Crewe
League Two
FT
1 - 3
Alexandra Stadium
Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle
Milton Keynes Dons
League: League Two
Venue: Alexandra Stadium
Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle
Crewe
Match Timeline
Milton Keynes Dons
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
โšฝ
12'
C. Nelson ยท Assist: L. Kelly
Milton Keynes Dons
โšฝ
45'
M. Ekpiteta ยท Assist: N. Mendez-Laing
Milton Keynes Dons
๐Ÿ”„
46'
C. Agius โ†” A. Pond
Crewe
๐Ÿ”„
46'
T. O'Reilly โ†” A. Thibaut
Crewe
๐ŸŸจ
59'
Max Sanders
Crewe
๐ŸŸจ
60'
Alex Gilbey
Milton Keynes Dons
๐Ÿ”„
66'
N. Mendez-Laing โ†” C. Lemonheigh-Evans
Milton Keynes Dons
โšฝ
66'
A. Gilbey ยท Assist: M. Ekpiteta
Milton Keynes Dons
๐Ÿ”„
74'
M. H. Sanders โ†” C. Thomas
Crewe
๐Ÿ”„
74'
M. Holicek โ†” J. Powell
Crewe
โšฝ
75'
A. Thibaut ยท Assist: J. Powell
Crewe
๐Ÿ”„
84'
L. Kelly โ†” R. Hepburn-Murphy
Milton Keynes Dons
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 86.9%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 28.6%
X 13.1%
Away 58.3%
1X 41.7%
X2 71.4%
12 86.9%

Tactical Setup

Crewe formation 4-2-3-1
Milton Keynes Dons formation 3-1-4-2
Crewe missing 0
Milton Keynes Dons missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Crewe scorers J. March (11 goals), E. Tezgel (10 goals), Tommi O'Reilly (7 goals)
Crewe creators Tommi O'Reilly (11 assists), J. March (5 assists), R. Hutchinson (5 assists)
Milton Keynes Dons scorers C. Paterson (14 goals), A. Gilbey (10 goals), Nathaniel Mรฉndez-Laing (8 goals)
Milton Keynes Dons creators C. Paterson (8 assists), L. Kelly (7 assists), A. Gilbey (4 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Crewe and Milton Keynes Dons have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Crewe 4-2-3-1 / Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Crewe wins 0, draws 1, Milton Keynes Dons wins 4

Match Analysis

Crewe are currently 10 in the standings with 66 points from 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 19 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, while the 63:53 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. March (11 goals), E. Tezgel (10 goals), Tommi O'Reilly (7 goals), with creative support from Tommi O'Reilly (11 assists), J. March (5 assists), R. Hutchinson (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Milton Keynes Dons arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 79 points after 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, while the 79:43 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Paterson (14 goals), A. Gilbey (10 goals), Nathaniel Mรฉndez-Laing (8 goals), with creative support from C. Paterson (8 assists), L. Kelly (7 assists), A. Gilbey (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Milton Keynes Dons. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Milton Keynes Dons carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 79 points while Crewe sit 10 on 66, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crewe expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Milton Keynes Dons in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Milton Keynes Dons having the stronger overall control.

Statistics

Crewe Stat Milton Keynes Dons
4 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 7
8 Total Shots 17
1 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 7
8 Fouls 13
3 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 0
61% Ball Possession 39%
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
498 Total passes 313
390 Passes accurate 221
78% Passes % 71%
0.66 expected_goals 1.32
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Crewe
11.04.26
Lea
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Grimsby
2
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Crewe
Salford City
1
0
W
03.04.26
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Crewe
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0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Crewe
Oldham
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
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4
0
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Last matches: Milton Keynes Dons
11.04.26
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2
1
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Milton Keynes Dons
Oldham
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
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0
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28.03.26
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Last matches: Crewe
06.04.26
Lea
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1
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W
28.03.26
Lea
Crewe
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2
1
W
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Last matches: Milton Keynes Dons
06.04.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Oldham
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Milton Keynes Dons
Salford City
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
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2
1
W
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Lea
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Lineups

Crewe
Formation
Milton Keynes Dons
5.7
I. Lawlor
41
I. Lawlor
6.0
L. Billington
2
L. Billington
6.9
J. Connolly
18
J. Connolly
6.6
M. Demetriou
5
M. Demetriou
5.3
R. Hutchinson
3
R. Hutchinson
7.0
M. Holicek
17
โ†“
M. Holicek
7.2
M. H. Sanders
6
โ†“
M. H. Sanders
6.2
J. March
24
J. March
6.2
T. O'Reilly
26
โ†“
T. O'Reilly
6.9
C. Agius
20
โ†“
C. Agius
6.5
E. Tezgel
36
E. Tezgel
7.3
C. MacGillivray
1
C. MacGillivray
8.0
M. Ekpiteta
21
โšฝ ๐ŸŽฏ
M. Ekpiteta
7.9
C. Nelson
25
โšฝ
C. Nelson
6.5
J. Sanders
32
J. Sanders
7.3
L. Kelly
6
๐ŸŽฏ โ†“
L. Kelly
6.2
G. Jones
2
G. Jones
6.2
B. Wiles
26
B. Wiles
7.5
A. Gilbey
8
โšฝ
A. Gilbey
7.2
J. Tomlinson
14
J. Tomlinson
5.9
C. Paterson
13
C. Paterson
6.9
N. Mendez-Laing
11
๐ŸŽฏ โ†“
N. Mendez-Laing
Crewe 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
I. Lawlor
G
2
L. Billington
D
18
J. Connolly
D
5
M. Demetriou
D
3
R. Hutchinson
D
17
M. Holicek
โ†“ 74'
M
6
M. H. Sanders
โ†“ 74' ๐ŸŸจ 59'
M
24
J. March
M
26
T. O'Reilly
โ†“ 46'
M
20
C. Agius
โ†“ 46'
M
36
E. Tezgel
F
Substitutes
1
T. Booth
G
10
S. Tracey
F
25
A. Pond
โ†‘ 46'
D
14
C. Finney
D
8
C. Thomas
โ†‘ 74'
M
23
J. Powell
๐ŸŽฏ 75' โ†‘ 74'
M
29
A. Thibaut
โšฝ 75' โ†‘ 46'
F
Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
C. MacGillivray
G
21
M. Ekpiteta
โšฝ 45' ๐ŸŽฏ 66'
D
25
C. Nelson
โšฝ 12'
D
32
J. Sanders
D
6
L. Kelly
๐ŸŽฏ 12' โ†“ 84'
M
2
G. Jones
M
26
B. Wiles
M
8
A. Gilbey
โšฝ 66' ๐ŸŸจ 60'
M
14
J. Tomlinson
M
13
C. Paterson
F
11
N. Mendez-Laing
๐ŸŽฏ 45' โ†“ 66'
F
Substitutes
27
C. Trueman
G
7
D. Crowley
M
10
A. Collins
F
16
A. Nemane
F
24
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
โ†‘ 66'
M
9
S. Hogan
F
29
R. Hepburn-Murphy
โ†‘ 84'
F

Head to Head

Crewe vs Milton Keynes Dons 5 matches
18.04.2026
Crewe 1 - 3 Milton Keynes Dons
League Two
FT
18.10.2025
Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 1 Crewe
League Two
FT
21.04.2025
Crewe 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons
League Two
FT
29.12.2024
Milton Keynes Dons 1 - 1 Crewe
League Two
FT
16.03.2024
Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 1 Crewe
League Two
FT