Spezia
Serie B
FT
6 - 1
Stadio Alberto Picco
Referee: R. Abisso
Sudtirol
League: Serie B
Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco
Referee: R. Abisso
Spezia
Match Timeline
Sudtirol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
โšฝ
8'
M. Valoti
Spezia
โšฝ
20'
E. Pecorino ยท Assist: M. R. Frigerio
Sudtirol
๐ŸŸฅ
23'
Karim Zedadka
Sudtirol
VAR
23'
Karim Zedadka
Sudtirol
โšฝ
25'
G. Di Serio
Spezia
๐Ÿ”„
26'
F. Bandinelli โ†” C. Comotto
Spezia
๐Ÿ”„
28'
D. Crnigoj โ†” S. Davi
Sudtirol
๐ŸŸจ
30'
Silvio Merkaj
Sudtirol
โšฝ
33'
P. Beruatto ยท Assist: M. Valoti
Spezia
๐Ÿ”„
46'
G. Di Serio โ†” A. Nagy
Spezia
๐Ÿ”„
46'
J. Martini โ†” F. Tait
Sudtirol
๐Ÿ”„
46'
E. Pecorino โ†” D. Casiraghi
Sudtirol
๐Ÿ”„
61'
S. Merkaj โ†” R. Odogwu
Sudtirol
โšฝ
70'
G. Lapadula ยท Assist: P. Beruatto
Spezia
โšฝ
73'
L. Sernicola
Spezia
๐Ÿ”„
74'
A. Romano โ†” A. Bellemo
Spezia
๐Ÿ”„
74'
L. Sernicola โ†” L. Vignali
Spezia
๐Ÿ”„
77'
M. R. Frigerio โ†” F. Bordon
Sudtirol
โšฝ
82'
G. Aurelio ยท Assist: M. Valoti
Spezia
๐Ÿ”„
83'
M. Valoti โ†” E. Lorenzelli
Spezia
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 93.8%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 26.3%
X 6.2%
Away 67.5%
1X 32.5%
X2 73.7%
12 93.8%

Tactical Setup

Spezia formation 3-5-1-1
Sudtirol formation 3-5-2
Spezia missing 0
Sudtirol missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Spezia scorers G. Artistico (11 goals), G. Aurelio (5 goals), G. Lapadula (3 goals)
Spezia creators G. Aurelio (3 assists), P. Beruatto (3 assists), V. Vlahovic (2 assists)
Sudtirol scorers S. Merkaj (9 goals), E. Pecorino (8 goals), D. Casiraghi (4 goals)
Sudtirol creators D. Casiraghi (7 assists), S. Molina (4 assists), R. Odogwu (2 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Spezia and Sudtirol have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Spezia 3-5-1-1 / Sudtirol 3-5-2
H2H summary: Spezia wins 3, draws 1, Sudtirol wins 1

Match Analysis

Spezia sit 20 with 30 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 32:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Artistico (11 goals), G. Aurelio (5 goals), G. Lapadula (3 goals), with creative support from G. Aurelio (3 assists), P. Beruatto (3 assists), V. Vlahovic (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 34 matches, Sudtirol have collected 40 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 16 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 36:37 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Merkaj (9 goals), E. Pecorino (8 goals), D. Casiraghi (4 goals), with creative support from D. Casiraghi (7 assists), S. Molina (4 assists), R. Odogwu (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sudtirol carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 40 points while Spezia sit 20 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Spezia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sudtirol. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spezia expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and Sudtirol in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sudtirol having the stronger overall control.

Statistics

Spezia Stat Sudtirol
9 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 3
19 Total Shots 5
4 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 3
8 Shots outsidebox 2
16 Fouls 13
3 Corner Kicks 3
4 Offsides 1
66% Ball Possession 34%
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
474 Total passes 227
393 Passes accurate 145
83% Passes % 64%
3.43 expected_goals 0.45
-1 goals_prevented -1
Last matches: Spezia
12.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Mantova
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Carrarese
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Juve Stabia
1
3
L
17.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Modena
0
3
L
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Sudtirol
11.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Modena
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Cesena
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Frosinone
1
3
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Avellino
2
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Pescara
0
0
D
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Spezia
12.04.26
Ser
Spezia
Mantova
0
2
L
17.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Empoli
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ser
Spezia
Monza
4
2
W
28.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Reggiana
0
1
L
15.02.26
Ser
Spezia
Frosinone
0
2
L
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Sudtirol
06.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Cesena
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Avellino
2
3
L
03.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Reggiana
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Palermo
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
2
1
W
Show more matches โŒ„

Lineups

Spezia
Formation
Sudtirol
6.5
D. Mascardi
12
D. Mascardi
6.7
A. Mateju
37
A. Mateju
6.9
P. Hristov
55
P. Hristov
6.6
G. Aurelio
31
โšฝ
G. Aurelio
6.9
L. Sernicola
17
โšฝ โ†“
L. Sernicola
6.5
F. Bandinelli
25
โ†“
F. Bandinelli
6.9
A. Romano
60
โ†“
A. Romano
8.9
M. Valoti
5
โšฝ ๐ŸŽฏ โ†“
M. Valoti
7.3
P. Beruatto
11
โšฝ ๐ŸŽฏ
P. Beruatto
7.2
G. Di Serio
20
โšฝ โ†“
G. Di Serio
6.3
G. Lapadula
10
โšฝ
G. Lapadula
5.6
M. Adamonis
31
M. Adamonis
5.6
F. Davi
23
F. Davi
5.7
N. Pietrangeli
19
N. Pietrangeli
6.2
F. Veseli
34
F. Veseli
6.0
S. Molina
79
S. Molina
6.9
J. Martini
6
โ†“
J. Martini
6.2
D. Crnigoj
89
โ†“
D. Crnigoj
6.9
M. R. Frigerio
26
๐ŸŽฏ โ†“
M. R. Frigerio
3.6
K. Zedadka
7
K. Zedadka
7.6
E. Pecorino
9
โšฝ โ†“
E. Pecorino
5.9
S. Merkaj
33
โ†“
S. Merkaj
Spezia 3-5-2
Starting XI
12
D. Mascardi
G
37
A. Mateju
D
55
P. Hristov
D
31
G. Aurelio
โšฝ 82'
D
17
L. Sernicola
โšฝ 73' โ†“ 74'
M
25
F. Bandinelli
โ†“ 26'
M
60
A. Romano
โ†“ 74'
M
5
M. Valoti
โšฝ 8' ๐ŸŽฏ 33' ๐ŸŽฏ 82' โ†“ 83'
M
11
P. Beruatto
โšฝ 33' ๐ŸŽฏ 70'
M
20
G. Di Serio
โšฝ 25' โ†“ 46'
F
10
G. Lapadula
โšฝ 70'
F
Substitutes
22
B. Radunovic
G
16
L. Loria
G
6
A. Bellemo
โ†‘ 74'
M
32
L. Vignali
โ†‘ 74'
D
70
E. Adamo
M
4
M. Ruggero
D
90
L. Skjellerup
F
19
H. Shagaxle
M
77
E. Lorenzelli
โ†‘ 83'
M
8
A. Nagy
โ†‘ 46'
M
24
A. Bertoncini
D
34
C. Comotto
โ†‘ 26'
M
Sudtirol 3-5-2
Starting XI
31
M. Adamonis
G
23
F. Davi
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
34
F. Veseli
D
79
S. Molina
M
6
J. Martini
โ†“ 46'
M
89
D. Crnigoj
โ†“ 28'
M
26
M. R. Frigerio
๐ŸŽฏ 20' โ†“ 77'
M
7
K. Zedadka
๐ŸŸฅ 23'
M
9
E. Pecorino
โšฝ 20' โ†“ 46'
F
33
S. Merkaj
โ†“ 61' ๐ŸŸจ 30'
F
Substitutes
62
D. Theiner
G
1
D. Borra
G
5
A. Masiello
D
90
R. Odogwu
โ†‘ 61'
F
21
F. Tait
โ†‘ 46'
M
18
S. Tronchin
M
3
F. Bordon
โ†‘ 77'
99
S. Verdi
M
17
D. Casiraghi
โ†‘ 46'
M
11
R. Tonin
F
24
S. Davi
โ†‘ 28'
D
4
D. Mancini
D

Head to Head

Spezia vs Sudtirol 5 matches
18.04.2026
Spezia 6 - 1 Sudtirol
Serie B
FT
10.01.2026
Sudtirol 2 - 1 Spezia
Serie B
FT
28.02.2025
Sudtirol 1 - 1 Spezia
Serie B
FT
24.11.2024
Spezia 3 - 0 Sudtirol
Serie B
FT
09.03.2024
Spezia 2 - 1 Sudtirol
Serie B
FT