Swindon Town
League Two
NS
--.--.---- --:--
County Ground
Referee: D. Brown
Accrington ST
League: League Two
Venue: County Ground
Referee: D. Brown
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 88.1%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 72%
X 16.2%
Away 11.9%
1X 88.1%
X2 28%
12 83.8%

Tactical Setup

Swindon Town formation 4-2-3-1
Accrington ST formation 4-2-3-1
Swindon Town missing 0
Accrington ST missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Swindon Town scorers A. Drinan (21 goals), O. Palmer (7 goals), O. Clarke (6 goals)
Swindon Town creators F. Munroe (6 assists), J. Snowdon (5 assists), D. Oldaker (4 assists)
Accrington ST scorers P. Madden (6 goals), Isaac Sinclair (5 goals), S. Whalley (5 goals)
Accrington ST creators S. Whalley (9 assists), Isaac Sinclair (4 assists), I. Heath (4 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Swindon Town and Accrington ST have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Swindon Town 4-2-3-1 / Accrington ST 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Swindon Town wins 0, draws 3, Accrington ST wins 2

Match Analysis

Swindon Town arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 74 points after 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, while the 67:51 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Drinan (21 goals), O. Palmer (7 goals), O. Clarke (6 goals), with creative support from F. Munroe (6 assists), J. Snowdon (5 assists), D. Oldaker (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 51 points from 43 games and a place of 16, Accrington ST still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 20 defeats with a 41:48 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Madden (6 goals), Isaac Sinclair (5 goals), S. Whalley (5 goals), with creative support from S. Whalley (9 assists), Isaac Sinclair (4 assists), I. Heath (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Swindon Town's more proactive style and Accrington ST's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Accrington ST. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Accrington ST arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Swindon Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 74 points compared to Accrington ST in 16 on 51, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Last matches: Swindon Town
10.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Colchester
0
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Walsall
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Cambridge United
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Tranmere
1
0
W
Show more matches ⌄
Last matches: Accrington ST
14.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Colchester
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Fleetwood Town
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Gillingham
0
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Crewe
2
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0
2
L
Show more matches ⌄
Last matches: Swindon Town
06.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Walsall
2
1
W
28.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Crewe
1
2
L
Show more matches ⌄
Last matches: Accrington ST
14.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Colchester
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Gillingham
0
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bristol Rovers
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Barrow
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Accrington ST
Bromley
1
2
L
Show more matches ⌄

Lineups

Swindon Town
Formation
Accrington ST
Connor Ripley
1
Connor Ripley
Filozofe Mabete
3
Filozofe Mabete
Jamie Knight-Lebel
22
Jamie Knight-Lebel
Thomas Wilson-Brown
16
Thomas Wilson-Brown
Joe Snowdon
19
Joe Snowdon
Ollie Clarke
8
Ollie Clarke
Aidan Borland
25
Aidan Borland
Jake Thomas Batty
26
Jake Thomas Batty
Aaron Drinan
23
Aaron Drinan
Junior Hoilett
30
Junior Hoilett
Ollie Palmer
28
Ollie Palmer
Oliver Wright
13
Oliver Wright
Donald Love
2
Donald Love
Connor O'Brien
38
Connor O'Brien
Farrend Rawson
5
Farrend Rawson
Devon Matthews
17
Devon Matthews
Freddie Sass
3
Freddie Sass
Liam Coyle
6
Liam Coyle
Luke Butterfield
24
Luke Butterfield
Shaun Whalley
7
Shaun Whalley
Isaac Sinclair
11
Isaac Sinclair
Josh Woods
39
Josh Woods
Swindon Town 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Connor Ripley
G
3
Filozofe Mabete
D
22
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D
16
Thomas Wilson-Brown
D
19
Joe Snowdon
M
8
Ollie Clarke
M
25
Aidan Borland
M
26
Jake Thomas Batty
M
23
Aaron Drinan
F
30
Junior Hoilett
F
28
Ollie Palmer
F
Substitutes
12
Lewis Ward
G
33
Joel McGregor
D
29
Michael Olakigbe
F
21
James Scanlon
M
44
Darren Oldaker
M
31
Billy Bodin
F
24
Fletcher Holman
F
Accrington ST 5-3-2
Starting XI
13
Oliver Wright
G
2
Donald Love
D
38
Connor O'Brien
D
5
Farrend Rawson
D
17
Devon Matthews
D
3
Freddie Sass
D
6
Liam Coyle
M
24
Luke Butterfield
M
7
Shaun Whalley
M
11
Isaac Sinclair
F
39
Josh Woods
F
Substitutes
1
Michael Kelly
G
20
Charlie Brown
F
22
Dan Martin
M
28
Seamus Conneely
M
31
Finlay Tunstall
M
8
Paddy Madden
F
26
Charlie Hall
M

Head to Head

Swindon Town vs Accrington ST 5 matches
18.10.2025
Accrington ST 4 - 0 Swindon Town
League Two
FT
22.03.2025
Swindon Town 0 - 0 Accrington ST
League Two
FT
30.11.2024
Accrington ST 2 - 2 Swindon Town
FA Cup
FT
16.11.2024
Accrington ST 2 - 2 Swindon Town
League Two
FT
12.03.2024
Swindon Town 1 - 2 Accrington ST
League Two
FT