Estac Troyes
Ligue 2
FT
1 - 0
Stade de l'Aube
Referee: F. Benchabane
Boulogne
League: Ligue 2
Venue: Stade de l'Aube
Referee: F. Benchabane
Estac Troyes
Match Timeline
Boulogne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
๐ŸŸจ
20'
Adrien Monfray
Estac Troyes
โšฝ
47'
T. Bentayeb ยท Assist: Y. Titi
Estac Troyes
๐ŸŸจ
62'
Siad Gourville
Boulogne
๐Ÿ”„
66'
N. Fatar โ†” V. Burlet
Boulogne
๐Ÿ”„
66'
S. Duflos โ†” N. Binet
Boulogne
๐Ÿ”„
73'
T. Bentayeb โ†” R. Ripart
Estac Troyes
๐Ÿ”„
76'
J. Martin โ†” C. Fatou
Boulogne
๐Ÿ”„
82'
K. Diawara โ†” M. Detourbet
Estac Troyes
๐Ÿ”„
85'
J. Bultel โ†” A. Pinot
Boulogne
๐Ÿ”„
86'
A. El Farissi โ†” S. Paillard
Boulogne
๐Ÿ”„
87'
M. Adeline โ†” A. Phliponeau
Estac Troyes
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 92.7%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 57.4%
X 7.3%
Away 35.3%
1X 64.8%
X2 42.6%
12 92.7%

Tactical Setup

Estac Troyes formation 4-1-4-1
Boulogne formation 4-1-4-1
Estac Troyes missing 0
Boulogne missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Estac Troyes scorers T. Bentayeb (16 goals), M. Adeline (9 goals), Renaud Ripart (5 goals)
Estac Troyes creators M. Adeline (8 assists), Mathys Detourbet (5 assists), T. Bentayeb (3 assists)
Boulogne scorers C. Fatou (6 goals), Amine El Farissi (4 goals), N. Fatar (3 goals)
Boulogne creators Amine El Farissi (3 assists), A. Platret (3 assists), C. Fatou (2 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Estac Troyes and Boulogne have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Estac Troyes 4-1-4-1 / Boulogne 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Estac Troyes wins 3, draws 0, Boulogne wins 2

Match Analysis

Estac Troyes approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 58 points after 30 outings. The return of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 51:30, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. Bentayeb (16 goals), M. Adeline (9 goals), Renaud Ripart (5 goals), with creative support from M. Adeline (8 assists), Mathys Detourbet (5 assists), T. Bentayeb (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Boulogne are currently 12 in the standings with 36 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 30:38 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Fatou (6 goals), Amine El Farissi (4 goals), N. Fatar (3 goals), with creative support from Amine El Farissi (3 assists), A. Platret (3 assists), C. Fatou (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Estac Troyes's more proactive style and Boulogne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Estac Troyes arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 58 points compared to Boulogne in 12 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Boulogne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Statistics

Estac Troyes Stat Boulogne
5 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 2
11 Total Shots 5
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 2
3 Shots outsidebox 3
14 Fouls 17
8 Corner Kicks 1
3 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
377 Total passes 421
307 Passes accurate 351
81% Passes % 83%
0 expected_goals 0
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Estac Troyes
13.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Rodez
1
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Dunkerque
5
1
W
16.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Annecy
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
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Last matches: Boulogne
11.04.26
Lig
Boulogne
Le Mans
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Boulogne
Reims
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Boulogne
Nancy
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Boulogne
Bastia
1
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Boulogne
Amiens
4
2
W
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Last matches: Estac Troyes
21.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Dunkerque
5
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
PAU
4
3
W
04.02.26
Cou
Estac Troyes
Lens
2
4
L
31.01.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
0
2
L
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Last matches: Boulogne
04.04.26
Lig
Boulogne
Reims
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Boulogne
Bastia
1
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
Boulogne
Grenoble
0
0
D
13.02.26
Lig
Boulogne
PAU
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Boulogne
Saint Etienne
1
0
W
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Lineups

Estac Troyes
Formation
Boulogne
6.7
H. Konate
40
H. Konate
7.9
Y. Titi
44
๐ŸŽฏ
Y. Titi
7.3
A. Monfray
6
A. Monfray
6.7
S. Diawara
38
S. Diawara
7.3
I. Boura
14
I. Boura
7.0
M. Ifnaoui
10
M. Ifnaoui
7.2
A. Mille
17
A. Mille
6.9
M. Diop
8
M. Diop
6.7
K. Diawara
29
โ†“
K. Diawara
7.6
T. Bentayeb
21
โšฝ โ†“
T. Bentayeb
6.9
M. Adeline
5
โ†“
M. Adeline
7.7
B. Noukeu
99
B. Noukeu
6.9
D. Thiam
18
D. Thiam
7.0
S. Gourville
25
S. Gourville
6.2
N. Zohore
5
N. Zohore
6.2
J. Boyer
12
J. Boyer
6.9
J. Martin
90
โ†“
J. Martin
6.0
A. El Farissi
10
โ†“
A. El Farissi
6.3
J. Bultel
14
โ†“
J. Bultel
6.3
S. Duflos
22
โ†“
S. Duflos
6.9
N. Fatar
23
โ†“
N. Fatar
6.9
M. Lecolier
9
M. Lecolier
Estac Troyes 4-4-2
Starting XI
40
H. Konate
G
44
Y. Titi
๐ŸŽฏ 47'
D
6
A. Monfray
๐ŸŸจ 20'
D
38
S. Diawara
D
14
I. Boura
D
10
M. Ifnaoui
M
17
A. Mille
M
8
M. Diop
M
29
K. Diawara
โ†“ 82'
M
21
T. Bentayeb
โšฝ 47' โ†“ 73'
F
5
M. Adeline
โ†“ 87'
F
Substitutes
1
Z. Boucher
G
2
L. Maronnier
D
26
A. Phliponeau
โ†‘ 87'
M
23
H. Gambor
D
11
M. Detourbet
โ†‘ 82'
F
20
R. Ripart
โ†‘ 73'
F
3
A. Ouzenadji
F
Boulogne 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
99
B. Noukeu
G
18
D. Thiam
D
25
S. Gourville
๐ŸŸจ 62'
D
5
N. Zohore
D
12
J. Boyer
D
90
J. Martin
โ†“ 76'
M
10
A. El Farissi
โ†“ 86'
M
14
J. Bultel
โ†“ 85'
M
22
S. Duflos
โ†“ 66'
M
23
N. Fatar
โ†“ 66'
M
9
M. Lecolier
F
Substitutes
16
I. Kone
G
3
V. Burlet
โ†‘ 66'
D
28
S. Paillard
โ†‘ 86'
M
17
C. Fatou
โ†‘ 76'
F
15
A. Pinot
โ†‘ 85'
D
19
N. Binet
โ†‘ 66'
M
7
L. Boiteau
M

Head to Head

Estac Troyes vs Boulogne 5 matches
18.04.2026
Estac Troyes 1 - 0 Boulogne
Ligue 2
FT
15.12.2025
Boulogne 1 - 2 Estac Troyes
Ligue 2
FT
27.04.2012
Estac Troyes 2 - 1 Boulogne
Ligue 2
FT
20.12.2011
Boulogne 2 - 0 Estac Troyes
Ligue 2
FT
18.03.2011
Boulogne 2 - 0 Estac Troyes
Ligue 2
FT