Gillingham
League Two
FT
1 - 4
Priestfield Stadium
Referee: O. Mackey
Grimsby
League: League Two
Venue: Priestfield Stadium
Referee: O. Mackey
Gillingham
Match Timeline
Grimsby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
โšฝ
42'
A. Cook ยท Assist: K. Green
Grimsby
๐ŸŸจ
45+3'
Armani Little
Gillingham
๐ŸŸจ
45'
Justin Amaluzor
Grimsby
โšฝ
55'
G. McCleary ยท Assist: A. Little
Gillingham
๐Ÿ”„
66'
J. Walker โ†” G. D. Turi
Grimsby
โšฝ
74'
J. Kabia
Grimsby
๐Ÿ”„
76'
J. Amaluzor โ†” D. Burns
Grimsby
๐Ÿ”„
76'
J. Kabia โ†” C. Vernam
Grimsby
๐Ÿ”„
76'
R. Staunton โ†” J. Sweeney
Grimsby
๐Ÿ”„
78'
C. Masterson โ†” S. Vokes
Gillingham
๐Ÿ”„
79'
L. Cirino โ†” B. Dack
Gillingham
โšฝ
80'
K. Green ยท Assist: C. Vernam
Grimsby
โšฝ
85'
C. Vernam ยท Assist: K. Green
Grimsby
๐Ÿ”„
87'
G. McCleary โ†” T. Akomeah
Gillingham
๐Ÿ”„
88'
N. Khumbeni โ†” H. Waldock
Gillingham
๐Ÿ”„
88'
C. Oduor โ†” T. Warren
Grimsby
๐ŸŸจ
90+3'
Ronan Hale
Gillingham
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 85%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 15%
X 20.6%
Away 64.4%
1X 35.6%
X2 85%
12 79.4%

Tactical Setup

Gillingham formation 4-2-3-1
Grimsby formation 4-1-4-1
Gillingham missing 0
Grimsby missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Gillingham scorers B. Dack (7 goals), A. Little (5 goals), R. Hale (5 goals)
Gillingham creators Max Clark (6 assists), R. Hutton (3 assists), Garath McCleary (2 assists)
Grimsby scorers J. Kabia (13 goals), K. Green (11 goals), C. Vernam (9 goals)
Grimsby creators C. Vernam (9 assists), Darragh Burns (5 assists), J. Walker (4 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Gillingham and Grimsby have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85%)
Predicted formations: Gillingham 4-2-3-1 / Grimsby 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Gillingham wins 0, draws 2, Grimsby wins 3

Match Analysis

With 50 points from 43 games and a place of 17, Gillingham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 14 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 48:60 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Dack (7 goals), A. Little (5 goals), R. Hale (5 goals), with creative support from Max Clark (6 assists), R. Hutton (3 assists), Garath McCleary (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Grimsby sit 8 with 68 points after 42 league matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 62:45 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Kabia (13 goals), K. Green (11 goals), C. Vernam (9 goals), with creative support from C. Vernam (9 assists), Darragh Burns (5 assists), J. Walker (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Grimsby's more proactive style and Gillingham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Grimsby carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 68 points while Gillingham sit 17 on 50, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Grimsby. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gillingham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Grimsby in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grimsby having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Statistics

Gillingham Stat Grimsby
3 Shots on Goal 6
6 Shots off Goal 3
9 Total Shots 14
0 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 4
9 Fouls 11
5 Corner Kicks 3
4 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
298 Total passes 320
195 Passes accurate 217
65% Passes % 68%
0.98 expected_goals 2.58
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Gillingham
14.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Cheltenham
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Salford City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Accrington ST
2
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Walsall
2
2
D
28.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Crawley Town
0
2
L
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Lea
Grimsby
Cambridge United
2
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Grimsby
Chesterfield
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Grimsby
Crewe
3
2
W
06.04.26
Lea
Grimsby
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2
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
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Harrogate Town
1
3
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Last matches: Gillingham
06.04.26
Lea
Gillingham
Accrington ST
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Bristol Rovers
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Swindon Town
0
2
L
10.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Milton Keynes Dons
1
5
L
07.03.26
Lea
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
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21.04.26
Lea
Grimsby
Cambridge United
2
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Grimsby
Chesterfield
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Grimsby
Crawley Town
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Grimsby
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0
1
L
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Lineups

Gillingham
Formation
Grimsby
6.0
G. Morris
1
G. Morris
5.6
R. Hutton
2
R. Hutton
6.5
S. Gale
30
S. Gale
6.9
C. Masterson
4
โ†“
C. Masterson
6.3
M. Clark
3
M. Clark
7.3
A. Little
8
๐ŸŽฏ
A. Little
6.3
N. Khumbeni
27
โ†“
N. Khumbeni
6.0
S. Palmer-Houlden
12
S. Palmer-Houlden
7.3
G. McCleary
7
โšฝ โ†“
G. McCleary
6.7
L. Cirino
32
โ†“
L. Cirino
6.2
R. Hale
38
R. Hale
6.2
J. Smith
31
J. Smith
6.6
H. Rodgers
5
H. Rodgers
6.9
M. Kacurri
2
M. Kacurri
7.2
C. McJannet
17
C. McJannet
7.2
R. Staunton
16
โ†“
R. Staunton
6.7
J. Walker
7
โ†“
J. Walker
J. Amaluzor
14
โ†“
J. Amaluzor
10.0
K. Green
4
โšฝ ๐ŸŽฏ
K. Green
6.3
C. Oduor
29
โ†“
C. Oduor
J. Kabia
9
โšฝ โ†“
J. Kabia
6.9
A. Cook
39
โšฝ
A. Cook
Gillingham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
G. Morris
G
2
R. Hutton
D
30
S. Gale
D
4
C. Masterson
โ†“ 78'
D
3
M. Clark
D
8
A. Little
๐ŸŽฏ 55' ๐ŸŸจ 45+3'
M
27
N. Khumbeni
โ†“ 88'
M
12
S. Palmer-Houlden
M
7
G. McCleary
โšฝ 55' โ†“ 87'
M
32
L. Cirino
โ†“ 79'
M
38
R. Hale
๐ŸŸจ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Turner
G
19
S. Vokes
โ†‘ 78'
F
10
J. Williams
M
23
B. Dack
โ†‘ 79'
M
9
J. Andrews
F
15
T. Akomeah
โ†‘ 87'
D
24
H. Waldock
โ†‘ 88'
M
Grimsby 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
J. Smith
G
5
H. Rodgers
D
2
M. Kacurri
D
17
C. McJannet
D
16
R. Staunton
โ†“ 76'
D
7
J. Walker
โ†“ 66'
M
14
J. Amaluzor
โ†“ 76'
4
K. Green
โšฝ 80' ๐ŸŽฏ 42' ๐ŸŽฏ 85'
M
29
C. Oduor
โ†“ 88'
M
9
J. Kabia
โšฝ 74' โ†“ 76'
39
A. Cook
โšฝ 42'
F
Substitutes
1
C. Pym
G
21
T. Warren
โ†‘ 88'
D
18
D. Burns
โ†‘ 76'
M
15
G. D. Turi
โ†‘ 66'
M
30
C. Vernam
โšฝ 85' ๐ŸŽฏ 80' โ†‘ 76'
F
3
J. Sweeney
โ†‘ 76'
D
42
H. Booth
F

Head to Head

Gillingham vs Grimsby 5 matches
18.04.2026
Gillingham 1 - 4 Grimsby
League Two
FT
18.10.2025
Grimsby 1 - 0 Gillingham
League Two
FT
28.01.2025
Grimsby 1 - 1 Gillingham
League Two
FT
01.10.2024
Gillingham 0 - 1 Grimsby
League Two
FT
16.03.2024
Gillingham 1 - 1 Grimsby
League Two
FT