Bastia
Ligue 2
FT
2 - 0
Stade Armand Cesari
Referee: B. Millot
Saint Etienne
League: Ligue 2
Venue: Stade Armand Cesari
Referee: B. Millot
Bastia
Match Timeline
Saint Etienne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
โšฝ
1'
A. Zaouai
Bastia
๐ŸŸจ
8'
Anthony Roncaglia
Bastia
๐ŸŸจ
34'
Augustine Boakye
Saint Etienne
๐ŸŸจ
45+1'
Juan Guevara
Bastia
๐Ÿ”„
53'
I. Cardona โ†” J. Duffus
Saint Etienne
๐Ÿ”„
59'
A. Roncaglia โ†” Z. Ariss
Bastia
๐Ÿ”„
60'
R. Beliandjou โ†” J. Sebas
Bastia
๐Ÿ”„
60'
A. Moueffek โ†” I. Miladinovic
Saint Etienne
๐Ÿ”„
69'
J. Janneh โ†” J. Eickmayer
Bastia
๐Ÿ”„
69'
A. Zaouai โ†” A. Boutrah
Bastia
โšฝ
71'
J. Eickmayer ยท Assist: F. Tomi
Bastia
๐ŸŸจ
74'
Joshua Duffus
Saint Etienne
๐ŸŸจ
89'
Joachim Eickmayer
Bastia
๐ŸŸจ
90+8'
Noah Zilliox
Bastia
๐Ÿ”„
90+6'
T. Meynadier โ†” N. Zilliox
Bastia
Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 94.5%
1X2
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 9.5%
X 5.5%
Away 85.1%
1X 14.9%
X2 90.5%
12 94.5%

Tactical Setup

Bastia formation 3-4-1-2
Saint Etienne formation 4-2-3-1
Bastia missing 0
Saint Etienne missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Bastia scorers Felix Tomi (4 goals), J. Sebas (4 goals), A. Boutrah (2 goals)
Bastia creators A. Boutrah (2 assists), Alexandre Bi Zaouai (2 assists), Felix Tomi (1 assists)
Saint Etienne scorers Z. Davitashvili (13 goals), Lucas Stassin (10 goals), I. Cardona (6 goals)
Saint Etienne creators A. Boakye (8 assists), I. Cardona (6 assists), Lucas Stassin (5 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Bastia and Saint Etienne have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Bastia 3-4-1-2 / Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bastia wins 2, draws 1, Saint Etienne wins 2

Match Analysis

Bastia sit 18 with 21 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 19:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Felix Tomi (4 goals), J. Sebas (4 goals), A. Boutrah (2 goals), with creative support from A. Boutrah (2 assists), Alexandre Bi Zaouai (2 assists), Felix Tomi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 57 points from 30 games, Saint Etienne bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 53:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Z. Davitashvili (13 goals), Lucas Stassin (10 goals), I. Cardona (6 goals), with creative support from A. Boakye (8 assists), I. Cardona (6 assists), Lucas Stassin (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Saint Etienne's more proactive style and Bastia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Saint Etienne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Saint Etienne carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 57 points while Bastia sit 18 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bastia expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Saint Etienne in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Saint Etienne having the stronger overall control.

Statistics

Bastia Stat Saint Etienne
4 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 5
10 Total Shots 10
4 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 4
20 Fouls 15
2 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 3
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
173 Total passes 547
86 Passes accurate 436
50% Passes % 80%
0 expected_goals 0
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Bastia
11.04.26
Lig
Bastia
RED Star FC 93
3
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Bastia
Amiens
1
1
D
20.03.26
Lig
Bastia
Rodez
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lig
Bastia
Boulogne
0
1
L
06.03.26
Lig
Bastia
PAU
2
2
D
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Saint Etienne
11.04.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Dunkerque
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Nancy
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Annecy
4
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Grenoble
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93
2
0
W
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Bastia
03.04.26
Lig
Bastia
Amiens
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lig
Bastia
Boulogne
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Annecy
0
2
L
16.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Estac Troyes
0
0
D
30.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Nancy
0
0
D
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Saint Etienne
04.04.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Nancy
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Grenoble
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
PAU
3
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Guingamp
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lig
Saint Etienne
Reims
0
1
L
Show more matches โŒ„

Lineups

Bastia
Formation
Saint Etienne
6.9
L. Olmeta
1
L. Olmeta
7.7
T. Meynadier
24
โ†“
T. Meynadier
6.3
A. Roncaglia
4
โ†“
A. Roncaglia
7.2
G. Akueson
28
G. Akueson
7.2
J. Guevara
3
J. Guevara
6.9
F. Bohnert
15
F. Bohnert
6.6
J. Janneh
66
โ†“
J. Janneh
7.3
T. Ducrocq
13
T. Ducrocq
7.7
A. Zaouai
18
โšฝ โ†“
A. Zaouai
6.6
R. Beliandjou
33
โ†“
R. Beliandjou
6.3
F. Tomi
9
๐ŸŽฏ
F. Tomi
6.0
G. Larsonneur
30
G. Larsonneur
6.0
K. Pedro
39
K. Pedro
8.0
J. Le Cardinal
26
J. Le Cardinal
6.9
M. Nade
3
M. Nade
6.2
B. Old
11
B. Old
6.0
A. Boakye
20
A. Boakye
6.3
A. Kante
14
A. Kante
6.7
I. Cardona
7
โ†“
I. Cardona
6.2
A. Moueffek
29
โ†“
A. Moueffek
6.7
Z. Davitashvili
22
Z. Davitashvili
6.2
L. Stassin
9
L. Stassin
Bastia 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
L. Olmeta
G
24
T. Meynadier
โ†“ 90+6'
D
4
A. Roncaglia
โ†“ 59' ๐ŸŸจ 8'
D
28
G. Akueson
D
3
J. Guevara
๐ŸŸจ 45+1'
D
15
F. Bohnert
D
66
J. Janneh
โ†“ 69'
M
13
T. Ducrocq
M
18
A. Zaouai
โšฝ 1' โ†“ 69'
M
33
R. Beliandjou
โ†“ 60'
F
9
F. Tomi
๐ŸŽฏ 71'
F
Substitutes
16
S. Contena
G
17
J. Eickmayer
โšฝ 71' โ†‘ 69' ๐ŸŸจ 89'
M
12
N. Zilliox
โ†‘ 90+6' ๐ŸŸจ 90+8'
D
5
Z. Ariss
โ†‘ 59'
D
29
M. Merghem
F
10
A. Boutrah
โ†‘ 69'
F
14
J. Sebas
โ†‘ 60'
F
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
G. Larsonneur
G
39
K. Pedro
D
26
J. Le Cardinal
D
3
M. Nade
D
11
B. Old
D
20
A. Boakye
๐ŸŸจ 34'
M
14
A. Kante
M
7
I. Cardona
โ†“ 53'
M
29
A. Moueffek
โ†“ 60'
M
22
Z. Davitashvili
M
9
L. Stassin
F
Substitutes
1
B. Maubleu
G
8
D. Appiah
D
6
M. Bernauer
D
15
C. Lamba
D
17
J. Duffus
โ†‘ 53' ๐ŸŸจ 74'
F
5
M. Jaber
M
28
I. Miladinovic
โ†‘ 60'
M

Head to Head

Bastia vs Saint Etienne 5 matches
18.04.2026
Bastia 2 - 0 Saint Etienne
Ligue 2
FT
13.12.2025
Saint Etienne 2 - 2 Bastia
Ligue 2
FT
16.03.2024
Bastia 0 - 4 Saint Etienne
Ligue 2
FT
19.12.2023
Saint Etienne 3 - 2 Bastia
Ligue 2
FT
31.01.2023
Bastia 2 - 0 Saint Etienne
Ligue 2
FT