Tottenham vs Brighton

Tottenham

Premier League

2 - 2

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Referee: S. Attwell

Brighton

League: Premier League

Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Referee: S. Attwell

Tottenham

Match Timeline

Brighton

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

🔄

🟨

⚽

🔄

🟨

🔄

⚽

🟨

🔄

⚽

Main Prediction

Away Win

Confidence 89.9%

1X2

Away Win

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 10.3%

X 10.1%

Away 79.7%

1X 20.3%

X2 89.8%

12 89.9%

Tactical Setup

Tottenham formation 4-4-2

Brighton formation 4-2-3-1

Tottenham missing 7

Brighton missing 4

Key Squad Notes

Tottenham scorers Richarlison (9 goals), Cristian Romero (4 goals), Micky van de Ven (4 goals)

Tottenham creators M. Kudus (5 assists), X. Simons (4 assists), Richarlison (3 assists)

Tottenham key absences M. Kudus, B. Davies, D. Kulusevski

Brighton scorers D. Welbeck (12 goals), Diego Gómez (5 goals), Jan Paul van Hecke (4 goals)

Brighton creators Y. Minteh (4 assists), Y. Ayari (3 assists), J. Hinshelwood (3 assists)

Brighton key absences L. Dunk, S. Tzimas, A. Webster

Brighton suspended L. Dunk

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Tottenham and Brighton have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)

Predicted formations: Tottenham 4-4-2 / Brighton 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Tottenham 7, Brighton 4

H2H summary: Tottenham wins 1, draws 2, Brighton wins 2

Match Analysis

Tottenham sit 18 with 30 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 40:51, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Richarlison (9 goals), Cristian Romero (4 goals), Micky van de Ven (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kudus (5 assists), X. Simons (4 assists), Richarlison (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Kudus, B. Davies, D. Kulusevski, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

Brighton are currently 9 in the standings with 46 points from 32 matches. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 43:37 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Welbeck (12 goals), Diego Gómez (5 goals), Jan Paul van Hecke (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Minteh (4 assists), Y. Ayari (3 assists), J. Hinshelwood (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Dunk, S. Tzimas, A. Webster unavailable.

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Brighton's more proactive style and Tottenham's more cautious structure. Tottenham appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Brighton. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Brighton. Brighton carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 46 points while Tottenham sit 18 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tottenham expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Brighton in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Brighton having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Brighton look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Statistics

Tottenham Stat Brighton

6 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 4

13 Total Shots 10

3 Blocked Shots 3

10 Shots insidebox 8

3 Shots outsidebox 2

14 Fouls 14

7 Corner Kicks 5

2 Offsides 0

42% Ball Possession 58%

3 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

328 Total passes 435

263 Passes accurate 364

80% Passes % 84%

1.09 expected_goals 0.82

0 goals_prevented 0

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21.04.26

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11.04.26

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22.03.26

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05.03.26

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11.04.26

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Lineups

Tottenham

Formation

Brighton

6.2

A. Kinsky

7.7

⚽

P. Porro

5.9

K. Danso

6.7

M. van de Ven

6.5

↓

D. Udogie

7.2

↓

C. Gallagher

6.7

↓

R. Bentancur

6.2

↓

Y. Bissouma

6.3

↓

R. Kolo Muani

7.2

D. Solanke

8.3

⚽ 🎯

X. Simons

6.2

B. Verbruggen

5.9

M. Wieffer

7.0

🎯

J. P. van Hecke

7.0

O. Boscagli

5.9

F. Kadioglu

6.5

↓

Y. Ayari

6.9

🎯

P. Gross

6.5

↓

D. Gomez

6.2

↓

J. Hinshelwood

7.6

Y. Minteh

6.3

↓

D. Welbeck

Tottenham 4-3-3

Starting XI

A. Kinsky

P. Porro

⚽ 39'

K. Danso

🟨 65'

M. van de Ven

D. Udogie

↓ 76'

C. Gallagher

↓ 76'

R. Bentancur

↓ 67'

Y. Bissouma

↓ 57' 🟨 34'

R. Kolo Muani

↓ 57'

D. Solanke

X. Simons

⚽ 77' 🎯 39' 🟨 78'

Substitutes

B. Austin

J. Palhinha

↑ 67'

R. Dragusin

M. Tel

↑ 57'

A. Gray

↑ 57'

J. Maddison

Richarlison

D. Spence

↑ 76'

L. Bergvall

🎯 77' ↑ 76'

Brighton 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

B. Verbruggen

M. Wieffer

🟨 37'

J. P. van Hecke

🎯 90'

O. Boscagli

F. Kadioglu

Y. Ayari

↓ 82'

P. Gross

🎯 45'

D. Gomez

↓ 20'

J. Hinshelwood

↓ 75'

Y. Minteh

D. Welbeck

↓ 75'

Substitutes

J. Steele

J. Veltman

Igor

M. O'Riley

↑ 75'

K. Mitoma

⚽ 45' ↑ 20'

C. Baleba

C. Kostoulas

↑ 82'

G. Rutter

⚽ 90' ↑ 75'

M. De Cuyper

↑ 75'

Missing Players

Tottenham 7 missing

M. Kudus

Missing Fixture Muscle Injury

OUT

B. Davies

Missing Fixture Ankle Injury

OUT

D. Kulusevski

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

J. Maddison

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

W. Odobert

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

G. Vicario

Missing Fixture Groin Injury

OUT

C. Romero

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

Brighton 4 missing

L. Dunk

Missing Fixture Yellow Cards

OUT

S. Tzimas

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

A. Webster

Missing Fixture Knee Injury

OUT

J. Milner

Missing Fixture Injury

OUT

Head to Head

Tottenham vs Brighton 5 matches

18.04.2026

Tottenham 2 - 2 Brighton

Premier League

20.09.2025

Brighton 2 - 2 Tottenham

Premier League

25.05.2025

Tottenham 1 - 4 Brighton

Premier League

06.10.2024

Brighton 3 - 2 Tottenham

Premier League

10.02.2024

Tottenham 2 - 1 Brighton

Premier League