Necaxa
Liga MX
FT
1 - 1
Estadio Victoria
Referee: K. I. Garcia Mendoza
Tigres UANL
League: Liga MX
Venue: Estadio Victoria
Referee: K. I. Garcia Mendoza
Necaxa
Match Timeline
Tigres UANL
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
โšฝ
34'
T. Badaloni ยท Assist: D. Leyva
Necaxa
๐ŸŸจ
43'
Danny Leyva
Necaxa
๐Ÿ”„
46'
Joaquim โ†” A. Correa
Tigres UANL
๐Ÿ”„
55'
A. E. Almendra โ†” K. Rosero
Necaxa
๐Ÿ”„
56'
M. Flores โ†” D. Lainez
Tigres UANL
๐Ÿ”„
67'
F. Reyes โ†” D. A. Sanchez Guevara
Tigres UANL
๐Ÿ”„
67'
C. Araujo โ†” R. Aguirre
Tigres UANL
๐Ÿ”„
76'
J. Ruiz โ†” F. Rossano
Necaxa
๐Ÿ”„
76'
O. Herrera โ†” J. Angulo
Tigres UANL
๐ŸŸจ
82'
Ricardo Monreal
Necaxa
๐ŸŸจ
82'
Rodrigo Aguirre
Tigres UANL
๐Ÿ”„
84'
R. Monreal โ†” R. Cortez
Necaxa
๐Ÿ”„
84'
F. Mendez โ†” E. Lara
Necaxa
โšฝ
90'
A. Correa ยท Assist: R. Aguirre
Tigres UANL
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 83.5%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 62.8%
X 16.5%
Away 20.7%
1X 79.3%
X2 37.2%
12 83.5%

Tactical Setup

Necaxa formation 3-1-4-2
Tigres UANL formation 4-2-3-1
Necaxa missing 0
Tigres UANL missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Necaxa scorers D. Cambindo (12 goals), Tomรกs Badaloni (7 goals), A. Palavecino (6 goals)
Necaxa creators A. Palavecino (5 assists), Franco Rossano (4 assists), D. Cambindo (3 assists)
Tigres UANL scorers Juan Brunetta (16 goals), A. Correa (14 goals), D. Lainez (6 goals)
Tigres UANL creators Juan Brunetta (8 assists), A. Correa (8 assists), D. Lainez (7 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Necaxa and Tigres UANL have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Necaxa 3-1-4-2 / Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Necaxa wins 0, draws 3, Tigres UANL wins 2

Match Analysis

Necaxa are currently 12 in the standings with 16 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 17:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Cambindo (12 goals), Tomรกs Badaloni (7 goals), A. Palavecino (6 goals), with creative support from A. Palavecino (5 assists), Franco Rossano (4 assists), D. Cambindo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tigres UANL sit 6 with 20 points after 14 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan Brunetta (16 goals), A. Correa (14 goals), D. Lainez (6 goals), with creative support from Juan Brunetta (8 assists), A. Correa (8 assists), D. Lainez (7 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Tigres UANL's more proactive style and Necaxa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tigres UANL. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Necaxa expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Tigres UANL in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tigres UANL having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Statistics

Necaxa Stat Tigres UANL
2 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 6
7 Total Shots 17
1 Blocked Shots 6
4 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 10
16 Fouls 10
0 Corner Kicks 12
1 Offsides 1
27% Ball Possession 73%
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
247 Total passes 630
174 Passes accurate 562
70% Passes % 89%
0.71 expected_goals 1.20
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Necaxa
23.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlรกn
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
0
0
D
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Last matches: Tigres UANL
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
4
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
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Last matches: Necaxa
23.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlรกn
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
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Last matches: Tigres UANL
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Tigres UANL
Club America
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
1
2
L
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Lineups

Necaxa
Formation
Tigres UANL
6.2
E. Unsain
22
E. Unsain
6.7
R. Martinez
33
R. Martinez
6.9
A. Pena
4
A. Pena
6.9
F. Mendez
20
โ†“
F. Mendez
7.0
C. Calderon
16
C. Calderon
6.3
R. Monreal
30
โ†“
R. Monreal
7.3
K. Gutierrez
5
K. Gutierrez
7.3
D. Leyva
6
๐ŸŽฏ
D. Leyva
6.7
J. Ruiz
35
โ†“
J. Ruiz
6.7
A. E. Almendra
10
โ†“
A. E. Almendra
7.5
T. Badaloni
9
โšฝ
T. Badaloni
6.6
N. Guzman
1
N. Guzman
J. Garza
14
J. Garza
6.2
Joaquim
28
โ†“
Joaquim
6.6
Romulo
23
Romulo
6.6
F. Reyes
2
โ†“
F. Reyes
7.9
F. Gorriaran
8
F. Gorriaran
7.2
C. Araujo
5
โ†“
C. Araujo
6.5
O. Herrera
77
โ†“
O. Herrera
6.6
J. Brunetta
11
J. Brunetta
6.3
M. Flores
20
โ†“
M. Flores
6.2
A. Gignac
10
A. Gignac
Necaxa 4-4-2
Starting XI
22
E. Unsain
G
33
R. Martinez
D
4
A. Pena
D
20
F. Mendez
โ†“ 84'
D
16
C. Calderon
D
30
R. Monreal
โ†“ 84' ๐ŸŸจ 82'
M
5
K. Gutierrez
M
6
D. Leyva
๐ŸŽฏ 34' ๐ŸŸจ 43'
M
35
J. Ruiz
โ†“ 76'
M
10
A. E. Almendra
โ†“ 55'
F
9
T. Badaloni
โšฝ 34'
F
Substitutes
12
L. Jimenez
G
188
I. Tello
F
17
R. Cortez
โ†‘ 84'
M
24
F. Rossano
โ†‘ 76'
D
210
J. Palacios
M
7
K. Rosero
โ†‘ 55'
F
26
E. Lara
โ†‘ 84'
D
189
B. Casas
F
197
A. Moreno
M
232
R. Alonso
Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Guzman
G
14
J. Garza
28
Joaquim
โ†“ 46'
D
23
Romulo
D
2
F. Reyes
โ†“ 67'
D
8
F. Gorriaran
M
5
C. Araujo
โ†“ 67'
M
77
O. Herrera
โ†“ 76'
M
11
J. Brunetta
M
20
M. Flores
โ†“ 56'
M
10
A. Gignac
F
Substitutes
25
F. Rodriguez
G
16
D. Lainez
โ†‘ 56'
M
27
J. Angulo
โ†‘ 76'
D
30
D. A. Sanchez Guevara
โ†‘ 67'
F
17
R. Aguirre
๐ŸŽฏ 90' โ†‘ 67' ๐ŸŸจ 82'
F
6
J. Vigon
M
7
A. Correa
โšฝ 90' โ†‘ 46'
F
4
J. Sanchez
D
33
R. Guerrero
D
204
Simeone
M

Head to Head

Necaxa vs Tigres UANL 5 matches
18.04.2026
Necaxa 1 - 1 Tigres UANL
Liga MX
FT
18.10.2025
Tigres UANL 5 - 3 Necaxa
Liga MX
FT
12.05.2025
Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Necaxa
Liga MX
FT
09.05.2025
Necaxa 0 - 0 Tigres UANL
Liga MX
FT
02.03.2025
Necaxa 1 - 2 Tigres UANL
Liga MX
FT