Formation
Newport County
7.0
J. Day
1
J. Day
6.6
J. Tomkinson
27
J. Tomkinson
6.5
J. Wilson
5
J. Wilson
6.6
R. Cundy
6
โ†“
R. Cundy
6.9
G. Nurse
21
G. Nurse
7.0
H. Ashfield
4
โ†“
H. Ashfield
7.0
L. Young
8
L. Young
6.5
I. Hutchinson
23
I. Hutchinson
6.3
R. Broom
14
โ†“
R. Broom
6.9
J. Davison
9
โ†“
J. Davison
6.2
J. Thomas
11
โ†“
J. Thomas
7.0
J. Wright
28
J. Wright
6.9
L. Shephard
18
L. Shephard
7.0
M. Baker
4
M. Baker
6.9
R. Delaney
23
R. Delaney
6.7
L. Jenkins
15
L. Jenkins
6.9
C. Evans
2
โ†“
C. Evans
6.6
S. Sprangler
5
S. Sprangler
6.7
B. Lloyd
20
โ†“
B. Lloyd
6.7
H. Biggins
10
H. Biggins
7.0
J. Crole
16
J. Crole
6.2
N. Opoku
24
โ†“
N. Opoku
Cheltenham 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
J. Day
G
27
J. Tomkinson
D
5
J. Wilson
D
6
R. Cundy
โ†“ 42'
D
21
G. Nurse
D
4
H. Ashfield
โ†“ 57'
M
8
L. Young
M
23
I. Hutchinson
๐ŸŸจ 90+2'
M
14
R. Broom
โ†“ 81'
F
9
J. Davison
โ†“ 46'
F
11
J. Thomas
โ†“ 57'
F
Substitutes
41
M. Diallo
10
G. Miller
โšฝ 82' โ†‘ 57'
F
16
J. Martin
F
2
A. Jude-Boyd
โ†‘ 42'
D
20
J. Bickerstaff
โ†‘ 57'
F
7
C. Deeming
โ†‘ 81'
M
22
M. Faal
๐ŸŽฏ 82' โ†‘ 46'
F
Newport County 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
28
J. Wright
G
18
L. Shephard
D
4
M. Baker
๐ŸŸจ 16'
D
23
R. Delaney
D
15
L. Jenkins
D
2
C. Evans
โ†“ 85' ๐ŸŸจ 68'
M
5
S. Sprangler
M
20
B. Lloyd
โ†“ 85'
M
10
H. Biggins
๐ŸŸจ 62'
M
16
J. Crole
๐ŸŸจ 84'
M
24
N. Opoku
โ†“ 71'
F
Substitutes
13
S. MacDonald
G
6
C. Brennan
D
7
B. Kamwa
โ†‘ 85'
F
8
M. Smith
M
17
T. Davies
D
21
M. Spellman
โ†‘ 71'
F
40
C. Jarvis
โ†‘ 85'
F

Head to Head

Cheltenham vs Newport County 5 matches
18.04.2026
Cheltenham 1 - 0 Newport County
League Two
FT
18.10.2025
Newport County 0 - 2 Cheltenham
League Two
FT
22.02.2025
Newport County 0 - 3 Cheltenham
League Two
FT
03.09.2024
Newport County 1 - 2 Cheltenham
EFL Trophy
FT
10.08.2024
Cheltenham 3 - 2 Newport County
League Two
FT