Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa
FT
1 - 2
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Referee: P. Gryckiewicz
Lech Poznan
League: Ekstraklasa
Venue: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Referee: P. Gryckiewicz
Pogon Szczecin
Match Timeline
Lech Poznan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
Pablo RodrΓ­guez
Lech Poznan
⚽
35'
A. Kozubal
Lech Poznan
🟨
45'
Kellyn Acosta
Pogon Szczecin
πŸ”„
46'
P. Rodriguez ↔ F. Jagiello
Lech Poznan
πŸ”„
53'
K. Grosicki ↔ K. Angielski
Pogon Szczecin
πŸ”„
53'
D. Loncar ↔ M. Agger
Pogon Szczecin
⚽
61'
L. Palma Β· Assist: A. Gholizadeh
Lech Poznan
πŸ”„
63'
P. Walemark ↔ D. Hakans
Lech Poznan
πŸ”„
63'
L. Palma ↔ T. Ouma
Lech Poznan
πŸ”„
68'
J. Bieganski ↔ J. Czaplinski
Pogon Szczecin
πŸ”„
71'
M. Ishak ↔ Y. Agnero
Lech Poznan
🟨
78'
Natan Ława
Pogon Szczecin
🟨
79'
Robert Gumny
Lech Poznan
πŸ”„
79'
A. Gholizadeh ↔ T. Ismaheel
Lech Poznan
⚽
80'
P. Mukairu Β· Assist: K. Acosta
Pogon Szczecin
πŸ”„
84'
Leo Borges ↔ L. Koutris
Pogon Szczecin
πŸ”„
85'
N. Lawa ↔ M. Ndiaye
Pogon Szczecin
🟨
86'
Taofeek Ismaheel
Lech Poznan
🟨
90+5'
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Pogon Szczecin
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 85.5%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 29.6%
X 14.5%
Away 55.9%
1X 44.1%
X2 70.4%
12 85.5%

Tactical Setup

Pogon Szczecin formation 4-2-3-1
Lech Poznan formation 4-4-2
Pogon Szczecin missing 0
Lech Poznan missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Pogon Szczecin scorers Paul Mukairu (7 goals), K. Grosicki (6 goals), F. Ulvestad (5 goals)
Pogon Szczecin creators K. Grosicki (5 assists), F. Ulvestad (3 assists), Sam Greenwood (2 assists)
Lech Poznan scorers M. Ishak (13 goals), Luis Palma (6 goals), Ali Gholizadeh (5 goals)
Lech Poznan creators Luis Palma (5 assists), F. Jagiello (4 assists), M. Ishak (3 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Pogon Szczecin and Lech Poznan have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: Pogon Szczecin 4-2-3-1 / Lech Poznan 4-4-2
H2H summary: Pogon Szczecin wins 0, draws 1, Lech Poznan wins 4

Match Analysis

Pogon Szczecin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 37 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats with a 36:42 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Paul Mukairu (7 goals), K. Grosicki (6 goals), F. Ulvestad (5 goals), with creative support from K. Grosicki (5 assists), F. Ulvestad (3 assists), Sam Greenwood (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lech Poznan come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 46 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 49:40 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Ishak (13 goals), Luis Palma (6 goals), Ali Gholizadeh (5 goals), with creative support from Luis Palma (5 assists), F. Jagiello (4 assists), M. Ishak (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lech Poznan's more proactive style and Pogon Szczecin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Pogon Szczecin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Lech Poznan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 46 points while Pogon Szczecin sit 13 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Lech Poznan. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pogon Szczecin expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Lech Poznan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lech Poznan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Statistics

Pogon Szczecin Stat Lech Poznan
3 Shots on Goal 11
2 Shots off Goal 8
6 Total Shots 22
1 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 14
1 Shots outsidebox 8
13 Fouls 12
5 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 5
56% Ball Possession 44%
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
9 Goalkeeper Saves 1
426 Total passes 342
343 Passes accurate 265
81% Passes % 77%
0.50 expected_goals 3.37
0 goals_prevented 0
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0
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06.04.26
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0
2
L
21.03.26
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Pogon Szczecin
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1
2
L
16.03.26
Eks
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2
1
W
08.03.26
Eks
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2
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D
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L
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W
28.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
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1
0
W
15.02.26
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1
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W
08.02.26
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04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
07.03.26
Eks
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Lineups

Pogon Szczecin
Formation
Lech Poznan
8.9
V. Cojocaru
77
V. Cojocaru
6.3
D. Keramitsis
13
D. Keramitsis
6.2
D. Loncar
22
↓
D. Loncar
6.2
A. Szalai
41
A. Szalai
6.3
Leo Borges
4
↓
Leo Borges
6.5
K. Acosta
3
🎯
K. Acosta
6.2
J. Bieganski
6
↓
J. Bieganski
6.9
F. Ulvestad
8
F. Ulvestad
6.7
N. Lawa
47
↓
N. Lawa
8.3
P. Mukairu
18
⚽
P. Mukairu
6.2
K. Grosicki
11
↓
K. Grosicki
6.3
P. Andreev
1
P. Andreev
6.6
J. Pereira
2
J. Pereira
6.5
R. Gumny
20
R. Gumny
7.0
W. Monka
27
W. Monka
7.2
M. Gurgul
15
M. Gurgul
7.9
A. Gholizadeh
8
🎯 ↓
A. Gholizadeh
7.2
A. Kozubal
43
⚽
A. Kozubal
6.2
P. Rodriguez
99
↓
P. Rodriguez
8.0
L. Palma
77
⚽ ↓
L. Palma
7.2
P. Walemark
10
↓
P. Walemark
6.6
M. Ishak
9
↓
M. Ishak
Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
Starting XI
77
V. Cojocaru
G
13
D. Keramitsis
🟨 90+5'
D
22
D. Loncar
↓ 53'
D
41
A. Szalai
D
4
Leo Borges
↓ 84'
D
3
K. Acosta
🎯 80' 🟨 45'
M
6
J. Bieganski
↓ 68'
M
8
F. Ulvestad
M
47
N. Lawa
↓ 85' 🟨 78'
M
18
P. Mukairu
⚽ 80'
F
11
K. Grosicki
↓ 53'
F
Substitutes
31
K. Kaminski
G
24
K. Angielski
↑ 53'
F
32
L. Koutris
↑ 84'
D
7
M. Juwara
F
61
K. Smolinski
M
25
M. Agger
↑ 53'
F
19
M. Ndiaye
↑ 85'
M
10
F. Cuic
F
30
J. Czaplinski
↑ 68'
M
Lech Poznan 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
P. Andreev
G
2
J. Pereira
D
20
R. Gumny
🟨 79'
D
27
W. Monka
D
15
M. Gurgul
D
8
A. Gholizadeh
🎯 61' ↓ 79'
M
43
A. Kozubal
⚽ 35'
M
99
P. Rodriguez
↓ 46' 🟨 33'
M
77
L. Palma
⚽ 61' ↓ 63'
M
10
P. Walemark
↓ 63'
F
9
M. Ishak
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
33
M. Pruchniewski
G
14
L. Bengtsson
M
4
J. Moutinho
D
7
Y. Agnero
↑ 71'
F
44
T. Gmur
M
90
H. Janyszka
D
24
F. Jagiello
↑ 46'
M
11
D. Hakans
↑ 63'
M
88
T. Ismaheel
↑ 79' 🟨 86'
M
6
T. Ouma
↑ 63'
M

Head to Head

Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan 5 matches
18.04.2026
Pogon Szczecin 1 - 2 Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa
FT
19.10.2025
Lech Poznan 2 - 2 Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa
FT
01.03.2025
Pogon Szczecin 0 - 3 Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa
FT
25.08.2024
Lech Poznan 2 - 0 Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa
FT
07.04.2024
Lech Poznan 1 - 0 Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa
FT