Pafos
1. Division
FT
1 - 1
Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Referee: J. Karlsen
AEK Larnaca
League: 1. Division
Venue: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Referee: J. Karlsen
Pafos
Match Timeline
AEK Larnaca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
โšฝ
19'
Jaja
Pafos
๐ŸŸจ
35'
Jajรก
Pafos
๐ŸŸจ
57'
Alexandre Brito
Pafos
๐ŸŸจ
61'
Petros Ioannou
AEK Larnaca
๐Ÿ”„
63'
Miramon โ†” A. Cardero
AEK Larnaca
๐Ÿ”„
63'
Y. Gurfinkel โ†” J. Izquierdo
AEK Larnaca
๐Ÿ”„
65'
Jaja โ†” Pepe
Pafos
๐Ÿ”„
65'
Lele โ†” M. Bassouamina
Pafos
๐Ÿ”„
74'
P. Ioannou โ†” C. Kyriakou
AEK Larnaca
๐Ÿ”„
80'
A. Brito โ†” Dani Silva
Pafos
๐ŸŸจ
82'
Jay Gorter
Pafos
๐Ÿ”„
84'
Ledes Gustavo โ†” G. Naoum
AEK Larnaca
๐Ÿ”„
84'
P. Pons โ†” R. Mudrazija
AEK Larnaca
โšฝ
89'
R. Mudrazija
AEK Larnaca
Main Prediction

No Draw

Confidence 85.3%
1X2
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 45.1%
X 14.7%
Away 40.2%
1X 59.8%
X2 54.9%
12 85.3%

Tactical Setup

Pafos formation 3-4-1-2
AEK Larnaca formation 5-4-1
Pafos missing 0
AEK Larnaca missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Pafos scorers Anderson Silva (9 goals), J. Correia (9 goals), D. Quina (6 goals)
AEK Larnaca scorers Hrvoje Miliฤeviฤ‡ (9 goals), Riad Bajiฤ‡ (9 goals), Enzo Cabrera (8 goals)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Pafos and AEK Larnaca have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Pafos 3-4-1-2 / AEK Larnaca 5-4-1
H2H summary: Pafos wins 1, draws 3, AEK Larnaca wins 1

Match Analysis

Pafos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 53 points from 29 matches. The record of 16 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 54:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anderson Silva (9 goals), J. Correia (9 goals), D. Quina (6 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
AEK Larnaca come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 57 points after 29 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 51:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Hrvoje Miliฤeviฤ‡ (9 goals), Riad Bajiฤ‡ (9 goals), Enzo Cabrera (8 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AEK Larnaca. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pafos expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and AEK Larnaca in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AEK Larnaca having the stronger overall control.
Last matches: Pafos
14.04.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
22.03.26
1.
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
14.03.26
1.
Pafos
Akritas
4
0
W
07.03.26
1.
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
7
0
W
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: AEK Larnaca
14.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
05.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
16.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
2
0
W
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Pafos
22.03.26
1.
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
07.03.26
1.
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
7
0
W
21.02.26
1.
Pafos
Anorthosis
0
0
D
08.02.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
2
4
L
04.02.26
1.
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: AEK Larnaca
05.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
16.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
22.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
08.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
Show more matches โŒ„

Lineups

Pafos
Formation
AEK Larnaca
J. Gorter
1
J. Gorter
D. Luckassen
23
D. Luckassen
A. Guessand
19
A. Guessand
N. Ioannou
14
N. Ioannou
O. Mimovic
21
O. Mimovic
I. Sunjic
26
I. Sunjic
A. Brito
50
โ†“
A. Brito
K. Sema
12
K. Sema
Jaja
11
โšฝ โ†“
Jaja
V. Dragomir
30
V. Dragomir
Lele
18
โ†“
Lele
Z. Alomerovic
1
Z. Alomerovic
G. Ekpolo
22
G. Ekpolo
P. Ioannou
2
โ†“
P. Ioannou
H. Milicevic
15
H. Milicevic
Y. Gurfinkel
13
โ†“
Y. Gurfinkel
Ledes Gustavo
7
โ†“
Ledes Gustavo
P. Pons
17
โ†“
P. Pons
Miramon
21
โ†“
Miramon
M. Rohden
8
M. Rohden
D. Ivanovic
9
D. Ivanovic
R. Bajic
11
R. Bajic
Pafos 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Gorter
๐ŸŸจ 82'
G
23
D. Luckassen
D
19
A. Guessand
D
14
N. Ioannou
M
21
O. Mimovic
D
26
I. Sunjic
M
50
A. Brito
โ†“ 80' ๐ŸŸจ 57'
M
12
K. Sema
M
11
Jaja
โšฝ 19' โ†“ 65' ๐ŸŸจ 35'
M
30
V. Dragomir
M
18
Lele
โ†“ 65'
F
Substitutes
99
A. Papadoudis
G
82
P. Petrou
G
2
K. Pileas
D
71
G. Skafi
D
7
Bruno
D
20
W. Odefalk
M
42
G. Michael
F
80
Dani Silva
โ†‘ 80'
M
8
D. Quina
M
9
M. Bassouamina
โ†‘ 65'
F
88
Pepe
โ†‘ 65'
M
33
Anderson Silva
F
AEK Larnaca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Z. Alomerovic
G
22
G. Ekpolo
D
2
P. Ioannou
โ†“ 74' ๐ŸŸจ 61'
D
15
H. Milicevic
D
13
Y. Gurfinkel
โ†“ 63'
D
7
Ledes Gustavo
โ†“ 84'
M
17
P. Pons
โ†“ 84'
M
21
Miramon
โ†“ 63'
M
8
M. Rohden
M
9
D. Ivanovic
M
11
R. Bajic
F
Substitutes
51
A. Paraskevas
G
12
K. Komar
G
41
Mathias Gonzalez
14
A. Garcia
D
23
J. Izquierdo
โ†‘ 63'
D
25
C. Kyriakou
โ†‘ 74'
M
32
R. Mudrazija
โšฝ 89' โ†‘ 84'
M
29
G. Naoum
โ†‘ 84'
M
36
C. Loukaidis
M
86
A. Cardero
โ†‘ 63'
M

Head to Head

Pafos vs AEK Larnaca 5 matches
18.04.2026
Pafos 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca
1. Division
FT
25.01.2026
Pafos 1 - 2 AEK Larnaca
1. Division
FT
30.10.2025
Pafos 1 - 1 AEK Larnaca
Super Cup
FT
05.10.2025
AEK Larnaca 2 - 4 Pafos
1. Division
FT
24.05.2025
AEK Larnaca 0 - 0 Pafos
Cup
FT