Palermo
Serie B
FT
2 - 0
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: G. Collu
Cesena
League: Serie B
Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: G. Collu
Palermo
Match Timeline
Cesena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
โšฝ
9'
J. Pohjanpalo ยท Assist: J. Le Douaron
Palermo
๐ŸŸจ
41'
Alberto Cerri
Cesena
โšฝ
71'
J. Pohjanpalo ยท Assist: R. Modesto
Palermo
๐Ÿ”„
72'
M. Castagnetti โ†” G. Castrovilli
Cesena
๐Ÿ”„
72'
T. Corazza โ†” G. Frabotta
Cesena
๐Ÿ”„
72'
A. Cerri โ†” R. Ciervo
Cesena
๐Ÿ”„
74'
J. Le Douaron โ†” E. Gyasi
Palermo
๐Ÿ”„
74'
A. Palumbo โ†” S. Giovane
Palermo
๐Ÿ”„
78'
M. Olivieri โ†” G. Vrioni
Cesena
๐Ÿ”„
80'
R. Modesto โ†” G. Magnani
Palermo
๐Ÿ”„
80'
J. Segre โ†” A. Vasic
Palermo
๐Ÿ”„
88'
J. Pohjanpalo โ†” G. Corona
Palermo
๐Ÿ”„
90'
T. Berti โ†” T. Arrigoni
Cesena
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 89.5%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 78.9%
X 10.5%
Away 10.5%
1X 89.5%
X2 21.1%
12 89.5%

Tactical Setup

Palermo formation 3-4-2-1
Cesena formation 4-2-3-1
Palermo missing 0
Cesena missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Palermo scorers J. Pohjanpalo (21 goals), Filippo Ranocchia (6 goals), J. Le Douaron (5 goals)
Palermo creators A. Palumbo (10 assists), J. Pohjanpalo (7 assists), J. Le Douaron (4 assists)
Cesena scorers C. Shpendi (10 goals), R. Ciervo (5 goals), Gianluca Frabotta (4 goals)
Cesena creators T. Berti (7 assists), C. Shpendi (4 assists), R. Ciervo (3 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Palermo and Cesena have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Palermo 3-4-2-1 / Cesena 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Palermo wins 1, draws 3, Cesena wins 1

Match Analysis

Placed 4 with 65 points from 34 outings, Palermo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 18 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 55:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Pohjanpalo (21 goals), Filippo Ranocchia (6 goals), J. Le Douaron (5 goals), with creative support from A. Palumbo (10 assists), J. Pohjanpalo (7 assists), J. Le Douaron (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
From their first 34 matches, Cesena have collected 44 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, while the 42:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Shpendi (10 goals), R. Ciervo (5 goals), Gianluca Frabotta (4 goals), with creative support from T. Berti (7 assists), C. Shpendi (4 assists), R. Ciervo (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Palermo's more proactive style and Cesena's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palermo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cesena in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cesena having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cesena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Palermo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 65 points compared to Cesena in 8 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Statistics

Palermo Stat Cesena
3 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots off Goal 6
17 Total Shots 14
3 Blocked Shots 5
14 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 8
14 Fouls 5
6 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 1
39% Ball Possession 61%
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
368 Total passes 611
318 Passes accurate 548
86% Passes % 90%
2.11 expected_goals 1.35
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Palermo
10.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Frosinone
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Avellino
2
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Padova
1
0
W
17.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Monza
0
3
L
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Cesena
11.04.26
Ser
Cesena
Juve Stabia
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Cesena
Sudtirol
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Catanzaro
3
1
W
17.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Mantova
0
3
L
14.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Frosinone
2
2
D
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Palermo
05.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Avellino
2
0
W
17.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
04.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Mantova
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Palermo
Sudtirol
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Palermo
Virtus Entella
3
0
W
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Cesena
11.04.26
Ser
Cesena
Juve Stabia
0
2
L
17.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Mantova
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Cesena
Modena
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Cesena
Empoli
1
1
D
10.02.26
Ser
Cesena
Virtus Entella
1
3
L
Show more matches โŒ„

Lineups

Palermo
Formation
Cesena
6.6
A. Gomis
1
A. Gomis
6.7
N. Pierozzi
27
N. Pierozzi
7.3
M. Bani
13
M. Bani
6.6
P. Ceccaroni
32
P. Ceccaroni
8.3
R. Modesto
18
๐ŸŽฏ โ†“
R. Modesto
6.2
J. Segre
8
โ†“
J. Segre
7.0
F. Ranocchia
10
F. Ranocchia
7.6
T. Augello
3
T. Augello
6.3
J. Le Douaron
21
๐ŸŽฏ โ†“
J. Le Douaron
6.9
A. Palumbo
5
โ†“
A. Palumbo
8.7
J. Pohjanpalo
20
โšฝ 2 โ†“
J. Pohjanpalo
6.9
J. Klinsmann
33
J. Klinsmann
6.2
A. Ciofi
15
A. Ciofi
7.0
G. Zaro
19
G. Zaro
6.5
M. Piacentini
26
M. Piacentini
6.9
T. Corazza
27
โ†“
T. Corazza
6.6
M. Castagnetti
4
โ†“
M. Castagnetti
7.5
D. Bisoli
25
D. Bisoli
6.6
C. Shpendi
9
C. Shpendi
6.6
T. Berti
14
โ†“
T. Berti
6.2
M. Olivieri
32
โ†“
M. Olivieri
7.0
A. Cerri
7
โ†“
A. Cerri
Palermo 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
A. Gomis
G
27
N. Pierozzi
D
13
M. Bani
D
32
P. Ceccaroni
D
18
R. Modesto
๐ŸŽฏ 71' โ†“ 80'
M
8
J. Segre
โ†“ 80'
M
10
F. Ranocchia
M
3
T. Augello
M
21
J. Le Douaron
๐ŸŽฏ 9' โ†“ 74'
F
5
A. Palumbo
โ†“ 74'
F
20
J. Pohjanpalo
โšฝ 9' โšฝ 71' โ†“ 88'
F
Substitutes
66
J. Joronen
G
77
F. Di Bartolo
G
19
B. Bereszynski
D
11
E. Gyasi
โ†‘ 74'
D
28
A. Blin
M
96
G. Magnani
โ†‘ 80'
D
17
S. Giovane
โ†‘ 74'
M
14
A. Vasic
โ†‘ 80'
M
31
G. Corona
โ†‘ 88'
F
72
D. Veroli
D
Cesena 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
J. Klinsmann
G
15
A. Ciofi
D
19
G. Zaro
D
26
M. Piacentini
D
27
T. Corazza
โ†“ 72'
D
4
M. Castagnetti
โ†“ 72'
M
25
D. Bisoli
M
9
C. Shpendi
M
14
T. Berti
โ†“ 90'
M
32
M. Olivieri
โ†“ 78'
M
7
A. Cerri
โ†“ 72' ๐ŸŸจ 41'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Siano
G
6
T. Arrigoni
โ†‘ 90'
M
8
G. Castrovilli
โ†‘ 72'
M
24
M. Mangraviti
D
22
G. Vrioni
โ†‘ 78'
F
99
G. Frabotta
โ†‘ 72'
D
18
M. Guidi
17
I. Wade
M
11
R. Ciervo
โ†‘ 72'
F
70
M. Francesconi
M
16
P. Amoran
D
23
V. Magni
D

Head to Head

Palermo vs Cesena 5 matches
18.04.2026
Palermo 2 - 0 Cesena
Serie B
FT
27.09.2025
Cesena 1 - 1 Palermo
Serie B
FT
04.05.2025
Cesena 2 - 1 Palermo
Serie B
FT
21.09.2024
Palermo 0 - 0 Cesena
Serie B
FT
12.05.2018
Palermo 0 - 0 Cesena
Serie B
FT