USM Alger
Ligue 1
NS
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-
Referee: -
Paradou AC
League: Ligue 1
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 80.4%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5

Probability Model

Home 54.3%
X 19.6%
Away 26.1%
1X 73.9%
X2 45.8%
12 80.4%

Tactical Setup

USM Alger formation -
Paradou AC formation -
USM Alger missing 0
Paradou AC missing 0

Key Squad Notes

USM Alger scorers A. Khaldi (5 goals), Z. Draoui (3 goals), A. Alilet (2 goals)
Paradou AC scorers M. Abdelkader (6 goals), M. Ramdaoui (5 goals), B. A. Kohili (4 goals)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

USM Alger and Paradou AC have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
H2H summary: USM Alger wins 1, draws 1, Paradou AC wins 3

Match Analysis

USM Alger approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 29 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 11 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 22:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Khaldi (5 goals), Z. Draoui (3 goals), A. Alilet (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 21 points from 26 games and a place of 14, Paradou AC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 26:43 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Abdelkader (6 goals), M. Ramdaoui (5 goals), B. A. Kohili (4 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights USM Alger's more proactive style and Paradou AC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paradou AC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Paradou AC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Last matches: USM Alger
05.04.26
Lig
USM Alger
ASO Chlef
1
2
L
01.04.26
Lig
USM Alger
MC Alger
0
1
L
25.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
JS Kabylie
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
ES Setif
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
CS Constantine
0
0
D
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Last matches: Paradou AC
17.04.26
Lig
Paradou AC
El Bayadh
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Paradou AC
JS Saoura
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
Paradou AC
Khenchela
0
1
L
01.04.26
Lig
Paradou AC
CR Belouizdad
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lig
Paradou AC
Mostaganem
2
3
L
Show more matches
Last matches: USM Alger
25.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
JS Kabylie
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
ES Setif
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
CS Constantine
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
USM Alger
JS Saoura
1
2
L
08.01.26
Lig
USM Alger
MC Oran
1
1
D
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Last matches: Paradou AC
17.04.26
Lig
Paradou AC
El Bayadh
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Paradou AC
Khenchela
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lig
Paradou AC
Mostaganem
2
3
L
06.03.26
Lig
Paradou AC
JS Kabylie
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Paradou AC
Olympique Akbou
3
4
L
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Head to Head

USM Alger vs Paradou AC 5 matches
06.09.2025
Paradou AC 0 - 1 USM Alger
Ligue 1
FT
17.05.2025
Paradou AC 3 - 1 USM Alger
Ligue 1
FT
28.01.2025
USM Alger 1 - 1 Paradou AC
Ligue 1
FT
11.02.2024
USM Alger 1 - 5 Paradou AC
Ligue 1
FT
27.09.2023
Paradou AC 1 - 0 USM Alger
Ligue 1
FT