Universidad Catolica
Liga Pro
FT
2 - 0
Olimpico Atahualpa
Referee: K. Miranda
Libertad
League: Liga Pro
Venue: Olimpico Atahualpa
Referee: K. Miranda
Universidad Catolica
Match Timeline
Libertad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
๐ŸŸจ
24'
Cristhian Valencia
Libertad
๐Ÿ”„
46'
C. Gruezo โ†” J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
Libertad
โšฝ
57'
Jhon Chancellor ยท Assist: E. Mejia
Universidad Catolica
๐Ÿ”„
58'
A. Rodriguez โ†” A. Londono
Universidad Catolica
๐Ÿ”„
58'
M. Alonso โ†” M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
๐Ÿ”„
67'
J. Guisamano โ†” S. Bueno
Libertad
๐Ÿ”„
67'
C. Valencia โ†” E. Caicedo
Libertad
๐Ÿ”„
72'
J. Fajardo โ†” B. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
๐Ÿ”„
72'
E. Mejia โ†” E. Rose
Universidad Catolica
๐Ÿ”„
79'
D. Coronel โ†” A. Chere
Libertad
โšฝ
85'
B. Palacios ยท Assist: M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
VAR
87'
Byron Palacios
Universidad Catolica
๐Ÿ”„
89'
J. Cacciabue โ†” J. Chala
Universidad Catolica
๐ŸŸจ
90+2'
Bryan Caicedo
Libertad
Main Prediction

Home Win

Confidence 90.6%
1X2
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5

Probability Model

Home 71.7%
X 18.9%
Away 9.4%
1X 90.6%
X2 28.3%
12 81.1%

Tactical Setup

Universidad Catolica formation 4-2-3-1
Libertad formation 4-1-4-1
Universidad Catolica missing 0
Libertad missing 0

Key Squad Notes

Universidad Catolica scorers B. Palacios (3 goals), E. Clavijo (2 goals), A. Londono (1 goals)
Universidad Catolica creators Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), Mauro Dรญaz (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists)
Libertad scorers A. Chere (2 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), B. Caicedo (1 goals)
Libertad creators G. J. Cortez Casierra (2 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists)

Head-to-Head Snapshot

Universidad Catolica and Libertad have faced each other 5 times recently.

Quick Insight

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Libertad 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Universidad Catolica wins 1, draws 3, Libertad wins 1

Match Analysis

Universidad Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 16 points after 8 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a 13:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Palacios (3 goals), E. Clavijo (2 goals), A. Londono (1 goals), with creative support from Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), Mauro Dรญaz (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Libertad are currently 10 in the standings with 10 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Chere (2 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), B. Caicedo (1 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (2 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Libertad. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Universidad Catolica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 16 points compared to Libertad in 10 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad Catolica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Libertad in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Statistics

Universidad Catolica Stat Libertad
7 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
18 Total Shots 9
5 Blocked Shots 2
14 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 4
11 Fouls 9
6 Corner Kicks 2
3 Offsides 5
59% Ball Possession 41%
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
519 Total passes 360
461 Passes accurate 302
89% Passes % 84%
2.35 expected_goals 0.47
0 goals_prevented 0
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Libertad
21.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
19.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
17.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
Show more matches โŒ„
Last matches: Libertad
12.04.26
Lig
Libertad
Orense SC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Delfin SC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Libertad
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
Show more matches โŒ„

Lineups

Universidad Catolica
Formation
Libertad
6.9
R. Romo
22
R. Romo
6.9
G. Anangono
29
G. Anangono
6.7
L. Canga
33
L. Canga
8.2
Jhon Chancellor
4
โšฝ
Jhon Chancellor
7.6
E. Valencia
44
E. Valencia
6.6
L. Moreno
15
L. Moreno
7.2
J. Cacciabue
5
โ†“
J. Cacciabue
6.7
M. Alonso
32
โ†“
M. Alonso
7.3
A. Rodriguez
23
โ†“
A. Rodriguez
6.3
E. Mejia
30
๐ŸŽฏ โ†“
E. Mejia
6.2
J. Fajardo
7
โ†“
J. Fajardo
6.7
D. Cabezas
12
D. Cabezas
6.3
E. Patta
17
E. Patta
6.9
B. Caicedo
6
B. Caicedo
7.5
C. Gruezo
5
โ†“
C. Gruezo
6.6
A. Garcia
36
A. Garcia
6.9
C. Valencia
63
โ†“
C. Valencia
5.9
V. Branda
70
V. Branda
6.9
I. Zambrano
7
I. Zambrano
6.2
B. Corozo
19
B. Corozo
6.9
J. Guisamano
23
โ†“
J. Guisamano
6.2
D. Coronel
49
โ†“
D. Coronel
Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
R. Romo
G
29
G. Anangono
D
33
L. Canga
D
4
Jhon Chancellor
โšฝ 57'
D
44
E. Valencia
D
15
L. Moreno
M
5
J. Cacciabue
โ†“ 89'
M
32
M. Alonso
โ†“ 58'
M
23
A. Rodriguez
โ†“ 58'
M
30
E. Mejia
๐ŸŽฏ 57' โ†“ 72'
M
7
J. Fajardo
โ†“ 72'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Lara
G
6
D. Palacios
D
9
A. Londono
โ†‘ 58'
F
19
M. Sevillano
M
24
D. Nazareno
28
M. Diaz
๐ŸŽฏ 85' โ†‘ 58'
M
10
F. Martinez
M
18
B. Palacios
โšฝ 85' โ†‘ 72'
F
13
E. Rose
โ†‘ 72'
F
26
S. Yanez
F
20
J. Chala
โ†‘ 89'
M
Libertad 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
D. Cabezas
G
17
E. Patta
D
6
B. Caicedo
๐ŸŸจ 90+2'
D
5
C. Gruezo
โ†“ 46'
D
36
A. Garcia
D
63
C. Valencia
โ†“ 67' ๐ŸŸจ 24'
M
70
V. Branda
M
7
I. Zambrano
M
19
B. Corozo
M
23
J. Guisamano
โ†“ 67'
M
49
D. Coronel
โ†“ 79'
F
Substitutes
52
A. Bao
66
J. Estacio
M
10
G. J. Cortez Casierra
M
29
R. Zambrano
D
25
M. Lucas
D
20
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
โ†‘ 46'
D
8
S. Castro
M
33
A. Chere
โ†‘ 79'
F
16
J. Cifuentes
F
27
S. Bueno
โ†‘ 67'
M
9
E. Caicedo
โ†‘ 67'
F

Head to Head

Universidad Catolica vs Libertad 5 matches
18.04.2026
Universidad Catolica 2 - 0 Libertad
Liga Pro
FT
21.11.2025
Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Libertad
Liga Pro
FT
19.10.2025
Libertad 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica
Liga Pro
FT
16.08.2025
Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Libertad
Liga Pro
FT
29.04.2025
Libertad 3 - 1 Universidad Catolica
Liga Pro
FT