FC Orenburg
Premier League
FT
0
-
1
Lokomotiv
League: Premier League
Venue: Gazovik Stadium
Referee: A. Chistyakov
FC Orenburg
Match Timeline
Lokomotiv
Main Prediction
Away Win
Confidence 94.7%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability Model
Home
36.2%
X
5.3%
Away
58.5%
1X
41.5%
X2
63.8%
12
94.7%
Tactical Setup
FC Orenburg formation
4-2-3-1
Lokomotiv formation
4-2-3-1
FC Orenburg missing
0
Lokomotiv missing
2
Key Squad Notes
FC Orenburg scorers
J. Thompson (5 goals), E. Gurluk (4 goals), M. Savelyev (3 goals)
FC Orenburg creators
J. Thompson (2 assists), E. Gurluk (1 assists), Du Queiroz (1 assists)
Lokomotiv scorers
A. Batrakov (12 goals), D. Vorobyev (10 goals), A. Rudenko (6 goals)
Lokomotiv creators
A. Batrakov (8 assists), Z. Bakaev (5 assists), N. Komlichenko (4 assists)
Lokomotiv key absences
S. Pinyaev, N. Komlichenko
Lokomotiv suspended
N. Komlichenko
Head-to-Head Snapshot
FC Orenburg and Lokomotiv have faced each other 5 times recently.
Quick Insight
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1 / Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Orenburg 0, Lokomotiv 2
H2H summary: FC Orenburg wins 0, draws 1, Lokomotiv wins 4
Match Analysis
FC Orenburg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 20 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 24:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Thompson (5 goals), E. Gurluk (4 goals), M. Savelyev (3 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (2 assists), E. Gurluk (1 assists), Du Queiroz (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lokomotiv come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 45 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, while the 50:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Batrakov (12 goals), D. Vorobyev (10 goals), A. Rudenko (6 goals), with creative support from A. Batrakov (8 assists), Z. Bakaev (5 assists), N. Komlichenko (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without S. Pinyaev, N. Komlichenko, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lokomotiv's more proactive style and FC Orenburg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 45 points while FC Orenburg sit 15 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Statistics
FC Orenburg
Stat
Lokomotiv
2
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
6
11
Total Shots
15
5
Blocked Shots
5
7
Shots insidebox
11
4
Shots outsidebox
4
13
Fouls
20
2
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
3
41%
Ball Possession
59%
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
233
Total passes
329
136
Passes accurate
254
58%
Passes %
77%
0
expected_goals
0
0
goals_prevented
0
Last matches: FC Orenburg
22.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Rubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dynamo
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Dinamo Makhachkala
0
1
L
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Last matches: Lokomotiv
22.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Zenit
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Akron
5
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Rubin
0
3
L
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Last matches: FC Orenburg
22.04.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
0
2
L
08.03.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Zenit
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
FC Orenburg
Akron
2
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
FC Orenburg
Rubin
1
0
W
Show more matches โ
Last matches: Lokomotiv
05.04.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Lokomotiv
Rubin
0
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow
2
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
Ural
3
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv
FC Rostov
1
1
D
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Lineups
FC Orenburg
Formation
Lokomotiv
1
B. Ovsyannikov
18
F. Moufi
6
J. Palacios
4
D. Khotulev
32
A. Cantero
37
Du Queiroz
57
E. Bolotov
16
J. Thompson
8
D. Puebla
7
E. Gurluk
30
G. Guzina
1
A. Mitryushkin
45
A. Silyanov
85
E. Morozov
23
C. Montes
3
Lucas Fasson
25
D. Prutsev
93
A. Karpukas
7
Z. Bakaev
83
A. Batrakov
19
A. Rudenko
10
D. Vorobyev
FC Orenburg
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
B. Ovsyannikov
G
๐จ 90'
18
F. Moufi
D
โ 79'
6
J. Palacios
D
๐จ 89'
4
D. Khotulev
D
32
A. Cantero
D
37
Du Queiroz
M
โ 71'
57
E. Bolotov
M
โ 80'
16
J. Thompson
M
8
D. Puebla
M
โ 72'
7
E. Gurluk
M
30
G. Guzina
F
โ 61'
๐จ 42'
Substitutes
88
M. Rudakov
G
33
I. Kvekveskiri
M
3
D. Vedernikov
D
26
E. Tsenov
M
19
Alexandre Jesus
F
โ 61'
38
A. Kasimov
D
2
S. Poroykov
M
โ 79'
27
R. Golybin
M
โ 80'
29
A. El Mahraoui
F
20
D. Rybchinskiy
M
โ 72'
78
R. Kul
M
โ 71'
59
T. Avanesyan
M
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Mitryushkin
G
45
A. Silyanov
D
๐ฏ 70'
85
E. Morozov
D
23
C. Montes
D
3
Lucas Fasson
D
๐จ 90+3'
25
D. Prutsev
M
93
A. Karpukas
M
โ 54'
๐จ 43'
7
Z. Bakaev
M
โ 64'
๐จ 60'
83
A. Batrakov
M
โฝ 70'
19
A. Rudenko
M
10
D. Vorobyev
F
๐จ 90'
Substitutes
22
I. Lantratov
G
16
D. Veselov
G
94
A. Timofeev
M
32
L. Vera
M
โ 54'
59
E. Pogostnov
D
14
N. Saltykov
M
5
G. Nyamsi
D
88
M. Shchetinin
M
99
R. Myalkovskiy
F
90
D. Godyaev
M
74
D. Chevardin
D
โ 64'
Missing Players
FC Orenburg
0 missing
No missing players data
Lokomotiv
2 missing
-
S. Pinyaev
OUT
Questionable
Muscle Injury
-
N. Komlichenko
OUT
Missing Fixture
Yellow Cards
Head to Head
FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv
5 matches
18.04.2026
FC Orenburg 0 - 1 Lokomotiv
FT
Premier League
09.11.2025
Lokomotiv 1 - 0 FC Orenburg
FT
Premier League
03.05.2025
Lokomotiv 1 - 1 FC Orenburg
FT
Premier League
01.10.2024
Lokomotiv 2 - 1 FC Orenburg
FT
Cup
14.09.2024
FC Orenburg 2 - 4 Lokomotiv
FT
Premier League