Kashima
J1 League
FT
1 - 0
Mercari Stadium
Referee: M. Ueda
Urawa
League: J1 League
Venue: Mercari Stadium
Referee: M. Ueda
Kashima
Match Timeline
Urawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
๐ŸŸจ
61'
Kai Shibato
Urawa
๐Ÿ”„
64'
K. Tagawa โ†” S. Morooka
Kashima
๐Ÿ”„
64'
Y. Matsumura โ†” H. Hayashu
Kashima
๐ŸŸจ
72'
Matheus Sรกvio
Urawa
๐Ÿ”„
73'
T. Kaneko โ†” R. Hidano
Urawa
๐Ÿ”„
73'
K. Yasui โ†” H. Ueki
Urawa
๐Ÿ”„
76'
G. Shibasaki โ†” K. Chinen
Kashima
โšฝ
81'
K. Nono
Kashima
๐Ÿ”„
84'
Matheus Savio โ†” H. Abe
Urawa
๐Ÿ”„
84'
R. Watanabe โ†” T. Sekine
Urawa
๐Ÿ”„
87'
K. Anzai โ†” R. Ogawa
Kashima
๐Ÿ”„
88'
Leo Ceara โ†” K. Tsukui
Kashima
๐Ÿ”„
90'
A. Onaiwu โ†” T. Teruuchi
Urawa
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 95.3%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5

Probability Model

Home 80.3%
X 4.7%
Away 15%
1X 85%
X2 19.7%
12 95.3%

Tactical Setup

Kashima formation 4-4-2
Urawa formation 4-2-3-1
Kashima missing 0
Urawa missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Kashima scorers Leo Ceara (6 goals), Yuma Suzuki (5 goals), A. Cavric (2 goals)
Kashima creators Yuma Suzuki (3 assists), G. Shibasaki (2 assists), Y. Higuchi (2 assists)
Urawa scorers R. Hidano (4 goals), R. Watanabe (2 goals), J. Hayakawa (1 goals)
Urawa creators Matheus Sรกvio (3 assists), J. Hayakawa (1 assists), K. Nemoto (1 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Kashima and Urawa have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Kashima 4-4-2 / Urawa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kashima wins 3, draws 2, Urawa wins 0

Match Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 26 points from 10 games, Kashima bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 18:7, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Leo Ceara (6 goals), Yuma Suzuki (5 goals), A. Cavric (2 goals), with creative support from Yuma Suzuki (3 assists), G. Shibasaki (2 assists), Y. Higuchi (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Urawa sit 6 with 12 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 14:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Hidano (4 goals), R. Watanabe (2 goals), J. Hayakawa (1 goals), with creative support from Matheus Sรกvio (3 assists), J. Hayakawa (1 assists), K. Nemoto (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kashima's more proactive style and Urawa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Urawa. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kashima expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Urawa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Urawa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Kashima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 26 points compared to Urawa in 6 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Kashima come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Statistics

Kashima Stat Urawa
5 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 7
12 Total Shots 11
1 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 3
10 Fouls 18
7 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 1
58% Ball Possession 42%
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
490 Total passes 348
407 Passes accurate 272
83% Passes % 78%
1.39 expected_goals 1.06
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Kashima
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J1
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2
0
W
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1
1
D
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1
W
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0
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Last matches: Urawa
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J1
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1
1
D
05.04.26
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Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
3
L
22.03.26
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Urawa
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
18.03.26
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1
1
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14.03.26
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Last matches: Kashima
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J1
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2
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W
14.03.26
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Kashima
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1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
21.02.26
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Kashima
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Last matches: Urawa
05.04.26
J1
Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
2
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
21.02.26
J1
Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
0
W
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1
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Lineups

Kashima
Formation
Urawa
7.2
T. Hayakawa
1
T. Hayakawa
8.2
K. Nono
22
โšฝ
K. Nono
7.3
N. Ueda
55
N. Ueda
7.2
Kim Tae-Hyeon
3
Kim Tae-Hyeon
6.9
K. Anzai
2
โ†“
K. Anzai
6.6
Y. Matsumura
27
โ†“
Y. Matsumura
6.3
G. Shibasaki
10
โ†“
G. Shibasaki
7.9
K. Misao
6
K. Misao
6.6
Y. Suzuki
40
Y. Suzuki
6.6
Leo Ceara
9
โ†“
Leo Ceara
6.3
K. Tagawa
11
โ†“
K. Tagawa
6.9
S. Nishikawa
1
S. Nishikawa
6.2
H. Ishihara
4
H. Ishihara
6.2
Y. Miyamoto
2
Y. Miyamoto
6.3
K. Nemoto
5
K. Nemoto
6.9
Y. Naganuma
88
Y. Naganuma
6.6
K. Yasui
25
โ†“
K. Yasui
6.9
K. Shibato
22
K. Shibato
7.5
T. Kaneko
77
โ†“
T. Kaneko
6.5
R. Watanabe
13
โ†“
R. Watanabe
5.9
Matheus Savio
8
โ†“
Matheus Savio
6.3
A. Onaiwu
45
โ†“
A. Onaiwu
Kashima 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
T. Hayakawa
G
22
K. Nono
โšฝ 81'
D
55
N. Ueda
D
3
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D
2
K. Anzai
โ†“ 87'
D
27
Y. Matsumura
โ†“ 64'
M
10
G. Shibasaki
โ†“ 76'
M
6
K. Misao
M
40
Y. Suzuki
M
9
Leo Ceara
โ†“ 88'
F
11
K. Tagawa
โ†“ 64'
F
Substitutes
29
Y. Kajikawa
G
77
A. Cavric
F
7
R. Ogawa
โ†‘ 87'
D
13
K. Chinen
โ†‘ 76'
M
14
Y. Higuchi
M
19
S. Morooka
โ†‘ 64'
F
23
K. Tsukui
โ†‘ 88'
D
71
R. Araki
M
24
H. Hayashu
โ†‘ 64'
M
Urawa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. Nishikawa
G
4
H. Ishihara
D
2
Y. Miyamoto
D
5
K. Nemoto
D
88
Y. Naganuma
D
25
K. Yasui
โ†“ 73'
M
22
K. Shibato
๐ŸŸจ 61'
M
77
T. Kaneko
โ†“ 73'
M
13
R. Watanabe
โ†“ 84'
M
8
Matheus Savio
โ†“ 84' ๐ŸŸจ 72'
M
45
A. Onaiwu
โ†“ 90'
F
Substitutes
16
A. Niekawa
G
7
H. Abe
โ†‘ 84'
F
26
T. Ogiwara
D
27
T. Teruuchi
โ†‘ 90'
F
9
I. Kiese
F
14
T. Sekine
โ†‘ 84'
M
39
J. Hayakawa
M
36
R. Hidano
โ†‘ 73'
F
37
H. Ueki
โ†‘ 73'
M

Head to Head

Kashima vs Urawa 5 matches
18.04.2026
Kashima 1 - 0 Urawa
J1 League
FT
28.02.2026
Urawa 2 - 3 Kashima
J1 League
FT
20.09.2025
Urawa 0 - 1 Kashima
J1 League
FT
16.03.2025
Kashima 1 - 1 Urawa
J1 League
FT
17.08.2024
Kashima 0 - 0 Urawa
J1 League
FT