Chelsea vs Manchester United

Chelsea

Premier League

0 - 1

Stamford Bridge

Referee: M. Oliver

Manchester United

League: Premier League

Venue: Stamford Bridge

Referee: M. Oliver

Chelsea

Match Timeline

Manchester United

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

🔄

🟨

⚽

🔄

🟨

Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 89.4%

1X2

Away Win

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 31.6%

X 10.6%

Away 57.8%

1X 42.2%

X2 68.4%

12 89.4%

Tactical Setup

Chelsea formation 4-2-3-1

Manchester United formation 4-2-3-1

Chelsea missing 6

Manchester United missing 6

Key Squad Notes

Chelsea scorers Joao Pedro (14 goals), C. Palmer (9 goals), E. Fernandez (8 goals)

Chelsea creators Joao Pedro (5 assists), Reece James (5 assists), P. Neto (4 assists)

Chelsea key absences T. Chalobah, L. Colwill, R. James

Chelsea suspended M. Mudryk

Manchester United scorers B. Mbeumo (9 goals), B. Sesko (9 goals), Bruno Fernandes (8 goals)

Manchester United creators Bruno Fernandes (17 assists), B. Mbeumo (3 assists), Patrick Dorgu (3 assists)

Manchester United key absences M. de Ligt, P. Dorgu, H. Maguire

Manchester United suspended H. Maguire, L. Martinez

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Chelsea and Manchester United have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)

Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Manchester United 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Chelsea 6, Manchester United 6

H2H summary: Chelsea wins 2, draws 1, Manchester United wins 2

Match Analysis

Chelsea approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 48 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats with a 53:41 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Joao Pedro (14 goals), C. Palmer (9 goals), E. Fernandez (8 goals), with creative support from Joao Pedro (5 assists), Reece James (5 assists), P. Neto (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with T. Chalobah, L. Colwill, R. James, M. Mudryk unavailable.

Manchester United come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 55 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, while the 56:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Mbeumo (9 goals), B. Sesko (9 goals), Bruno Fernandes (8 goals), with creative support from Bruno Fernandes (17 assists), B. Mbeumo (3 assists), Patrick Dorgu (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. de Ligt, P. Dorgu, H. Maguire, L. Martinez unavailable.

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Chelsea have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Manchester United. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Statistics

Chelsea Stat Manchester United

3 Shots on Goal 1

5 Shots off Goal 1

21 Total Shots 4

13 Blocked Shots 2

11 Shots insidebox 1

10 Shots outsidebox 3

12 Fouls 13

7 Corner Kicks 1

2 Offsides 0

59% Ball Possession 41%

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

605 Total passes 431

541 Passes accurate 362

89% Passes % 84%

1.57 expected_goals 0.29

0 goals_prevented 0

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Lineups

Chelsea

Formation

Manchester United

6.5

R. Sanchez

7.0

↓

M. Gusto

7.0

↓

W. Fofana

7.0

J. Hato

6.3

M. Cucurella

7.0

M. Caicedo

7.7

↓

E. Fernandez

6.7

↓

Estêvão

6.6

C. Palmer

6.9

P. Neto

6.3

L. Delap

7.2

S. Lammens

7.2

D. Dalot

6.9

N. Mazraoui

8.0

A. Heaven

7.3

L. Shaw

7.2

Casemiro

7.2

K. Mainoo

6.3

↓

B. Mbeumo

7.2

🎯

B. Fernandes

7.5

⚽ ↓

M. Cunha

6.3

↓

B. Sesko

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

R. Sanchez

M. Gusto

↓ 81'

W. Fofana

↓ 81'

J. Hato

🟨 39'

M. Cucurella

M. Caicedo

E. Fernandez

↓ 88'

Estêvão

↓ 16'

C. Palmer

P. Neto

L. Delap

Substitutes

T. Sharman-Lowe

T. Chalobah

↑ 81'

A. Garnacho

↑ 16'

Andrey Santos

M. Guiu

T. Adarabioyo

R. Lavia

↑ 88'

D. Essugo

J. Acheampong

↑ 81'

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

S. Lammens

D. Dalot

N. Mazraoui

A. Heaven

L. Shaw

Casemiro

K. Mainoo

🟨 90+4'

B. Mbeumo

↓ 87'

B. Fernandes

🎯 43'

M. Cunha

⚽ 43' ↓ 81' 🟨 25'

B. Sesko

↓ 80'

Substitutes

A. Bayindir

M. Mount

↑ 81' 🟨 90+1'

J. Zirkzee

↑ 87'

J. Thwaites

T. Malacia

M. Ugarte

A. Diallo

↑ 80'

T. Fletcher

S. Lacey

Missing Players

Chelsea 6 missing

T. Chalobah

Questionable Ankle Injury

OUT

L. Colwill

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

R. James

Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury

OUT

F. Jorgensen

Missing Fixture Groin Injury

OUT

M. Mudryk

Missing Fixture Suspended

OUT

J. Gittens

Missing Fixture Muscle Injury

OUT

Manchester United 6 missing

M. de Ligt

Missing Fixture Back Injury

OUT

P. Dorgu

Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury

OUT

H. Maguire

Missing Fixture Suspended

OUT

L. Martinez

Missing Fixture Red Card

OUT

L. Yoro

Missing Fixture Injury

OUT

K. Mainoo

Questionable Calf Injury

OUT

Head to Head

Chelsea vs Manchester United 5 matches

18.04.2026

Chelsea 0 - 1 Manchester United

Premier League

20.09.2025

Manchester United 2 - 1 Chelsea

Premier League

16.05.2025

Chelsea 1 - 0 Manchester United

Premier League

03.11.2024

Manchester United 1 - 1 Chelsea

Premier League

04.04.2024

Chelsea 4 - 3 Manchester United

Premier League